Headwater Guidance
Issued by NWS

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000
FOUS71 KRHA 191955
FFHPA2
HEADWATER STATEMENT FOR THE DELAWARE AND SUSQUEHANNA BASINS
MIDDLE ATLANTIC RIVER FORECAST CENTER
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
255 PM EST Fri Dec 19 2014

APPROXIMATE 1/3/6/12-HR BASIN AVERAGED RAINFALL (INCHES)
REQUIRED TO CAUSE MINOR, MODERATE, AND MAJOR FLOODING AT
THE INDICATED HEADWATER LOCATIONS.

.B RHA 141219 Z DH18/DC1412191931/DUE/PPHCF/PPTCF/PPQCF/PPKCF
:
:IDENT    1HR   3HR   6HR  12HR  HEADWATER NAME
:======= ====  ====  ====  ====  ====================
:
: NWS BINGHAMTON SERVICE AREA...
:  SUSQUEHANNA BASIN...
:  Chenango River...
SHBN6     1.3/  1.4/  1.4/  1.4 :Sherburne (8.5ft.)
:SHBN6md  1.7/  1.8/  1.8/  1.8  Sherburne (9)
:SHBN6mj  2.6/  2.7/  2.8/  2.8  Sherburne (10.6)
:  Otselic River...
CINN6     3.0/  3.2/  3.5/  3.5 :Cincinnatus (9ft.)
: ...moderate and major flood stages above rating table.
:  Cohocton River...
CMPN6     1.8/  2.4/  2.6/  2.7 :Campbell (8ft.)
:CMPN6md  2.7/  3.5/  3.9/  4.0  Campbell (10)
:CMPN6mj  3.5/  4.6/  5.1/  5.3  Campbell (11)
:  Canisteo River...
WCRN6     2.1/  2.5/  2.8/  3.0 :West Cameron (17ft)
:WCRN6md  2.3/  2.8/  3.1/  3.4  West Cameron (18)
:WCRN6mj  3.2/  3.9/  4.4/  4.8  West Cameron (21)
:  Towanda Creek...
MONP1     2.4/  2.4/  2.5/  2.9 :Monroeton (15.5ft)
:MONP1md  2.8/  2.9/  3.0/  3.5  Monroeton (17)
:MONP1mj  3.5/  3.6/  3.8/  4.5  Monroeton (18.5)
:  Tunkhannock Creek...
TNKP1     1.6/  2.0/  2.5/  2.9 :Tunkhannock (11ft.)
:TNKP1md  2.1/  2.7/  3.4/  3.9  Tunkhannock (14)
:TNKP1mj  2.8/  3.5/  4.4/  5.1  Tunkhannock (17)
:  Lackawanna River...
OFRP1     3.4/  3.8/  4.3/  4.6 :Old Forge (11ft.)
:OFRP1md  4.0/  4.6/  5.1/  5.5  Old Forge (13)
:OFRP1mj  5.0/  5.7/  6.4/  6.9  Old Forge (16)
:  DELAWARE BASIN...
:  East Branch Delaware River...
MRGN6     2.9/  3.3/  3.8/  4.2 :Margaretville (11ft)
:MRGN6md  3.5/  3.9/  4.5/  5.2  Margaretville (12)
:MRGN6mj  4.1/  4.6/  5.5/  6.4  Margaretville (13)
:  West Branch Delaware River...
WALN6     1.5/  1.6/  1.6/  1.6 :Walton (9.5ft.)
:WALN6md  3.1/  3.4/  3.5/  3.6  Walton (14)
:WALN6mj  4.1/  4.6/  4.7/  4.8  Walton (16)
:  Beaverkill Creek...
CKFN6     1.6/  2.1/  2.6/  3.0 :Cooks Falls (10ft.)
:CKFN6md  3.5/  4.6/  5.9/  7.1  Cooks Falls (16)
:CKFN6mj  4.2/  5.8/  7.4/  8.0  Cooks Falls (18)
:  Lackawaxen River...
HWYP1     3.3/  3.8/  3.9/  4.0 :Hawley (11ft.)
:HWYP1md  3.8/  4.2/  4.4/  4.6  Hawley (12)
:HWYP1mj  6.5/  7.0/  7.4/  8.0  Hawley (20)
:
: NWS STATE COLLEGE SERVICE AREA...
:  SUSQUEHANNA BASIN...
:  Tioga River...
MFDP1     2.9/  3.0/  3.2/  3.9 :Mansfield (12ft.)
:MFDP1md  3.3/  3.4/  3.7/  4.5  Mansfield (13)
:MFDP1mj  3.9/  4.1/  4.5/  5.5  Mansfield (14)
:  Penns Creek...
PNCP1     1.9/  2.2/  2.5/  2.7 :Penns Creek (8ft.)
:PNCP1md  2.5/  3.0/  3.4/  3.7  Penns Creek (10)
:PNCP1mj  3.3/  4.1/  4.6/  5.0  Penns Creek (12)
:  Frankstown Branch Juniata River...
WIBP1     1.6/  1.7/  2.1/  2.3 :Williamsburg (12ft)
:WIBP1md  1.8/  1.9/  2.4/  2.6  Williamsburg (13)
:WIBP1mj  2.2/  2.4/  2.9/  3.2  Williamsburg (15)
:  Little Juniata River...
SPKP1     1.4/  1.7/  2.1/  2.4 :Spruce Creek (8ft.)
:SPKP1md  1.9/  2.2/  2.8/  3.2  Spruce Creek (10)
:SPKP1mj  3.0/  3.6/  4.4/  5.1  Spruce Creek (14)
:  Aughwick Creek...
SLYP1     2.0/  2.0/  2.1/  2.2 :Shirleysburg (10ft.)
:SLYP1md  2.7/  2.7/  2.8/  3.0  Shirleysburg (12)
:SLYP1mj  6.5/  7.0/  7.4/  8.0  Shirleysburg (20)
:  Sherman Creek...
SMDP1     2.5/  2.8/  3.1/  3.2 :Shermans Dale (9ft)
:SMDP1md  3.3/  3.6/  4.1/  4.2  Shermans Dale (11)
:SMDP1mj  5.3/  5.9/  6.8/  7.1  Shermans Dale (16)
:  Conodoguinet Creek...
HGSP1     2.9/  2.9/  2.9/  2.9 :Hogestown (8ft.)
:HGSP1md  4.0/  4.0/  4.0/  4.0  Hogestown (10)
:HGSP1mj  5.2/  5.2/  5.2/  5.2  Hogestown (12)
:  Yellow Breeches Creek...
CPHP1     2.9/  3.0/  3.0/  3.0 :Camp Hill (7ft.)
:CPHP1md  3.8/  3.9/  3.9/  4.0  Camp Hill (9)
:CPHP1mj  6.0/  6.2/  6.3/  6.5  Camp Hill (13)
:  Swatara Creek...
HTVP1     1.8/  1.9/  2.0/  2.1 :Harper Tavern (9ft.)
:HTVP1md  2.7/  2.8/  2.9/  3.1  Harper Tavern (12)
:HTVP1mj  3.8/  3.9/  4.1/  4.5  Harper Tavern (15)
:  Conestoga River...
LNCP1     2.2/  2.3/  2.5/  2.7 :Lancaster (11ft.)
:LNCP1md  2.8/  2.9/  3.1/  3.4  Lancaster (13)
:LNCP1mj  3.5/  3.6/  3.8/  4.2  Lancaster (15)
:  DELAWARE BASIN...
:  Schuylkill River...
LGVP1     2.0/  2.1/  2.1/  2.3 :Landingville (8ft)
:LGVP1md  2.7/  2.9/  3.1/  3.4  Landingville (12)
:LGVP1mj  3.2/  3.6/  3.8/  4.3  Landingville (14)
:
: NWS MT. HOLLY SERVICE AREA...
:  DELAWARE BASIN...
:  Schuylkill River...
BREP1     3.1/  3.4/  3.9/  4.3 :Berne (12ft.)
:BREP1md  4.3/  4.6/  5.4/  5.9  Berne (14)
:BREP1mj  5.4/  5.8/  6.9/  7.7  Berne (16)
:  Bush Kill...
SHOP1     3.6/  3.9/  4.0/  4.1 :Shoemakers (6ft.)
:SHOP1md  4.3/  4.6/  4.7/  4.9  Shoemakers (7)
:SHOP1mj  5.0/  5.4/  5.6/  5.8  Shoemakers (8)
:  Brodhead Creek...
MNSP1     3.2/  3.8/  4.5/  4.7 :Minisink Hills(10ft)
:MNSP1md  4.0/  4.7/  5.6/  5.9  Minisink Hills(12)
:MNSP1mj  5.1/  6.0/  7.3/  7.8  Minisink Hills(15)
:  Little Lehigh Creek...
APAP1     1.8/  2.0/  2.4/  3.2 :Allentown-10th (8ft)
:APAP1md  2.6/  2.9/  3.5/  4.7  Allentown-10th (10)
:APAP1mj  3.7/  4.2/  5.1/  7.1  Allentown-10th (12)
:  Perkiomen Creek...
GRAP1     1.3/  1.8/  2.0/  2.5 :Graterford (11ft.)
:GRAP1md  1.8/  2.4/  2.7/  3.4  Graterford (13)
:GRAP1mj  2.4/  3.2/  3.6/  4.7  Graterford (16)
:  Neshaminy Creek...
LNGP1     1.3/  1.7/  1.7/  2.0 :Langhorne (9ft.)
:LNGP1md  1.5/  1.9/  2.0/  2.3  Langhorne (10)
:LNGP1mj  2.0/  2.5/  2.6/  3.1  Langhorne (12)
:  Chester Creek...
CHSP1     1.4/  1.5/  1.7/  2.2 :Chester (8ft.)
:CHSP1md  2.0/  2.1/  2.4/  3.2  Chester (10)
:CHSP1mj  3.2/  3.3/  3.8/  5.0  Chester (14)
:  West Branch Brandywine Creek...
MODP1     4.4/  4.7/  5.1/  5.3 :Modena (9ft)
:MODP1md  5.4/  5.7/  6.3/  6.7  Modena (10)
:MODP1mj  6.5/  7.0/  7.4/  8.0  Modena (12)
:  East Branch Brandywine Creek...
DWNP1     1.4/  1.5/  1.5/  1.7 :Downingtown (7ft)
:DWNP1md  1.9/  1.9/  2.0/  2.2  Downingtown (8)
:DWNP1mj  2.3/  2.3/  2.4/  2.7  Downingtown (9)
:  Brandywine Creek...
CDFP1     1.4/  1.9/  2.3/  2.4 :Chadds Ford (9ft.)
:CDFP1md  2.0/  2.8/  3.4/  3.6  Chadds Ford (11)
:CDFP1mj  2.8/  3.8/  4.6/  4.8  Chadds Ford (13)
:  Christina River...
CHBD1     1.2/  1.3/  1.6/  2.3 :Coochs Brdg(10.5ft)
:CHBD1md  2.0/  2.2/  2.7/  3.8  Coochs Brdg(11.5)
:CHBD1mj  3.0/  3.3/  3.9/  5.7  Coochs Brdg(12.5)
:  White Clay Creek...
DPKD1     1.4/  1.5/  1.7/  2.3 :Delaware Pk (13ft)
:DPKD1md  2.4/  2.5/  2.8/  3.6  Delaware Pk (15)
:DPKD1mj  3.9/  4.1/  4.6/  6.1  Delaware Pk (16.5)
:  Red Clay Creek...
RCCD1     1.8/  2.0/  2.3/  2.8 :Wooddale (7ft)
:RCCD1md  2.5/  2.8/  3.2/  3.9  Wooddale (8.5)
:RCCD1mj  3.2/  3.5/  4.0/  4.9  Wooddale (10)
.END

UPPER DELAWARE BASIN WATER SUPPLY GUIDANCE

APPROXIMATE RUNOFF (IN MILLIONS OF GALLONS) PRODUCED FROM EACH OF
THE FOLLOWING 6-HOUR RAINFALL AMOUNTS (IN INCHES)...

.BR RHA 20141219 Z DH18/DC1412191955/DUE/QMXC1/QMXC2/QMXC3
.B1 /QMXC4/QMXC5/QMXC6
:                 RAINFALL
:IDENT    0.1    0.5    1.0    2.0     3.0     5.0   LOCATION
:======= ===== ====== ====== ====== ======= =======  ================
CANN6DEL   357/  1215/  2604/  6401/  11416/  23946 :CANNONSVILLE-456sqmi
DWNN6DEL   194/   656/  1481/  4100/   7893/  17984 :PEPACTON-372sqmi
LWKP1WPK    96/   363/   805/  2075/   3866/   8771 :WALLENPAUPACK-228sqm
NVRN6NVR    43/   136/   293/   764/   1458/   3407 :NEVERSINK-93sqmi
.END

:===============================================================
:          EXPERIMENTAL NON-FCST POINT RAW MODEL OUTPUT
:      NO MANUAL QC OR ADJUSTMENTS APPLIED...USE WITH CAUTION
:===============================================================
:
: NWS BINGHAMTON SERVICE AREA...
.B RHA 141219 Z DH18/DC1412191931/DUE/PPHCF/PPTCF/PPQCF/PPKCF
:GageID   1hr   3hr   6hr   12hr  rainfall for indicated stages
:  Lackawanna River...
ARHP1     2.9/  3.0/  3.4/  4.1 :Archbald (8ft.)
:ARHP1md  3.5/  3.6/  4.0/  5.0  Archbald (9)
:ARHP1mj  4.1/  4.2/  4.8/  6.0  Archbald (10)
PKIP1     2.3/  2.3/  2.4/  2.8 :Scranton (7.5ft.)
:PKIP1md  2.4/  2.5/  2.6/  2.9  Scranton (8)
:PKIP1mj  2.9/  3.0/  3.1/  3.4  Scranton (9.5)
.END
: Model-simulated 3-hourly stage forecasts including QPF...
.E ARHP1 20141219 DC1412191954/DH21/HGIFX/DIH3/
.E1 2.5/2.4/2.4/2.4/2.4/2.4/2.4/2.4
.E PKIP1 20141219 DC1412191954/DH21/HGIFX/DIH3/
.E1 2.3/2.2/2.2/2.1/2.1/2.1/2.1/2.1
:chps
$$
NNNN



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