Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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FNUS53 KGRR 271952
FWFGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
352 PM EDT WED AUG 27 2014

...DRY WAETHER THROUGH THURSDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING FAIR WEATHER THROUGH THURSDAY. THEN A WARM
FRONT WILL MOVE IN THURSDAY NIGHT WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
LASTING INTO SATURDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL ARRIVE WITH MORE SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS ON MONDAY.

MIZ037>039-043>045-280815-
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...HART...
FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS
352 PM EDT WED AUG 27 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-3500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...300-500 (GOOD TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 37-42
                    PERCENT INLAND.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    UNCHANGED INLAND.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...EAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800-4300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 0 TO 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...200 (FAIR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) UNTIL 0100...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH
                    OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600-4100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 20
                    MPH OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...500 (GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.28-0.86 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-65 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......28 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-2100 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    2600-3100 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...600-800 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.27-0.59 IN.


$$

MIZ040-046-280815-
CLARE-ISABELLA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...MOUNT PLEASANT
352 PM EDT WED AUG 27 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-46.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS AROUND 7 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200-3700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...300-600 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-46 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700-4200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 0 TO 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...100-200 (POOR TO FAIR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL 0300...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0200...THEN
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500-4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 15
                    MPH OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...200 (FAIR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.17-0.42 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 1900...THEN
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........64-69 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......25 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600-3100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 25 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...500-900 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.25-0.68 IN.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-280815-
MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUSKEGON...JENISON...HOLLAND...SOUTH HAVEN
352 PM EDT WED AUG 27 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....47-52.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700-3200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...400-500 (GOOD TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT) UNTIL 1900...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-45 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...EAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600-4100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...200-300 (FAIR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400-3900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 20
                    MPH OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...500 (GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.29-0.78 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 1700...THEN
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........58-63 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......26 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600-4100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...900-1000 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.17-0.48 IN.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-280815-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREENVILLE...ALMA...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...
ST. JOHNS
352 PM EDT WED AUG 27 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....46-51.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700-4200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1700-2200 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...300-700 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL MIDDAY
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700-4200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 0 TO 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...100-200 (POOR TO FAIR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL 0100...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600-4100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1400-1900 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...300 (GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.36-0.54 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 1900...THEN
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........62-67 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......25 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300-3800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...500-800 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.05-0.32 IN.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-280815-
BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING...
KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON
352 PM EDT WED AUG 27 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....49-54.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH
                    OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600-4100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1500-2000 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...300-600 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-46 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600-4100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...200 (FAIR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400-3900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1200-1700 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...300 (GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.16-0.46 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........52-57 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200-3700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...600 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.20 IN.


$$


.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
HIGHS AROUND 80. SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH OVERNIGHT.
.LABOR DAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS AROUND 80.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.



$$

OSTUNO




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