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Hydrometeorological Discussion
Issued by NWS North Central River Forecast Center
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AGUS73 KMSR 171704
HMDMSR

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS NORTH CENTRAL RIVER FORECAST CENTER TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
1205 PM CDT MON JUN 17 2013

...PRECIPITATION...
RAIN FELL ALONG AND NORTH OF THE U.S. / CANADIAN BORDER...OVER
NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST MINNESOTA...IN A NARROW BAND FROM WEST
CENTRAL MINNESOTA TO CENTRAL WISCONSIN...OVER UPPER MICHIGAN...
NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...NORTHERN WISCONSIN...THE SOUTHERN HALF
OF MISSOURI AND THE SOUTHERN HALF OF ILLINOIS.  THUNDERSTORMS
BROUGHT HALF TO ONE AND A HALF INCHES OF RAIN FROM AROUND A
SPRINGFIELD MO TO VICHY MO TO ST LOUIS MO TO SALEM IL TO MATTOON
IL LINE.  HALF TO THREE QUARTER INCH AMOUNTS WERE ALSO REPORTED
FROM THE ARROWHEAD OF MINNESOTA TO NORTH CENTRAL WISCONSIN.
OTHERWISE MOST REPORTS WERE LESS THAN A QUARTER INCH.

TWO NEARLY STATIONARY WEST TO EAST FRONTAL BOUNDARIES WILL REMAIN
OVER THE CENTRAL U.S. DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  THESE WILL
CONTINUE TO PROVIDE THE FOCUS FOR PRECIPITATION...GENERALLY SOUTH
OF AN OMAHA NE TO MATTOON IL LINE...AND NORTH OF A GARRISON ND TO
MINNEAPOLIS MN TO DETROIT MI LINE.  UP TO A HALF INCH BASIN
AVERAGE IS FORECAST FOR THE SOUTHERN SYSTEM WHILE AMOUNTS IN THE
NORTHERN SYSTEM SHOULD BE LESS THAN A QUARTER INCH BASIN AVERAGE.

...HYDROLOGIC CONDITIONS...

RELATIVELY QUIET WEATHER OVER THE LAST FEW DAYS HAS ALLOWED MOST
FORECAST POINTS TO DROP BELOW MODERATE FLOOD STAGE IN THE NCRFC
REGION.  ALONG THE SOURIS RIVER...TOWNER AND BANTRY CONTINUE TO
FALL WHILE THE ROUTED FLOW IS STILL EXPECTED TO PUSH WESTHOPE...ND
TO MAJOR FLOOD STAGE IN A FEW DAYS.  THE ONLY OTHER LOCATION WITH
SIGNIFICANT FLOODING THAT HAS YET TO OCCUR IS AT WAPELLO
...IA ...WHERE ROUTED FLOOD WATERS IS EXPECTED TO RAISE THE STAGE
OVER MODERATE FLOOD STAGE IN 3 DAYS AS WELL.  THE REMAINING THREE
POINTS THAT ARE CURRENTLY ABOVE MODERATE FLOOD STAGE RECEDING ON
THE LOWER ILLINOIS RIVER AND ON THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER NEAR
QUINCY...IL.  LIGHT PRECIP OVER THE NEXT FIVE DAYS IS NOT EXPECTED
TO CAUSE ANY NEW AREAS TO REACH MODERATE FLOOD STAGE.

FOR ADDITIONAL AND MORE IN-DEPTH INFORMATION CONCERNING RIVER
FORECASTS...PRECIPITATION AND ALL HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL INFORMATION
IN THE NCRFC AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY...PLEASE REFER TO THE NCRFC
WEB PAGE AT:     HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/NCRFC

EMERGENCY CALL BACK LIST: JCH DAM DCG SAS

IF NO RESPONSE FROM THIS LIST... CALL THE DOH...SCH OR HIC.

$$

...LNE/DCG...
National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office
