Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS North Platte, NE
Issued by NWS North Platte, NE
350
FNUS73 KLBF 302224
FWSLBF
Spot Forecast for WTREX Niobrara Hazel Rx Burn...The Nature Conservancy
National Weather Service North Platte NE
524 PM CDT Tue Apr 30 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 CDT on May 01.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
Please contact the NWS North Platte office at 308-532-0921 (or
at 1-800-603-3562) if you have any questions or concerns with this forecast.
.DISCUSSION...
Winds should quickly diminish this evening as temperatures cool.
Winds will shift from the northwest to the south overnight. For
Wednesday, min RH will be around 40 to 45 percent, with winds
shifting to the southeast and increasing in the afternoon to
around 10 to 15 mph with gust 20 to 25 mph through early evening.
A 20 to 30 percent chance of rain showers in the morning, then
thunderstorm chances increase to around 40 to 50 percent in the
afternoon, with scattered showers and thunderstorms expected in
the evening.
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Slight chance of
rain showers early in the morning. Chance of
rain showers in the late morning and afternoon.
Slight chance of thunderstorms late in the
afternoon.
LAL.................1 until 1600, then 3.
Max temperature.....Around 63.
Min humidity........44 percent.
Eye level winds.....South winds up to 5 mph shifting to the
southeast 5 to 11 mph in the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 6 mph increasing to 7 to 8
mph in the morning, then shifting to the
southeast 9 to 18 mph in the afternoon. Gusty
and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......4100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 16 mph shifting to the southeast 18
to 24 mph late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or or low to or moderate potential for
large plume dominated fire growth.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........54 58 63 68 73 78 83 88 87 87 86 85
Weather cov..... SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ SCH SCH
LAL.............2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3
Temp............39 38 41 45 51 54 57 59 60 62 60 59
RH..............80 83 76 67 56 52 49 47 48 44 49 50
20 FT wind dir..S S S S S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
20 FT wind spd..6 7 7 8 8 8 9 10 12 14 18 17
20 FT wind gust.8 9 9 12 12 12 13 15 16 20 25 24
Eye lvl wnd dir.S S S S S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
Eye lvl wnd spd.4 4 4 5 5 5 5 6 7 8 11 10
Eye lvl wnd gst.5 5 5 7 7 7 8 9 10 12 15 14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.1 2.1 3.0 3.4 4.1 3.9 3.4
Transp wind dir.S S S S S S SE SE SE SE SE SE
Transp wind spd.8 10 9 10 10 8 12 13 16 18 23 24
Haines index....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers and
chance of thunderstorms.
LAL.................3 until 1900, then 4 until 0100, then 3 until
0400, then 1.
Min temperature.....Around 42.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Eye level winds.....East winds 6 to 10 mph shifting to the
northeast around 5 mph after 3 am.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 16 mph shifting to the
northeast around 9 mph after 3 am. Gusty and
erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in
the evening. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms overnight.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 13 to 22 mph shifting to the east 9
to 12 mph overnight, then shifting to the
northeast around 9 mph early in the morning.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or or very low to or low potential for
large plume dominated fire growth.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........85 84 84 85 85 85 86 86 84 82 80 78
Weather cov.....CHC DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH
LAL.............3 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 2 2
Temp............59 57 54 52 50 48 48 46 45 44 44 43
RH..............54 58 67 72 80 86 89 95 100 100 100 99
20 FT wind dir..SE SE SE E E E E E E E E NE
20 FT wind spd..16 14 13 12 12 13 13 12 10 10 9 9
20 FT wind gust.23 20 17 16 16 17 17 16 15 15 13 13
Eye lvl wnd dir.SE SE SE E E E E E E E E NE
Eye lvl wnd spd.10 8 8 7 7 8 8 7 6 6 5 5
Eye lvl wnd gst.14 12 10 10 10 10 10 10 9 9 8 8
Mix hgt (kft)...2.5 2.2 1.5 1.0 1.2 1.5 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.1
Transp wind dir.SE SE SE E E E E E E E NE NE
Transp wind spd.22 18 16 15 15 16 15 13 12 10 9 9
Haines index....4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent) then becoming
sunny (15-25 percent). Rain showers early in
the morning, then slight chance of rain showers
in the morning.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 61.
Min humidity........37 percent.
Eye level winds.....North winds around 5 mph increasing to
northwest 11 to 12 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 8 to 20 mph becoming 9 to 18
mph early in the morning, then increasing to 18
to 20 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......8200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 8 to 17 mph increasing to 26 to 28
mph.
Haines Index........3 to 5 or or very low to or moderate potential
for large plume dominated fire growth.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........76 73 68 62 57 50 42 35 30 25 20 16
Weather cov.....DEF SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........
LAL.............2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............43 43 45 48 50 53 56 58 59 60 60 60
RH..............100 100 93 81 73 66 58 52 46 43 39 37
20 FT wind dir..N N NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT wind spd..8 8 9 10 12 14 16 18 20 20 20 18
20 FT wind gust.12 12 13 15 16 20 23 25 28 28 28 25
Eye lvl wnd dir.N N NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
Eye lvl wnd spd.5 5 5 6 7 8 10 11 12 12 12 11
Eye lvl wnd gst.7 7 8 9 10 12 14 15 17 17 17 15
Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 1.0 1.6 2.2 2.8 3.6 4.3 5.1 6.1 7.2 8.2 6.8
Transp wind dir.NW W W NW NW NW NW NW NW W W NW
Transp wind spd.8 8 10 14 17 18 20 21 23 26 28 26
Haines index....3 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5
$$
Forecaster...Gomez
Requested by...Lyndsey Lascheck
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412746.3/LBF
.DELDT 04/30/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL lyndsey.lascheck@tnc.org