763
FNUS53 KDTX 040712
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
312 AM EDT Sat May 4 2024

.DISCUSSION...Another warm and moist day with min rh remaining
somewhat elevated in the 50 to 65 percent range. Scattered showers
and possible thunderstorms this evening through Sunday morning.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-042115-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
312 AM EDT Sat May 4 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 2 pm, then
                    partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Areas of fog
                    until 11 am.
Max temperature.....68-74.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........45-55 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 5 to 10 mph becoming southeast 10 to
                    15 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4270-4770 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph becoming southeast in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (562).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 5 am. Chance of rain
                    showers. Chance of thunderstorms after 5 am.
                    Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Min temperature.....54-58.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........91-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest after
                    midnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......880-1080 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph becoming southwest after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (21).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 11 am. Chance of precipitation 30
                    percent.
Max temperature.....64-68.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........33-43 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 10 to 15 mph becoming north early in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3710-4210 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (434).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-042115-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
312 AM EDT Sat May 4 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Areas of fog
                    until 11 am.
Max temperature.....66-72.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........55-65 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East 5 to 10 mph becoming southeast 10 to 15
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4030-4530 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph becoming southeast in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (580).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms.
                    Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Min temperature.....50-56.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........99 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......520-720 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (32).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 2 pm. Chance of precipitation 40
                    percent.
Max temperature.....62-68.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........45-55 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West around 10 mph becoming north in the late
                    morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2650-3150 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 mph becoming north in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (346).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-042115-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
312 AM EDT Sat May 4 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (80-90 percent) until 8 am, then partly
                    sunny (55-65 percent). Patchy fog until 8 am.
Max temperature.....70-76.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........57-67 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East 5 to 10 mph becoming southeast 10 to 15
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3530-4030 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph becoming southeast in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (529).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 2 am. Chance of rain
                    showers. Chance of thunderstorms after 5 am.
                    Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Min temperature.....56-60.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........94-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 5 to 10 mph becoming south after
                    midnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......780-980 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph becoming southwest after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (19).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (80-90 percent) until 2 pm, then partly
                    sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of showers
                    until 2 pm. Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Max temperature.....68-72.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........48-58 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West around 10 mph becoming north early in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3080-3580 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph becoming north in the late
                    morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (380).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the upper 60s.
Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower 70s.
Southeast winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. Southwest
winds around 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely. Lows in the mid 50s.
Highs in the lower 70s.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows around 50. Highs in
the mid 60s.

$$

SF