Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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FNUS53 KGRR 191948
FWFGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
348 PM EDT TUE MAY 19 2015

...COOL AND DRY REMAINDER OF THE WEEK...

.DISCUSSION...A COOL AND DRY AIR MASS HAS SETTLED INTO SOUTHWEST
LOWER MICHIGAN. FROST AND FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED
TONIGHT. THE DRY WEATHER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE INTO SATURDAY.
THE NEXT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL COME SUNDAY INTO
MEMORIAL DAY. TEMPERATURES WILL ONLY SLOWLY MODERATE THIS WEEK
WITH WARMER AIR NOT SHOWING UP UNTIL THE WEEKEND.

MIZ037>039-043>045-200815-
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...HART...
FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS
348 PM EDT TUE MAY 19 2015

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST
                    AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....29-34.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-85 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......21 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700-4200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 700-1200 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...800 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 100 (POOR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 31-36
                    PERCENT INLAND.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 11
                    PERCENT DRIER INLAND.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600-3100 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    4300-4800 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...300-500 (GOOD TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........84-89 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...300-800 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...2400-2900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-400
                    FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...0-400 (POOR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-62 NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND AROUND 65 INLAND.
   24 HR TREND......
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
   24 HR TREND......
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 34-39
                    PERCENT INLAND.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 3
                    PERCENT WETTER INLAND.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500-4000 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    9000-9500 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1300 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 2100 (EXCELLENT)
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ040-046-200815-
CLARE-ISABELLA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...MOUNT PLEASANT
348 PM EDT TUE MAY 19 2015

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 2100...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST
                    AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 31.
   24 HR TREND......16 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........77-82 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800-4300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 900-1400 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 10
                    MPH OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...800 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 200 (FAIR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400-5900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...400-600 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........74-79 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500-5000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-500 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...100-500 (POOR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........31-36 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10300-10800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO NORTHWEST
                    AROUND 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...1500 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 2200 (EXCELLENT)
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-200815-
MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUSKEGON...JENISON...HOLLAND...SOUTH HAVEN
348 PM EDT TUE MAY 19 2015

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST
                    AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....33-38.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........74-79 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......23 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600-4100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1100-1600 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...700 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 100 (POOR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-49 PERCENT NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 35-40
                    PERCENT INLAND.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 5
                    PERCENT DRIER INLAND.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400-3900 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    4300-4800 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...300 (GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 2300...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-43.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........84-89 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-1800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...100 (POOR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-54 PERCENT NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 38-43
                    PERCENT INLAND.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    UNCHANGED INLAND.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200-4700 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    7800-8300 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...900-1200 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-200815-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREENVILLE...ALMA...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...
ST. JOHNS
348 PM EDT TUE MAY 19 2015

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST
                    AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 33.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........77-82 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000-4500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1700-2200 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH BECOMING NORTH AROUND
                    10 MPH OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...400-700 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........32-37 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200-5700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...300-600 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........84-89 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500-5000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-300 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...500 (GOOD) DECREASING TO 0 (POOR) OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........33-38 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9900-10400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1200 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 1700 (EXCELLENT)
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-200815-
BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING...
KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON
348 PM EDT TUE MAY 19 2015

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST
                    AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 34.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........77-82 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100-4600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1800-2300 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...500-700 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL MIDDAY
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100-5600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...300-400 (GOOD TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 0400...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-42.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-85 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200-5700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 2000-2500 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...100-200 (POOR TO FAIR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-42 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...WEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8000-8500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1000-1300 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$


.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH OVERNIGHT.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH
5 TO 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH OVERNIGHT.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 9 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 9 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
LOWS AROUND 60.
.MEMORIAL DAY...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 70S.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.



$$



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