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000
FXUS62 KTAE 230914
AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
514 AM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024

...New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER...

.NEAR TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 506 AM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024

High pressure dominates the region for today with warming
temperatures into the upper 70s and low 80s with light surface winds
becoming southerly by this afternoon and evening; and zonal flow
aloft. The sea breeze may develop and move towards Panama City this
afternoon. Overnight temperatures will be in the low 50s. It`ll be
another chance for radiational cooling as we will have clear skies
and light winds again but, not as cool as the previous night.

&&

.SHORT AND LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through Monday)
Issued at 506 AM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024

Upper level ridging slowly builds into the region and then holds
steady through the period. At the surface, high pressure will have
shifted to the east and flattened due to frontal system passing by
to our north. This could bring some light showers and perhaps a
few rumbles of thunder to our northern AL and GA counties on
Thursday, with mainly dry conditions prevailing before and after
that time. A large low pressure system then develops over the
north central plains, which will tighten the pressure gradient
over the southeast. This could lead to some breezy and dry weather
for the weekend.


&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 106 AM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024

Easterly winds will become southerly by this evening with cigs
remaining VFR through the TAF period.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 506 AM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024

Moderate easterly become gentle today, with winds becoming more
light and variable for Wednesday. This will lead to subsiding seas
and tranquil boating conditions. By mid to late week winds teeter
between easterly and southerly. Winds are expected increase this
weekend as the pressure gradient tightens.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 506 AM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024

Lighter transport winds will lead to fairer dispersions for the next
few days. Mixing heights are still expected to exceed 5500 feet but
elevated dispersions are not expected. MinRH values will be in the
low 30s and upper 20s for today, and gradually increase to the upper
30s and low 40s through the rest of the period. There are minimal
chances for a wetting rain over the next several days.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Issued at 506 AM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024

Minor river flooding continues along the St. Marks, Aucilla, lower
Withlacoochee, and lower and middle Suwannee Rivers. The St.
Marks, Aucilla, and Withlacoochee have crested and are falling.
The flood wave is just now reaching Luraville and will continue
proceeding downstream over the next several days. No rainfall is
anticipated, and no additional flood concerns are expected.

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Tallahassee   78  52  82  58 /   0   0   0   0
Panama City   75  56  79  61 /   0   0   0   0
Dothan        76  51  81  58 /   0   0   0   0
Albany        75  50  80  58 /   0   0   0   0
Valdosta      77  52  81  58 /   0   0   0   0
Cross City    79  52  81  55 /   0   0   0   0
Apalachicola  71  57  75  61 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Rip Current Risk through this evening for FLZ115.

GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

NEAR TERM...Montgomery
SHORT TERM...KR
LONG TERM....KR
AVIATION...Montgomery
MARINE...KR
FIRE WEATHER...Montgomery
HYDROLOGY...Young