Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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FNUS53 KDTX 280743
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
342 AM EDT SAT MAY 28 2016

.DISCUSSION...WARM AND HUMID CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH MEMORIAL
DAY WEEKEND WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES EACH AFTERNOON RISING INTO THE
80S. LOW PRESSURE LIFTING WEST OF THE GREAT LAKES WILL PROVIDE A
MODEST SOUTH WIND TODAY...WITH GUSTS REACHING UP TO 25 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...WITH BETTER COVERAGE THAN WE HAVE
SEEN THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS EXPECTED TODAY AND SUNDAY DURING EACH
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL HAVE THE
POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. A COLD FRONT WILL WORK
ACROSS THE AREA SUNDAY EVENING...BRINGING IN DRIER AIR FOR MEMORIAL
DAY AND ENDING CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-282100-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESSE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
342 AM EDT SAT MAY 28 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 PM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1 PM...THEN
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...50
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........48-53 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 15
                    TO 20 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7830-8330 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH...INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 20
                    TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (2040).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1 AM...THEN A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
                    POP...40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....64-69.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........87-93 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......880-1080 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1 PM...THEN
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...50
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9440-9940 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND
                    30 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (2540).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-282100-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
342 AM EDT SAT MAY 28 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER NOON UNTIL
                    1 PM...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS. POP...50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........48-58 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 MPH
                    BY AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8630-9130 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 25
                    MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (2060).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 AM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2 AM...THEN A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
                    POP...40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....61-66.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......160-360 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1 PM...THEN
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...50
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........53-63 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9300-9800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (2580).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-282100-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
342 AM EDT SAT MAY 28 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER NOON UNTIL
                    1 PM...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS. POP...50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........48-54 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 MPH
                    BY AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7950-8450 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH...INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 15
                    TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1610).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    UNTIL 7 AM. POP...30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....62-67.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-95 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......540-740 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND
                    10 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER NOON UNTIL
                    1 PM...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS. POP...50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........52-57 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10110-10610 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND
                    25 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (2780).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MEMORIAL DAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.

$$

DG



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