Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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000
FNUS53 KDTX 021955
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
351 PM EDT WED SEP 2 2015

.DISCUSSION...WARM AND HUMID CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE END
OF THE WEEK. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH
SATURDAY...WITH THE HIGHEST COVERAGE EXPECTED ON THURSDAY. THE MAIN
THREAT FROM THESE STORMS WILL BE VERY HEAVY RAINFALL AS STORM MOTION
WILL BE VERY SLOW. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN RELATIVELY LIGHT.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-031400-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
351 PM EDT WED SEP 2 2015

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 6 AM. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 6 AM.
                    POP...50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....65-70.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........56-64 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING WEST IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN...BECOMING NORTH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7340-7840 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (570).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....61-66.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING UP TO 5 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........57-62 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST BY
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5750-6250 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (380).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-031400-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
351 PM EDT WED SEP 2 2015

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2 AM. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 2 AM.
                    POP...40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST UP TO 5
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 9 AM...THEN
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...50
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........58-68 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5580-6080 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (480).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........59-69 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5140-5640 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (680).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-031400-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
351 PM EDT WED SEP 2 2015

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2 AM. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 2 AM.
                    POP...40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....66-71.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 9 AM...THEN
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...50
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........55-63 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING WEST LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8440-8940 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (990).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 2 AM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....62-67.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING EAST UP TO 5
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........56-63 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST BY
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6960-7460 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST BY
                    AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (560).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.LABOR DAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.

$$

CB/HLO



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