Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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FNUS53 KGRR 200712
FWFGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
312 AM EDT MON MAY 20 2013

...WARM AND RATHER HUMID WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
IT WILL REMAIN WARM AND FAIRLY HUMID FOR THE EARLY TO MIDDLE PORTION
OF THE WEEK WITH SEVERAL ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND STORMS ANTICIPATED
TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. SOME STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE
DAILY WHICH COULD BRING GUSTY WINDS HAIL AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING.
COOLER WEATHER IS EXPECTED LATE IN THE WEEK.



MIZ037>039-043>045-202015-
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...HART...
FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS
312 AM EDT MON MAY 20 2013

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 1200...THEN SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-88.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-1800 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    3600-4100 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...900-1000 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.12-0.25 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-500 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 1900-2400
                    FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...100-400 (POOR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.23-0.50 IN.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........57-62 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-1900 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    3900-4400 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO EAST
                    AROUND 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...700-1000 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.25-0.39 IN.


$$

MIZ040-046-202015-
CLARE-ISABELLA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...MOUNT PLEASANT
312 AM EDT MON MAY 20 2013

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 1400. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200
                    UNTIL 1400...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-51 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500-6000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1100-1200 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.10-0.17 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 2100...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700-3200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-900 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...100-400 (POOR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.17-0.36 IN.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........56-61 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800-5300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 15 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 25 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...700-1100 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.36-0.43 IN.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-202015-
MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUSKEGON...JENISON...HOLLAND...SOUTH HAVEN
312 AM EDT MON MAY 20 2013

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-88.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2000 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    5600-6100 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1300-1400 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.08-0.18 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) UNTIL 0400...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...1100-1600 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...3800-4300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-900
                    FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...900 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 100 (POOR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.19-0.39 IN.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........56-61 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1500 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    3900-4400 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHEAST
                    AROUND 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...600-900 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.29-0.42 IN.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-202015-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREENVILLE...ALMA...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...
ST. JOHNS
312 AM EDT MON MAY 20 2013

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6600-7100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1400 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.19 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 0400...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500-4000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600-1100 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...600 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 100 (POOR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.32-0.39 IN.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........56-61 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500-5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHEAST
                    AROUND 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...500-900 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.36-0.44 IN.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-202015-
BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING...
KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON
312 AM EDT MON MAY 20 2013

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5900-6400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1400-1600 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.04-0.13 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 0600...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5700-6200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-800 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1000 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 100 (POOR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.14-0.35 IN.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400-5900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH
                    AROUND 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...700-800 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.36-0.42 IN.


$$


.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...
THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS OVERNIGHT. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
.THURSDAY...COOLER. MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...COLDER. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
NORTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. PATCHY FROST OVERNIGHT. LOWS AROUND
40.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S.



$$






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