Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 220856
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
456 AM EDT MON SEP 22 2014

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OFF THE COAST THIS MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BUILD IN FROM THE NORTHWEST TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...AS A LOW
PRESSURE TROUGH DEVELOPS ALONG THE SOUTHEAST COAST. CHANCES ARE
INCREASING FOR AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF CLOUDS...COOL TEMPERATURES...
AND OCCASIONAL SHOWERS TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...NONE.

NCZ105>110-230100-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
456 AM EDT MON SEP 22 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            30           30
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          82           60           75
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NW  6        N  5         NE 10 G20
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) N  6         NE  7        NE 11 G20
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.02
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1
INVERSION             74/1000      1900         68/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%)        43           88           51
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   4820                      3270
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  7                      NE 20
VENTILATION RATE      33740                     65400
ADI EARLY             22 FAIR      17 GEN POOR  36 FAIR
ADI LATE              24 FAIR      14 GEN POOR  50 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            3            4
MAX LVORI LATE        2            4            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
84 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 94 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 72 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 90 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 68 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 89 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO
20 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 93 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-230100-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
456 AM EDT MON SEP 22 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            30           0
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          82           57           76
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)N  6         N  4         NE  8
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) N  6         NE  5        NE 10
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                    1
INVERSION             73/1000      1900         66/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%)        40           86           45
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            4            2
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   5060                      3430
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  8                      NE 17
VENTILATION RATE      40480                     58310
ADI EARLY             28 FAIR      19 GEN POOR  41 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              31 FAIR      13 GEN POOR  59 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            3            4
MAX LVORI LATE        2            4            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
87 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT. NORTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 67 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 92 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 91 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-230100-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
456 AM EDT MON SEP 22 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        30           50           40
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS
LAL                   3            3            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          82           60           78
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NW  6        N  5         NE 10
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE  6        N  7         NE 11
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.11         0.04
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1
INVERSION             75/1000      1900         69/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%)        47           90           49
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   4490                      4150
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  7                      NE 18
VENTILATION RATE      31430                     74700
ADI EARLY             17 GEN POOR  17 GEN POOR  41 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              22 FAIR      13 GEN POOR  56 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            3            4
MAX LVORI LATE        2            4            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. MAXIMUM RH
87 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 72 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 91 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 67 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO
20 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 92 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 66 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-230100-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON...
FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
456 AM EDT MON SEP 22 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        20           40           30
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          82           59           78
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)N  6         N  4         NE  9
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) N  6         NE  5        NE  9
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.01
PRECIP DURATION       0            2            1
INVERSION             73/0900      1900         67/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%)        40           87           45
DSI                   2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   4940                      4130
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  9                      NE 17
VENTILATION RATE      44460                     70210
ADI EARLY             24 FAIR      21 FAIR      47 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              29 FAIR      13 GEN POOR  64 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            3            4
MAX LVORI LATE        2            4            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH
88 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH
50 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT. NORTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 67 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 93 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 92 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

TRA




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