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000
FNUS74 KMOB 141010
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for Chick Cpt 442 446...USFS
National Weather Service Mobile AL
510 AM CDT Sun Apr 14 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CDT on April 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Dry weather conditions continue to prevail across
the burn area today through Monday. Afternoon minimum relative
humidity values drop to between 25 and 30 percent this afternoon,
with around 35 percent expected Monday afternoon. Transport winds
out of the southwest this morning around 10 to 15mph become
southerly by late afternoon at 15 to 20mph. Southerly transport
winds continue into Monday around 10 to 15mph. Maximum wind gusts
will be upwards of 20mph mid to late this afternoon, with 15mph
peak wind gusts for Monday. LVORI values will be around 1 for this
afternoon and Monday afternoon with morning values between 2 and
5 expected each day, highest Monday morning. Afternoon
dispersions will remain good for both today and Monday across the
burn area.

Fog potential and other remarks...Areas of fog are expected late
tonight into Monday morning reducing visibility below 1 mile at
times.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 84.
Min humidity........27 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 10 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......4600 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...122-1402 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 6 to 15 mph shifting to the south
                    around 17 mph late in the afternoon.
Transport winds m/s.South 3 to 8 meters/second.
Dispersion index....9 increasing to 72.
LVORI...............3.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........36     44     55     45     12
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1
Temp............57     72     80     83     84
RH..............72     41     30     27     27
20 FT wind dir..SSW    SSW    SSW    SSW    SSW
20 FT wind spd..3      6      8      10     12
20 FT wind gust.7      10     14     17     20
Mix hgt (ft)....400    1100   3200   4200   4200
Mix hgt (m).....120    340    980    1280   1280
Transp wind dir.SW     SSW    S      S      S
Transp wind spd.6      7      13     15     17
Trans wind dir..SW     SSW    S      S      S
Trans spd (m/s).3      3      6      7      8
Dispersion idx..6      11     41     70     72
LVORI...........4      2      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Areas of fog
                    early in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 54.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 9 mph in the evening and
                    overnight becoming light.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...122-1280 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 17 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 4 to 8 meters/second.
Dispersion index....72 decreasing to 6.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........5      1      1      7      16     29
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............80     68     62     58     56     55
RH..............31     51     72     90     100    100
20 FT wind dir..S      S      S      S      S      S
20 FT wind spd..10     8      7      6      5      3
20 FT wind gust.18     16     13     12     10     9
Mix hgt (ft)....4200   400    400    400    400    400
Mix hgt (m).....1280   120    120    120    120    120
Transp wind dir.S      S      S      S      S      S
Transp wind spd.17     13     12     12     10     9
Trans wind dir..S      S      S      S      S      S
Trans spd (m/s).8      6      5      5      4      4
Dispersion idx..72     7      5      5      4      4
LVORI...........1      2      4      5      8      9

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Areas of fog
                    early in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 85.
Min humidity........35 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 8 mph late in
                    the morning.
Mixing height.......4300 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...122-1311 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 6 to 14 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 3 to 6 meters/second.
Dispersion index....6 increasing to 65.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........48     50     35     21     15     18
Weather cov.....AREAS  AREAS
Weather type....FOG    FOG    NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............54     57     70     79     83     85
RH..............100    100    71     45     37     35
20 FT wind dir..S      S      S      S      S      S
20 FT wind spd..2      2      5      6      8      9
20 FT wind gust.7      6      7      10     14     16
Mix hgt (ft)....400    600    1500   2900   3800   4300
Mix hgt (m).....120    180    460    880    1160   1310
Transp wind dir.SSW    SSW    SSW    S      S      S
Transp wind spd.7      6      8      8      12     14
Trans wind dir..SSW    SSW    SSW    S      S      S
Trans spd (m/s).3      3      4      4      5      6
Dispersion idx..3      6      16     31     52     69
LVORI...........9      7      3      1      1      1

$$
Forecaster...25
Requested by...Ryan Barnett
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2410666.0/MOB
.DELDT 04/14/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL ryan.barnett@usda.gov