Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
339
FNUS52 KILM 130723
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
323 AM EDT Mon May 13 2024
.DISCUSSION...
A broad storm system will affect the area through mid week. Dry
conditions are expected by late week followed by another unsettled
period next weekend.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-132330-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
323 AM EDT Mon May 13 2024
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 40 100
Precip Type None Showers Tstms
LAL 1 1 3
Max/Min Temp 82 63 76
Min/Max RH (%) 41 94 79
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 6 SE 8 G22
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SE 7 S 7 S 12 G24
Precip Amount 0.00 0.08 0.95
Precip Duration 1 10
Precip Begin 8 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 69/0900 1900 67/0600
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 5 4 3
DSI 3 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 7100 2500
Transport Wind (mph) S 14 SE 26
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 99400 65000
ADI Early 61 Good 47 Gen Good 54 Gen Good
ADI Late 80 Good 12 Poor 57 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 5 4 4
Max LVORI Late 1 4 4
Min VSBY Early 6 Fog 7 4 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 4 Rain
Turner Stability B D C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation
90 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
61 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 98 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
50 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-132330-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
323 AM EDT Mon May 13 2024
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 60 100
Precip Type None Showers Tstms
LAL 1 2 3
Max/Min Temp 82 63 77
Min/Max RH (%) 38 99 79
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 5 SE 7 G17
Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 7 S 5 S 9 G19
Precip Amount 0.00 0.12 0.69
Precip Duration 4 12
Precip Begin 8 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 67/0900 2000 67/0900
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 5 4 3
DSI 3 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 7500 2000
Transport Wind (mph) S 15 SE 22
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 112500 44000
ADI Early 63 Good 57 Gen Good 44 Gen Good
ADI Late 91 Good 8 Poor 43 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 5 4 6
Max LVORI Late 1 5 4
Min VSBY Early 6 Fog 7 4 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 4 Rain
Turner Stability B D C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation
90 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
57 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum RH 47 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-132330-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
323 AM EDT Mon May 13 2024
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Cloudy
Precip Chance (%) 0 60 100
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms
LAL 1 2 3
Max/Min Temp 81 63 77
Min/Max RH (%) 45 100 84
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 5 SE 7 G20
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SE 7 S 6 S 8 G20
Precip Amount 0.00 0.14 1.18
Precip Duration 4 12
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 69/0900 1900 69/0900
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 5 4 3
DSI 3 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6800 1800
Transport Wind (mph) S 16 S 21
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 108800 37800
ADI Early 58 Gen Good 39 Fair 39 Fair
ADI Late 80 Good 10 Poor 36 Fair
Max LVORI Early 6 4 6
Max LVORI Late 1 5 4
Min VSBY Early 4 Fog 7 3 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 4 Rain
Turner Stability B D C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation
90 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
60 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
52 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ032-033-039-132330-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
323 AM EDT Mon May 13 2024
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Cloudy
Precip Chance (%) 0 60 100
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms
LAL 1 2 3
Max/Min Temp 81 62 77
Min/Max RH (%) 43 100 81
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 4 SE 6
Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 7 SE 5 S 7
Precip Amount 0.00 0.14 0.79
Precip Duration 4 12
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 68/0900 1900 68/0900
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 5 3 3
DSI 3 1
Mixing Hgt (ft) 7300 2200
Transport Wind (mph) S 15 S 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 109500 37400
ADI Early 69 Good 40 Fair 34 Fair
ADI Late 106 Very Good9 Poor 40 Fair
Max LVORI Early 6 4 7
Max LVORI Late 1 6 4
Min VSBY Early 5 Fog 7 3 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 5 Rain 4 Rain
Turner Stability B D C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation
80 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
56 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-132330-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
323 AM EDT Mon May 13 2024
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Cloudy
Precip Chance (%) 0 70 100
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms
LAL 1 2 3
Max/Min Temp 82 63 77
Min/Max RH (%) 42 100 81
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 5 SE 7 G17
Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 7 SE 5 S 8 G17
Precip Amount 0.00 0.16 0.59
Precip Duration 4 12
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 70/1000 1900 67/0900
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 5 4 3
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6900 2400
Transport Wind (mph) S 15 SW 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 103500 33600
ADI Early 53 Gen Good 33 Fair 35 Fair
ADI Late 95 Good 9 Poor 38 Fair
Max LVORI Early 5 5 8
Max LVORI Late 1 7 4
Min VSBY Early 7 7 3 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 5 Rain 4 Rain
Turner Stability B D C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation
80 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
56 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$