Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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636
FNUS53 KGRR 060818
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
418 AM EDT Mon May 6 2024

...Dry and mild today then showers/storms Tuesday afternoon...

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure over the area this morning will help to bring
a dry and mild day today with only some high clouds further
south. Winds will start to increase a little later in the day,
but should not be too windy. Clouds will increase on Tuesday,
with showers and storms likely in the afternoon and evening.

MIZ037>039-043>045-062030-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
418 AM EDT Mon May 6 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....68-73.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........35-40 percent near Lake Michigan and 25-30
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......26 percent drier near Lake Michigan and 9
                    percent drier Inland.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4800-5300 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    5800-6300 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....640-720 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min temperature.....39-44.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........74-79 percent.
   24 hr trend......26 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......200-700 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 1400-1900
                    ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....East 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....90-170 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent) until 11 AM, then
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers and
                    a chance of thunderstorms after 2 PM.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Max temperature.....66-71.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........38-43 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter near Lake Michigan and 13
                    percent wetter Inland.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 13 to 18 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2000-2500 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    3100-3600 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....860-940 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.23-0.62 in.


$$

MIZ040-046-062030-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
418 AM EDT Mon May 6 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 69.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........26-31 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5300-5800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....530-610 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 40.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........80-85 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1700-2200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....50-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent) until 2 PM, then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 2 PM until 5 PM. Chance of
                    thunderstorms after 2 PM. Rain showers likely
                    after 5 PM.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 70.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........36-41 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3300-3800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....790-880 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.17-0.32 in.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-062030-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
418 AM EDT Mon May 6 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....68-73.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........29-34 percent.
   24 hr trend......34 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5000-5500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....780-820 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent).
Min temperature.....46-51.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........66-71 percent.
   24 hr trend......30 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......800-1300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-110 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 11 AM until 2 PM. Chance of
                    thunderstorms after 11 AM. Rain showers after 2
                    PM.
Chance of pcpn......near 100 percent.
Max temperature.....69-74.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........48-53 percent.
   24 hr trend......19 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 12 to 17 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2300-2800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....610-650 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.29-0.79 in.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-062030-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
418 AM EDT Mon May 6 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....67-72.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........28-33 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4800-5300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....690-800 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min temperature.....41-46.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........77-82 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1100-1600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....80-100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent) until 11 AM, then
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers and
                    a chance of thunderstorms after 2 PM.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 71.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........39-44 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 12 to 17 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3000-3500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....730-780 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.25-0.94 in.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-062030-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
418 AM EDT Mon May 6 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 70.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........28-33 percent.
   24 hr trend......26 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4700-5200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....680-730 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent).
Min temperature.....43-48.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........69-74 percent.
   24 hr trend......28 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......800-1300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....80-90 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 11 AM until 2 PM, then rain
                    showers and a chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......near 100 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 73.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........45-50 percent.
   24 hr trend......17 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 11 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2600-3100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....660-740 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.26-0.62 in.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms
in the evening. Lows in the lower 50s. Southwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. West winds 7 to
12 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers in the evening,
then showers likely overnight. Lows in the lower 50s. Northeast
winds 11 to 16 mph.
.THURSDAY...Cooler. Mostly cloudy. Showers likely until midday, then
a chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs around
60. Northeast winds 14 to 19 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers in the evening.
Lows in the lower 40s. North winds 11 to 16 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. Northwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 60s.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid
60s.

$$