Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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FNUS53 KAPX 292005
FWFAPX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
405 PM EDT SUN MAR 29 2015

...ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN THIS WEEK...

.DISCUSSION...SNOW OR SNOW MIXED WITH RAIN WILL CONTINUE INTO
TONIGHT. A FEW LINGERING SNOW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE MONDAY...WITH A
LITTLE MORE SNOW POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHERN LOWER
MICHIGAN MONDAY NIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY. YOUR MIDWEEK WEATHER
LOOKS MUCH WARMER AND SHOWERY...AS LOW PRESSURE TRACKS THROUGH THE
NORTHERN LAKES.


MIZ016-017-019-021>023-300830-
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY
COUNTIES-
405 PM EDT SUN MAR 29 2015

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN AND SNOW UNTIL
                    2400...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....27-32.
   24 HR TREND......17 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-94 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......28 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 37 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (350).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 27 TO 30 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.07-0.20 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SCATTERED SNOW
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....39-44.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........47-52 PERCENT...EXCEPT 62-67 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......24 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 15 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1360).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 27 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....20-25...EXCEPT 27-32 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT...EXCEPT 83-88 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (10).
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST
                    AROUND 6 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW
                    AFTER 0800.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....38-43...EXCEPT 31-36 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-54 PERCENT...EXCEPT 66-71 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 2 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (330).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 9 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-300830-
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-
405 PM EDT SUN MAR 29 2015

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN AND SNOW UNTIL
                    2400...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....29-34.
   24 HR TREND......20 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........87-92 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 3 PERCENT DRIER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (440).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 30 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.05-0.14 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 0800...THEN OCCASIONAL FLURRIES
                    UNTIL 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....42-47...EXCEPT 34-39 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT...EXCEPT 55-60 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 9 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (2090).
MIXING HEIGHT.......6100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 30 TO 33 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....23-28.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT...EXCEPT 80-85 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (20).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND
                    6 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW
                    AND RAIN AFTER 0800.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....40-45...EXCEPT 31-36 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........48-53 PERCENT...EXCEPT 62-67 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 12 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (420).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-300830-
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-
405 PM EDT SUN MAR 29 2015

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN AND SNOW UNTIL
                    2400...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....29-34.
   24 HR TREND......20 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT 11 DEGREES WARMER
                    NEAR THE COAST.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (170).
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 21 TO 27 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.07-0.20 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SCATTERED SNOW
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....40-45...EXCEPT 33-38 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT...EXCEPT 62-67 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 7 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1120).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 21 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SNOW LIKELY
                    AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....26-31.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-95 PERCENT...EXCEPT 80-85 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 3 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (10).
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.05 IN.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SNOW LIKELY
                    UNTIL 0800...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....40-45...EXCEPT 32-37 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........53-58 PERCENT...EXCEPT 67-72 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (430).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 12 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN.


$$

MIZ031>033-300830-
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
405 PM EDT SUN MAR 29 2015

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN AND SNOW UNTIL
                    2400...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0500...THEN
                    CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....29-34.
   24 HR TREND......20 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT 12 DEGREES WARMER
                    NEAR THE COAST.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......27 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 11 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (200).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 21 TO 27 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.07-0.16 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 0800...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....42-47.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-51 PERCENT...EXCEPT 58-63 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1290).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 21 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SNOW AND RAIN
                    LIKELY AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....25-30.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-95 PERCENT...EXCEPT 80-85 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (20).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.08 IN.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SNOW AND RAIN
                    LIKELY UNTIL 0800...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN AND
                    SNOW.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....42-47.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT...EXCEPT 62-67 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (570).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AROUND
                    15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.08 IN.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-300830-
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-
405 PM EDT SUN MAR 29 2015

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN AND SNOW UNTIL
                    2400...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....28-33.
   24 HR TREND......22 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........87-92 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (410).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 27 TO 30 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.19 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 0800. OCCASIONAL SNOW SHOWERS
                    AFTER 0800 UNTIL 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....44-49.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (2260).
MIXING HEIGHT.......6400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 30 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW
                    AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....25-30.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (10).
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND
                    6 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW.
                    CHANCE OF RAIN AFTER 0800.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....42-47.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........47-52 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (510).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.07 IN.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS AROUND
19. HIGHS AROUND 50. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS AROUND 40.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.

$$

AJS



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