Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

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FXUS63 KOAX 272036
AFDOAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
336 PM CDT Wed Mar 27 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Dry weather is expected through the week with warming into the
  70s by Friday.

- Chances (40-70%)for precipitation return to the region late
  this weekend into early next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 329 PM CDT Wed Mar 27 2024

Cool surface high pressure continues to slowly shift east of the
region this afternoon. A persistent stratus deck continues to
diminish leaving mostly sunny skies across the area this
afternoon. Mid-afternoon temperatures were mostly in the 30s
with a few mid to low 40s where southwesterly winds have
allowed temperatures to mix out a bit.

The cold airmass responsible for our recent below-
normal temperatures has finally moved northeast of the region
and will be replaced with an upper ridge building into the
central CONUS later this week. This will advect much warmer air
into the region with highs on Thursday topping out in the 60s
and possibly into the low 70s by Friday.

A weak shortwave and cold front will pass through the region Friday
bringing a slight chance (less than 20%)for a few showers Friday
night-Saturday.

Our next widespread chance for precipitation arrives late Sunday and
continues into early next week as an upper trough moves across
the central Plains. There remain some discrepancies with
deterministic models in regards to precipitation types and
timing. We maintained model blended PoPs and precipitation
types. Will continue to monitor trends over the coming days.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 1046 AM CDT Wed Mar 27 2024

VFR conditions likely through the period with passing clouds
from 5000 to 10000 ft agl. Expect winds to remain under 10 kts,
starting out westerly and gradually becoming more southerly
through the period. There are some hints at an MVFR deck moving
into KOFK Thursday after 10z but will wait for better model
agreement until adding that into the TAF.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
IA...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Kern
AVIATION...Kern


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