Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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038
FNUS53 KGRR 240737
FWFGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
337 AM EDT SUN JUL 24 2016

...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AROUND TODAY AT TIMES...

.DISCUSSION...

ONE AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL PUSH THROUGH THE
REGION THIS MORNING.  THEN A BREAK IS EXPECTED AROUND MIDDAY.
ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS COULD DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.  DRY WEATHER RETURNS FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY AS
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN.

MIZ037>039-043>045-242015-
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...HART...
FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS
337 AM EDT SUN JUL 24 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 1900...THEN
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY UNTIL 1100...THEN A CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-88.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........65-70 PERCENT NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 57-62
                    PERCENT INLAND.
   24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT WETTER NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 32
                    PERCENT WETTER INLAND.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900-4400 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    5500-6000 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 25
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...1700 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 2300 (EXCELLENT)
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.38-0.62 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0500.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST AROUND 8 MPH OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...400-900 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...3100-3600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-900
                    FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH BECOMING WEST AROUND 10
                    MPH OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...1200 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 200 (FAIR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-54 PERCENT NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 41-46
                    PERCENT INLAND.
   24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT DRIER NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 17
                    PERCENT DRIER INLAND.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900-5400 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    6900-7400 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1500-1900 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ040-046-242015-
CLARE-ISABELLA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...MOUNT PLEASANT
337 AM EDT SUN JUL 24 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY UNTIL 1300...THEN A CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........53-58 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......29 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 14 TO 19 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600-4100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5800-6300 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 25
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...1300 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 2400 (EXCELLENT)
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.42-0.65 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0600.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100-4600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1600-2100 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1200 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 400 (GOOD)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-88.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........36-41 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8000-8500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH INCREASING TO WEST
                    AROUND 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...1600 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 2100 (EXCELLENT)
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-242015-
MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUSKEGON...GRAND HAVEN...JENISON...
HOLLAND...SOUTH HAVEN
337 AM EDT SUN JUL 24 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY UNTIL 1100...THEN A CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....86-91.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........56-61 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 14 TO 19 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300-3800 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    4500-5000 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 25
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...1100-1500 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.54 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0500.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...2300-2800 FT AGL
                    DECREASING TO 100-600 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...4100-4600 FT AGL DECREASING TO
                    1300-1800 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1200 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 300 (GOOD)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.21 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........53-58 PERCENT NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 41-46
                    PERCENT INLAND.
   24 HR TREND......
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT DRIER.
   24 HR TREND......
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400-4900 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    6400-6900 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO WEST
                    AROUND 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...1100-1300 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-242015-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREENVILLE...ALMA...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...
ST. JOHNS
337 AM EDT SUN JUL 24 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY UNTIL 1300...THEN A CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........54-59 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 14 TO 19 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100-5600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 25
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...1300 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 2100 (EXCELLENT)
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.42-0.64 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0500.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200-4700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1700-2200 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1200 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 400 (GOOD)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.10 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-43 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8100-8600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1500 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 2000 (EXCELLENT)
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-242015-
BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING...
KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON
337 AM EDT SUN JUL 24 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY UNTIL 1100...THEN A CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........54-59 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500-5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1000 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 1500 (EXCELLENT)
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.30-0.66 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 2300...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 0500...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 0600. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    UNTIL 0700.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100-4600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1800-2300 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1100 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 400 (GOOD)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.05-0.19 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....84-89.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-43 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7300-7800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1100 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 1700 (EXCELLENT)
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$


.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH OVERNIGHT.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE WEST 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 6 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
9 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST OVERNIGHT.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.



$$



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