Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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000
FNUS51 KBUF 060746
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
346 AM EDT FRI MAY 6 2016

.DISCUSSION...

AN UPPER LEVEL LOW ALONG THE CAROLINA COAST WILL DRIFT NORTHWARD
INTO THE MID ATLANTIC STATES TODAY...BEFORE WEAKENING AND SLIDING
OFF THE EASTERN SEABOARD ON SATURDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING A
CHANCE FOR SOME ADDITIONAL SHOWERS BACK INTO THE REGION FOR A TIME
LATE TODAY AND TONIGHT...BEFORE DRIER WEATHER RETURNS OVERNIGHT
AND FOR MUCH OF SATURDAY. MEANWHILE...TEMPERATURES WILL AVERAGE
A LITTLE ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH SATURDAY. A WAVY COLD FRONT WILL
THEN CROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT ALONG WITH ANOTHER ROUND OF
MORE WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS...WITH COOLER
AIR THEN FOLLOWING FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY.

NYZ001-002-010-011-062115-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
346 AM EDT FRI MAY 6 2016

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SAT
CLOUD COVER                    MCLEAR        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0            0           30
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         NONE      SHOWERS
MIN/MAX TEMP                       67           47           71
AM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
PM WIND (MPH)                   NE  9      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.00         0.04
PRECIP DURATION                                               0
PRECIP BEGIN                                               5 PM
PRECIP END                                           CONTINUING
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               39           95           43
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              6630           70         6900
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             NE 20        NE 17        SW 11
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              132600         1190        75900
DISPERSION INDEX                  133            1           76
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-062115-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
346 AM EDT FRI MAY 6 2016

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SAT
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0           30           30
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
MIN/MAX TEMP                       64           43           71
AM WIND (MPH)                    N  6                   LGT/VAR
PM WIND (MPH)                    N 11        NE  5        SW  5
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.06         0.04
PRECIP DURATION                                  2            1
PRECIP BEGIN                                  6 PM         5 PM
PRECIP END                                    3 AM   CONTINUING
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               39           98           40
HAINES INDEX                        4            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              7610           70         7770
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             NE 23        NE 22        SW 14
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              175030         1540       108780
DISPERSION INDEX                  175            2          109
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-062115-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
346 AM EDT FRI MAY 6 2016

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SAT
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     30           60            0
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS      SHOWERS         NONE
MIN/MAX TEMP                       65           47           71
AM WIND (MPH)                    N  6                      S  5
PM WIND (MPH)                    N 11      LGT/VAR         S  6
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.02         0.15         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                     0            4
PRECIP BEGIN                     5 PM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING         4 AM
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               42           93           41
HAINES INDEX                        4            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              6310           70         8110
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             NE 22        NE 19        SW 13
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              138820         1330       105430
DISPERSION INDEX                  139            1          105
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-062115-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
346 AM EDT FRI MAY 6 2016

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SAT
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0           50            0
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE      SHOWERS         NONE
MIN/MAX TEMP                       67           46           68
AM WIND (MPH)                   NE  7                      S  7
PM WIND (MPH)                   NE  9      LGT/VAR         S  8
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.07         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                                  2
PRECIP BEGIN                                  6 PM
PRECIP END                                    4 AM
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               37           96           42
HAINES INDEX                        4            3            4
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              6260           70         7650
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             NE 18        NE 15         S 18
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              112680         1050       137700
DISPERSION INDEX                  113            1          138
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN
THE MID 40S.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.

WIND SATURDAY NIGHT...SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND SUNDAY...WEST AROUND 15 MPH.
WIND MONDAY...WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
WIND TUESDAY...SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$


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