Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL
705
FNUS74 KMOB 031011
FWSMOB
Spot Forecast for GUIS Naval Live Oaks...National Park Service
National Weather Service Mobile AL
511 AM CDT Fri May 3 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CDT on May 03.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...Dry conditions are expected to continue at the burn
site through Saturday, with minimum relative humidity values
remaining well above critical thresholds. Transport winds for both
today and Saturday will start off southeasterly during the
mornings, becoming more southerly by the afternoon hours, and
then light and variable during the overnight hours. Afternoon
dispersions will be fair for both days (indices around 25-30).
Fog potential and other remarks...Patchy fog development is possible
tonight over the burn site.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Patchy fog early
in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 79.
Min humidity........74 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 9 mph shifting to the
south around 8 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...274-305 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph shifting to the south 9
to 12 mph late in the afternoon.
Transport winds m/s.East around 4 meters/second shifting to the
south 4 to 5 meters/second late in the
afternoon.
Dispersion index....15 increasing to 26 late in the morning.
LVORI...............4.
Stability class.....2.
TIME (CDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........52 45 38 38 38 38 39 40 41 47
Weather cov.....PTY
Weather type....FOG
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............72 73 76 78 78 78 78 79 78 78
RH..............93 90 82 76 76 76 76 74 76 76
20 FT wind dir..ESE SE SE SE SSE SSE SSE S S S
20 FT wind spd..7 8 9 9 10 10 10 10 9 9
20 FT wind gust.10 12 13 14 15 15 15 15 14 13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
Mix hgt (km)....0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir.ESE ESE ESE SE SSE SSE S S S S
Transp wind spd.10 10 10 10 10 10 12 10 10 9
Trans wind dir..ESE ESE ESE SE SSE SSE S S S S
Trans spd (m/s).4 4 4 4 4 4 5 4 4 4
Dispersion idx..10 15 19 23 26 29 29 28 26 26
LVORI...........5 4 3 3 3 3 2 3 3 3
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 73.
Max humidity........90 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 7 mph early in the evening
becoming light.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...122-305 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 3 to 8 mph shifting to the northwest
around 5 mph early in the morning.
Transport winds m/s.South 1 to 4 meters/second shifting to the
northwest around 2 meters/second early in the
morning.
Dispersion index....26 decreasing to 4.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....4.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........52 57 59 62 64 66 69 71 66 62 57 57
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............78 77 77 75 75 74 74 74 74 74 73 73
RH..............76 79 79 87 87 90 90 90 90 87 90 90
20 FT wind dir..S S S SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SE E ENE ENE
20 FT wind spd..8 7 6 6 5 3 3 3 3 2 2 3
20 FT wind gust.12 10 9 8 7 6 6 5 5 3 3 5
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.6 0.6
Mix hgt (km)....0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2
Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S S S S SW NNW
Transp wind spd.7 8 7 6 5 3 3 5 5 5 3 5
Trans wind dir..S S S S S S S S S S SW NNW
Trans spd (m/s).3 4 3 3 2 1 1 2 2 2 1 2
Dispersion idx..26 5 5 4 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2
LVORI...........3 4 4 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 7 7
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 79.
Min humidity........74 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east 5 to 8 mph early in
the morning, then shifting to the south 8 to 9
mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...122-305 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 8 mph shifting to the south 10 to 12
mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds m/s.Northeast around 2 meters/second shifting to
the south 4 to 5 meters/second in the late
morning and afternoon.
Dispersion index....6 increasing to 29.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....2.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........57 57 54 51 48 45 42 39 35 30 25 21
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............73 73 74 75 78 79 79 79 79 79 79 78
RH..............90 90 87 84 76 74 74 74 74 74 74 76
20 FT wind dir..ENE ENE E ESE ESE SE SSE SSE SSE S S S
20 FT wind spd..3 5 6 7 8 9 9 10 10 10 10 10
20 FT wind gust.5 6 8 10 12 14 14 15 15 16 15 15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.8
Mix hgt (km)....0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2
Transp wind dir.NE ENE E E SE SSE SSE SSE S S S S
Transp wind spd.5 5 5 8 10 10 10 10 10 12 12 10
Trans wind dir..NE ENE E E SE SSE SSE SSE S S S S
Trans spd (m/s).2 2 2 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 4
Dispersion idx..3 4 6 9 15 21 27 31 31 29 27 27
LVORI...........7 6 5 4 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 3
$$
Forecaster...96
Requested by...Robert Vick
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412531.15/MOB
.DELDT 05/03/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL scworthi@gmail.com,Robert_Vick@nps.gov