Spot Forecast Issued by NWS
000
FNUS74 KLUB 250757
FWSLUB
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for River of Samson...TPWD
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
257 AM CDT Mon Mar 25 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 CDT on March 25.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
If you have questions or concerns with this forecast,
please contact our office at (806) 745-4926.
.DISCUSSION...
At the time of ignition winds will be out of the southwest around
10-15 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. However a cold front will
quickly sweep south through the burn site between 8 am and 10 am
switching winds around to the northwest. Winds will remain breezy
through the day with sustained winds of 20-25 mph with gusts up to
35 mph. This front will also bring much colder air and some better
moisture to the burn site causing a bump up in relative humidity
after frontal passage. Relative humidity values will then slowly
fall in the afternoon bottoming out near 30 percent.
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-25 percent) then becoming partly
sunny (55-70 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 54.
Min humidity........32 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 15 mph shifting to the
northwest 20 to 25 mph late in the morning.
Mixing height.......6300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 25 to 30 mph shifting to the
northwest 25 to 30 mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 to 6 or low to high potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
Sky (%).........15 5 5 25 50 70
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............47 46 48 50 52 54
RH..............35 39 48 43 36 32
20 ft wind......SW 18 W 20 NW 18 NW 20 NW 20 NW 21
20 ft wind gust.25 23 24 28 31 33
Mix hgt (ft)....600 600 4400 4900 5400 6300
Transport wind..SW 26 W 25 W 36 NW 25 NW 28 NW 31
Haines index....6 5 5 5 4 4
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-80 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 32.
Max humidity........72 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 12 to 20 mph decreasing to 6 to
10 mph overnight.
Mixing height.......800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 22 to 31 mph decreasing to 13 to 21
mph overnight.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
Sky (%).........70 70 81 77 60 51
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............52 44 41 38 37 36
RH..............33 43 50 59 59 64
20 ft wind......NW 20 NW 15 NW 12 NW 10 NW 9 NW 7
20 ft wind gust.30 22 18 18 16 13
Mix hgt (ft)....5800 3900 3200 2900 2200 1100
Transport wind..NW 31 NW 25 NW 23 NW 22 NW 18 N 15
Haines index....4 4 4 4 3 3
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 59.
Min humidity........26 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 6 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......6300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10 to 17 mph shifting to the west
around 9 mph late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for
large plume dominated fire growth.
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
Sky (%).........55 51 26 19 16 17
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............33 32 42 48 54 57
RH..............72 72 46 34 28 27
20 ft wind......NW 6 NW 6 N 8 N 7 N 7 N 6
20 ft wind gust.10 12 14 14 13 12
Mix hgt (ft)....600 1500 3300 4500 5600 6300
Transport wind..NW 12 NW 14 NW 17 NW 14 NW 10 W 10
Haines index....3 4 4 4 5 5
$$
Forecaster...IWASKO
Requested by...Bobby Schat
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2408297.0/LUB
.DELDT 03/25/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL bobby.schat@tpwd.texas.gov