Flood Potential Outlook
Issued by NWS Boston, MA

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5
000
FGUS71 KBOX 171746
ESFBOX
CTC003-013-015-MAC001-005-007-009-011-013-015-017-019-021-023-025-
027-NHC005-011-RIC001-003-005-007-009-181746-

WINTER/SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
145 PM EDT THU APR 17 2014

...THE SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL IS NEAR NORMAL ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHERN
NEW ENGLAND WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE CONNECTICUT RIVER....

THE SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL REMAINS ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE CONNECTICUT
RIVER FOR THE NEAR TERM. WE ANTICIPATE THE FLOOD THREAT FOR THE
CONNECTICUT RIVER WILL IMPROVE TO NEAR NORMAL IN THE LONGER TERM.

FLOOD OUTLOOKS ARE ISSUED EVERY TWO WEEKS INTO EARLY SPRING TO
ASSESS THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING. THE OUTLOOKS ARE BASED ON CURRENT
AND FORECAST HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS. THIS INCLUDES SNOW
COVER AND SNOW WATER EQUIVALENT...STREAM AND RIVER LEVELS AND THE
AMOUNT OF ICE COVERAGE...ALONG WITH EXPECTED TEMPERATURES AND
PRECIPITATION OVER THE NEXT TWO WEEKS.

...RECENT PRECIPITATION AND TEMPERATURES...

PRECIPITATION SINCE APRIL FIRST HAS AVERAGED 0.10 INCHES TO 1.00
INCHES ABOVE NORMAL ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. SINCE MARCH FIRST
PRECIPITATION ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND HAS RANGED FROM 0.25
INCHES TO ALMOST 3 INCHES ABOVE NORMAL. TEMPERATURES FOR SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND FROM APRIL FIRST THROUGH APRIL 16 HAVE AVERAGED ABOVE NORMAL.

...OBSERVED SNOW DEPTHS AND WATER EQUIVALENTS...

FOR THE MOST PART THE GROUND IS BARE ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND.
THERE WERE SOME LEFTOVER 1 TO 3 INCH DEPTHS NOTED ACROSS THE HIGHER
TERRAIN OF THE BERKSHIRES AND WORCESTER HILLS OF MASSACHUSETTS AND
THE LITCHFIELD HILLS IN CONNECTICUT.

SNOW WATER EQUIVALENTS WERE LESS THEN 0.50 INCHES IN THE AREAS OF
LEFTOVER SNOW PACKS.

...RIVER AND ICE CONDITIONS...

STREAMFLOWS ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND RANGED FROM NORMAL TO ABOVE
NORMAL LEVELS. MOST MAINSTEM RIVERS ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND WERE
BELOW FLOOD STAGE AS OF APRIL 16. THE EXCEPTION WAS THE CONNECTICUT
RIVER WHERE MONTAGUE...NORTHAMPTON...THOMPSONVILLE AND HARTFORD WERE
IN MINOR FLOOD. THE CONNECTICUT RIVER AT MIDDLE HADDEM WAS
APPROACHING MODERATE FLOOD. THE CONNECTICUT RIVER IS EXPECTED TO
HOLD NEAR STEADY THROUGH FRIDAY AND THEN SLOWLY RECEDE SATURDAY AND
BEYOND.

ALL RIVERS WERE ICE FREE AS OF APRIL 16TH.

...SOIL MOISTURE CONDITIONS AND WATER SUPPLY...

AS OF APRIL 16TH SOIL MOISTURE LEVELS ACROSS THE REGION WERE NEAR
NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.

EXAMINING GROUND WATER MONITORING WELL ACROSS THE REGION COURTESY OF
THE UNITED STATES GEOLOGICAL SURVEY (USGS) GROUND WATER LEVELS WERE
REPORTED TO BE AT OR ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS DUE TO RECENT ABOVE NORMAL
RAINFALL.

...TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK...

TEMPERATURES WILL BE BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THIS SATURDAY WITH
TEMPERATURES GOING ABOVE NORMAL FOR SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. BEYOND
TUESDAY OF NEXT WEEK TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE CLOSE TO NORMAL.

LOOKING OUT THROUGH THE NEXT 7 DAYS...AFTER TODAY THERE ARE SOME
CHANCE FOR MAINLY LIGHT RAIN SATURDAY OVER SOUTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS.
THERE WILL BE ANOTHER CHANCE OF MAINLY LIGHT RAIN ACROSS SOUTHERN
NEW ENGLAND FOR NEXT TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

THE OFFICIAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK FOR APRIL
24 TO APRIL 30 CALLS FOR NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND ABOVE NORMAL
PRECIPITATION.

...SUMMARY...

BASED ON THE INFORMATION AVAILABLE...THE SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL IS
NORMAL ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND IN THE NEAR TERM. THE
EXCEPTION TO THIS IS THE CONNECTICUT RIVER. THE CONNECTICUT RIVER IS
EXPECTED TO HAVE NEAR NORMAL FLOOD POTENTIAL IN THE LONG TERM.

RIVER FLOWS ARE NORMAL TO ABOVE NORMAL AND ANTECEDENT MOISTURE
CONDITIONS ARE NEAR NORMAL. THE SNOW PACK FOR MUCH OF SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND IS MOSTLY GONE EXCEPT FOR A FEW ISOLATED SPOTS IN THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS.

AFTER TODAY A LARGE PRECIPITATION MAKER IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THE
THE EARLY PART OF THE NEXT WORK WEEK.

RIVER ICE HAS GONE FROM SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND RIVERS.

KEEP IN MIND THAT HEAVY RAIN CAN CAUSE FLOODING ANY TIME OF THE
YEAR. THOSE WITH INTERESTS ALONG RIVERS AND STREAMS SHOULD CHECK THE
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...WHICH HIGHLIGHTS ANY POTENTIAL FLOOD
EVENTS OVER THE NEXT 7 DAYS. GO TO WEATHER.GOV/BOSTON AND CLICK ON
THE HAZARDOUS OUTLOOK SECTION ON THE TOP LEFT.

THE NEXT WINTER/SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED ON
THURSDAY MAY 01 2014 IF DEEMED NECESSARY AT THAT TIME.

$$

FOR THE LATEST UPDATES...PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BOSTON

YOU CAN FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AT
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/US.NATIONALWEATHERSERVICE.BOSTON.GOV

YOU CAN FOLLOW US ON TWITTER AT
@NWSBOSTON



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.