Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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000
FNUS53 KDTX 231935
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
335 PM EDT WED APR 23 2014

.DISCUSSION...
DEEP MIXING HEIGHTS WILL RESULT IN DRY AND BREEZY DAY ON THURSDAY
WITH RH VALUES FALLING TO 25 TO 30 PERCENT DURING THE AFTERNOON WHILE
SOUTHEAST WINDS GUST AS HIGH AS 20 MPH. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN
SOLIDLY BELOW 60 DEGREES. MOISTURE WILL RETURN TO THE AREA THURSDAY
NIGHT INTO FRIDAY BRINGING A PERIOD OF SHOWERS AND HIGHER RH VALUES
OF 40 PERCENT AND HIGHER.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-241400-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
335 PM EDT WED APR 23 2014

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL 6 AM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....29-34.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........75-85 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING UP TO 5 MPH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......720-920 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AFTER 1 PM UNTIL 4 PM. POP...20
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........28-38 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4830-5330 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND
                    20 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1110).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY
                    AFTER 2 AM. POP...80 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........76-86 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......780-980 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (50).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT) UNTIL NOON...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 11 AM...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 2 PM. POP...80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........47-57 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......21 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING WEST IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN...INCREASING TO AROUND 20 MPH
                    LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4670-5170 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH...BECOMING WEST IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN...INCREASING TO AROUND 35 MPH
                    LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1750).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-241400-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
335 PM EDT WED APR 23 2014

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....26-31.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING
                    LIGHT OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......720-920 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT...THEN...BECOMING NORTHWEST LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....48-53.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-40 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4770-5270 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN...INCREASING TO AROUND 15 MPH
                    LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (830).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AFTER 2 AM. POP...60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........68-78 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......22 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......540-740 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (40).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 11 AM...THEN SHOWERS LIKELY UNTIL
                    2 PM. POP...80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........47-57 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING WEST BY
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4680-5180 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 20 MPH...BECOMING WEST IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN...INCREASING TO AROUND 30 MPH
                    LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1710).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-241400-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
335 PM EDT WED APR 23 2014

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....29-34.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........84-94 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST UP
                    TO 5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......660-860 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING EAST AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). POP...20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........24-34 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH
                    BY AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4130-4630 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 15
                    MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (710).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AFTER 2 AM UNTIL 5 AM...THEN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY. POP...80 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........72-82 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......720-920 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (30).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT) UNTIL NOON...THEN PARTLY
                    SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). SHOWERS UNTIL
                    11 AM...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 2 PM. POP...80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....59-64.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-50 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING WEST IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN...INCREASING TO AROUND 20 MPH
                    LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5150-5650 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH...BECOMING WEST AROUND
                    25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN...INCREASING TO
                    AROUND 35 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (2100).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S.

$$

JVC






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