Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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000
FNUS53 KDTX 191956
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
356 PM EDT SAT APR 19 2014

.DISCUSSION...
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL RETREAT OUT OF THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN
GREAT LAKES TONIGHT. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL WARM TO NEAR 70 SUNDAY
AND INTO THE LOW 70S ON MONDAY AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM AND COLD FRONT. AT THIS TIME IT APPEARS THE SHOWERS WILL
HOLD OFF ON MONDAY UNTIL MONDAY NIGHT. WENT CONSIDERABLY DRIER AND
WARMER FOR MONDAY...RH VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE BETWEEN 40 AND 50
PERCENT FOR THE AFTERNOON.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-201415-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
356 PM EDT SAT APR 19 2014

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (25-35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....32-37.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........74-84 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......710-910 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (30).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). POP...20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-69.
   24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........32-42 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4710-5210 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (830).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). POP...20
                    PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
   24 HR TREND......16 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........78-88 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......260-460 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS UNTIL 2 PM...THEN CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS. POP...40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-71.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-54 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8240-8740 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND
                    25 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (2060).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-201415-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
356 PM EDT SAT APR 19 2014

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (25-35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-35.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........76-86 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......960-1160 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (10).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). POP...20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
   24 HR TREND......18 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........33-43 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4150-4650 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (680).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....44-49.
   24 HR TREND......16 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........79-86 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......120-320 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS UNTIL 2 PM...THEN CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS. POP...40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-69.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-54 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8250-8750 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND
                    25 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1940).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-201415-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
356 PM EDT SAT APR 19 2014

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....32-37.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........76-86 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......840-1040 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (20).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-71.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-40 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3560-4060 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (420).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (25-35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....44-49.
   24 HR TREND......16 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........79-89 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......280-480 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    AFTER 2 PM. POP...30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-74.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-49 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8240-8740 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND
                    20 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1550).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS AROUND 60.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S.

$$

CB





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