Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Mt. Holly, NJ

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FNUS71 KPHI 220309
FWSPHI

Spot Forecast for Long Pond Barrens -...The Nature Conservancy
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
1109 PM EDT Sun Apr 21 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on April 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
A dry air mass will overspread the region on Monday. West winds will
generally be around 10 mph in the afternoon. Although these winds
are not strong, it will be quite dry. Surface dew points will
mix down into the mid 20s, and Min RH values will range from 20
to 25 percent.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent). Areas of frost early in
                    the morning.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 56.
Min humidity........22 percent.
Wind shift..........None expected.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 6 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......5800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (21100 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (90000 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
ADI.................31 early in the morning increasing to 80 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........6   3   4   4   2   1   1   2   2   2
Weather cov.....ARS
Weather type....FST
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............34  37  40  43  47  50  53  54  55  56
RH..............69  61  52  47  37  31  27  26  24  22
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..9   9   10  10  10  10  9   9   9   9
20 FT wind gust.17  17  18  18  18  18  17  17  16  16
Mix hgt (kft)...1.6 2.5 3.4 4.2 4.6 5.1 5.4 5.6 5.8 5.7
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N
Transp wind spd.15  18  20  18  18  18  18  18  17  16
ADI.............31  58  67  70  73  77  79  80  76  71
Vrate kt-ft/1K..21  40  58  67  73  82  86  90  88  80
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  FR  GD  GD  GD  GD  GD  GD  GD

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 33.
Max humidity........59 percent.
Wind shift..........None expected.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 5 to 10 mph, becoming light and variable
                    overnight.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 8 to 15 mph decreasing to 5 to 7 mph late
                    in the evening, then shifting to the east
                    around 5 mph overnight shifting to the south
                    around 5 mph after 3 am.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (69100 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (1200 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
ADI.................91 early in the evening decreasing to 2 late in
                    the night.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   4   6   9   11
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............55  51  47  43  42  40  39  38  36  36  35  35
RH..............23  28  40  45  46  48  48  52  56  56  59  59
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  N   N   N   NE  NE  E   E   E   SE  S
20 FT wind spd..8   6   5   5   5   5   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.14  12  8   7   7   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...5.3 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   NE  E   E   E   SE  SE  S
Transp wind spd.15  10  8   6   5   6   5   5   5   5   6   6
ADI.............91  7   4   3   2   3   2   2   2   2   2   3
Vrate kt-ft/1K..69  13  5   2   1   2   1   1   1   1   2   2
Ventrate Cat....GD  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 60.
Min humidity........42 percent.
Wind shift..........None expected.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 10 to 15 mph.
Mixing height.......5200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 17 mph shifting to the southwest 20
                    to 24 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3200 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (97600 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon increasing to excellent (103300
                    knot-ft) late in the afternoon.
ADI.................3 early in the morning increasing to 102 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........12  13  14  22  31  39  34  29  24  32  40  48
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............37  39  41  45  48  52  54  56  58  58  58  58
RH..............59  59  59  53  51  46  45  43  42  42  44  44
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..3   5   6   7   9   12  14  15  16  17  17  17
20 FT wind gust.6   7   8   10  14  17  20  23  24  25  25  25
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.7 0.8 1.9 2.9 4.0 4.3 4.7 5.1 5.1 5.2 5.2
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  S   S   SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.8   9   12  13  15  16  17  20  21  22  23  24
ADI.............3   9   12  31  53  60  68  77  86  91  97  102
Vrate kt-ft/1K..3   5   8   21  37  55  67  79  92  98  103 109
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  GD  GD  GD  GD  VGD VGD

$$
Forecaster...DeSilva
Requested by...Pat McElhenny
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2411514.2/PHI
.DELDT 04/22/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL pmcelhenny@tnc.org
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