Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS

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FNAK51 PAFC 011515
FWFAER

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
715 AM AKDT TUE SEP 1 2015

.DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE DROPPING THROUGH
SOUTHCENTRAL EARLY THIS MORNING WILL PRODUCE ONE MORE BUMP UP
IN WINDS...PRIMARILY ALONG COASTAL GAPS. INLAND AREAS WILL SEE
A SMALLER UPTICK IN WINDS DURING THE DAY...BUT NOTHING NEARLY
AS STRONG AS THE PAST COUPLE DAYS. LESS WIND MEANS RHS WILL NOT
BE QUITE AS LOW.

PRESSURE GRADIENTS WILL BEGIN TO SLACKEN FOR GOOD THIS AFTERNOON
LEADING TO DIMINISHING WINDS ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL TONIGHT INTO
THURSDAY...HANGING ON LONGEST ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST. THE LACK
OF WIND WILL LEAD TO HIGHER RHS DURING THE DAY WITH FULL RECOVERY
OVERNIGHT.

A PATTERN CHANGE IS IN STORE AS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE QUICKLY
PASSES THROUGH WEDNESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. CONFIDENCE HAS
GREATLY INCREASED THAT A SYSTEM MOVING UP FROM THE PACIFIC BEHIND
THE RIDGE WILL MAKE IT INTO SOUTHCENTRAL BY THURSDAY. THIS WILL
LIKELY BRING WETTING RAINS TO MUCH OF THE REGION. LOOKING EVEN
FARTHER OUT IN TIME...IT LOOKS LIKE THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW WILL
REMAIN PROGRESSIVE WHICH WOULD BE FAVORABLE FOR PERIODS OF RAIN
EVERY 2 OR 3 DAYS.


AKZ101-020430-
ANCHORAGE-
INCLUDING...ANCHORAGE...EAGLE RIVER...INDIAN...EKLUTNA
715 AM AKDT TUE SEP 1 2015

.ABOVE 1500 FT...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD COVER        CLEAR        CLEAR        CLEAR
PRECIP TYPE        NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP      0            0            0
TEMP (24H TREND)   57 (+1)      38 (+2)      61
RH % (24H TREND)   41-48 (+12)  69-79 (+8)   41-49
20FTWND(MPH)       NW 6-15 G25  N 5-10       LGT/VAR
CWR                0            0            0
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...WIND GUSTS DIMINISHING BY LATE AFTERNOON.

.BELOW 1500 FT...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD COVER        CLEAR        CLEAR        CLEAR
PRECIP TYPE        NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP      0            0            0
TEMP (24H TREND)   62 (+1)      36 (-3)      65
RH % (24H TREND)   35-41 (+9)   71-79 (+14)  35-45
20FTWND(MPH)       N 6-12 G20   N 4-11       LGT/VAR
CWR                0            0            0
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...WIND GUSTS DIMINISHING BY LATE AFTERNOON.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AKZ111-020430-
MATANUSKA VALLEY-
INCLUDING...PALMER...WASILLA...SUTTON...CHICKALOON
715 AM AKDT TUE SEP 1 2015

.ABOVE 1500 FT...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD COVER        MCLEAR       CLEAR        CLEAR
PRECIP TYPE        NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP      0            0            0
TEMP (24H TREND)   49-56 (+1)   36 (+1)      56-62
RH % (24H TREND)   38-48 (+10)  72-82 (+14)  34-41
20FTWND(MPH)       N 4-10 G18   NE 4-10      LGT/VAR
CWR                0            0            0
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...STRONGEST WIND GUSTS WEST OF PALMER.

.BELOW 1500 FT...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD COVER        CLEAR        CLEAR        CLEAR
PRECIP TYPE        NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP      0            0            0
TEMP (24H TREND)   62 (+1)      34 (-4)      65
RH % (24H TREND)   33-41 (+9)   76-83 (+20)  31-39
20FTWND(MPH)       NW 5-10 G20  N 2-15       LGT/VAR
CWR                0            0            0
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...STRONGEST WIND GUSTS WEST OF PALMER.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AKZ121-020430-
WESTERN KENAI PENINSULA-
INCLUDING...KENAI...SOLDOTNA...HOMER...COOPER LANDING
715 AM AKDT TUE SEP 1 2015

.INLAND AREAS...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD COVER        CLEAR        CLEAR        CLEAR
PRECIP TYPE        NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP      0            0            0
TEMP (24H TREND)   60 (+1)      36 (-3)      64
RH % (24H TREND)   32-41 (+8)   67-82 (+16)  30-39
20FTWND(MPH)       N 7-15       N 2-11       LGT/VAR
CWR                0            0            0
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.COASTAL AREAS...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD COVER        CLEAR        CLEAR        CLEAR
PRECIP TYPE        NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP      0            0            0
TEMP (24H TREND)   60 (+2)      40 (-2)      62
RH % (24H TREND)   33-43 (+7)   69-84 (+12)  39-48
20FTWND(MPH)       N 9-14 G30   NW 5-15      N 2-6
CWR                0            0            0
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN
THE MID 50S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AKZ145-020430-
SUSITNA VALLEY-
INCLUDING...TALKEETNA...WILLOW...CANTWELL
715 AM AKDT TUE SEP 1 2015

.ABOVE 1500 FT...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD COVER        MCLEAR       CLEAR        CLEAR
PRECIP TYPE        NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP      0            0            0
TEMP (24H TREND)   54 (0)       23-34 (-3)   60
RH % (24H TREND)   34-43 (+9)   66-87 (+10)  29-37
20FTWND(MPH)       N 5-13 G25   N 5-15       LGT/VAR
CWR                0            0            0
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.BELOW 1500 FT...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD COVER        CLEAR        CLEAR        CLEAR
PRECIP TYPE        NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP      0            0            0
TEMP (24H TREND)   61 (+2)      29-35 (-3)   64
RH % (24H TREND)   29-35 (+5)   73-81 (+10)  28-35
20FTWND(MPH)       N 3-11 G20   N 4-10       LGT/VAR
CWR                0            0            0
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AKZ171-020430-
KODIAK ISLAND-
INCLUDING...KODIAK CITY
715 AM AKDT TUE SEP 1 2015

.INLAND AREAS...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD COVER        CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        NONE         NONE         RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP      0            0            60
TEMP (24H TREND)   60-66 (+6)   46 (+4)      56-63
RH % (24H TREND)   27-34 (-3)   52-83 (+7)   36-53
20FTWND(MPH)       NW 4-8 G18   NW 3-5       SW 3-6
CWR                0            0            10
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.COASTAL AREAS...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD COVER        CLEAR        CLEAR        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        NONE         NONE         RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP      0            0            60
TEMP (24H TREND)   59-65 (+5)   48 (+1)      59
RH % (24H TREND)   30-47 (+4)   63-88 (+17)  42-66
20FTWND(MPH)       NW 3-13 G25  W 3-10       S 2-8
CWR                0            0            20
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN
THE MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS
IN THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$



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