Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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FNUS53 KDTX 240751
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
351 AM EDT SUN JUL 24 2016

.DISCUSSION...EARLY DAY SHOWERS...THUNDERSTORMS...AND CLOUDS WILL
LIMIT TEMPERATURES INTO THE MID AND UPPER 80S TODAY. ANOTHER ROUND OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY REDEVELOP LATE TODAY AND TONIGHT AHEAD
OF A COLD FRONT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN GRADUALLY BUILD INTO THE
GREAT LAKES LATE MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. THIS WILL BRING DRY WEATHER
BUT TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL EACH DAY WITH HIGHS
EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM THE MID 80S TO LOW 90S.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-242115-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
351 AM EDT SUN JUL 24 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 2 PM...THEN
                    PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 8 AM...THEN SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY UNTIL 1 PM...THEN CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-90.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........53-60 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......27 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4720-5220 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH...INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 20
                    TO 25 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1450).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.76-1.00 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) UNTIL 2 AM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 AM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....69-74.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-95 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......120-320 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH...BECOMING WEST LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 9 AM.
                    POP...20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....84-89.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-47 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8390-8890 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 25 MPH
                    LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1980).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-242115-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
351 AM EDT SUN JUL 24 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 PM...THEN
                    PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 9 AM...THEN SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY UNTIL NOON...THEN CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........54-64 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......24 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST BY
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4060-4560 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH...INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 20
                    TO 25 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1090).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.51-0.75 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 6 AM. A SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 6 AM.
                    POP...50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-97 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......140-340 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 9 AM.
                    POP...20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........39-49 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8150-8650 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1970).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-242115-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
351 AM EDT SUN JUL 24 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 PM...THEN
                    PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....84-89.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-58 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......25 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15
                    MPH BY AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4520-5020 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST BY
                    AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (960).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.51-0.75 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....70-75.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-97 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......120-320 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT) UNTIL 6 PM...THEN
                    SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 9 AM...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2 PM.
                    POP...30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....87-92.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-45 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7610-8110 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1680).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.

$$

RBP



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