Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 212015
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Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
315 PM EST Tue Feb 21 2017

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure moving off the MidAtlantic coast will keep unseasonable
warmth in the forecast for some time to come. An upper level disturbance
will bring isolated showers Wednesday and Thursday. Near record
highs are possible Friday. A cold front will bring a chance for
showers Friday into Saturday. Much cooler and drier air will build
into the area Saturday night into early next week.

Fog potential for tonight...Moderate/High.

NCZ105>110-221215-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
315 PM EST Tue Feb 21 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            20           0            20
Precip type           NONE         showers      NONE         showers
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          50           73           54           74
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      E  4         LGT/VAR      E  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      SE  7        LGT/VAR      SE  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.02
Precip duration                    1                         1
Inversion             1900         65/1000      1900         63/0900
Max/Min RH (%)        100          52           100          54
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          4            4            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5970                      6880
Transport wnd (mph)                SE 12                     SE 12
Ventilation rate                   71640                     82560
ADI early             6 Very poor  42 Gen good  4 Very poor  29 Fair
ADI late              1 Very poor  40 Fair      1 Very poor  38 Fair
Max LVORI early       7            10           7            10
Max LVORI late        10           3            10           3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 54 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the lower 40s.
Maximum RH 63 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
27 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
80 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
88 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
50 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-221215-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
315 PM EST Tue Feb 21 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            20           0            20
Precip type           NONE         showers      NONE         showers
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          51           73           54           75
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      E  5         LGT/VAR      E  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      SE  7        LGT/VAR      SE  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.01
Precip duration                    1                         1
Inversion             1900         65/1000      1900         63/0900
Max/Min RH (%)        100          50           100          49
DSI                                2                         3
Haines Index          5            4            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                6140                      7150
Transport wnd (mph)                SE 12                     SE 10
Ventilation rate                   73680                     71500
ADI early             8 poor       30 Fair      3 Very poor  24 Fair
ADI late              1 Very poor  37 Fair      1 Very poor  38 Fair
Max LVORI early       7            9            7            10
Max LVORI late        10           2            10           2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
50 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 45 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the lower 40s.
Maximum RH 61 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
25 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
79 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
31 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
85 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
44 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-221215-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
315 PM EST Tue Feb 21 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud amount          MCldy        PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            20           0            20
Precip type           NONE         showers      NONE         showers
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          52           72           54           75
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E  3         E  6         E  3         E  5
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E  3         SE  9        LGT/VAR      SE  9
Precip amount         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.02
Precip duration                    1                         1
Inversion             1900         66/1000      1900         65/0900
Max/Min RH (%)        100          54           100          53
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          5            5            5            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5310                      6480
Transport wnd (mph)                SE 16                     SE 14
Ventilation rate                   84960                     90720
ADI early             10 poor      33 Fair      5 Very poor  40 Fair
ADI late              2 Very poor  44 Gen good  1 Very poor  44 Gen good
Max LVORI early       7            9            7            10
Max LVORI late        10           3            10           2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
56 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 49 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the lower 40s.
Maximum RH 62 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
27 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH
77 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
33 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
89 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Minimum RH
49 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-221215-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
315 PM EST Tue Feb 21 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            20           0            20
Precip type           NONE         showers      NONE         showers
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          51           73           53           76
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E  3         E  5         LGT/VAR      E  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     E  3         SE  7        LGT/VAR      SE  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.02
Precip duration                    1                         1
Inversion             1900         63/1000      1900         62/0900
Max/Min RH (%)        100          51           100          49
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            4            5            5
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5820                      6970
Transport wnd (mph)                SE 13                     SE 10
Ventilation rate                   75660                     69700
ADI early             5 Very poor  19 Gen poor  5 Very poor  19 Gen poor
ADI late              2 Very poor  42 Gen good  1 Very poor  36 Fair
Max LVORI early       6            9            7            10
Max LVORI late        10           2            10           2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 48 percent. East
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 40 percent. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the lower 40s.
Maximum RH 62 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
25 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
79 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
30 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
83 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
44 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-221215-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
315 PM EST Tue Feb 21 2017

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            20           0            20
Precip type           NONE         showers      NONE         showers
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          52           74           54           76
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E  3         E  6         LGT/VAR      E  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      SE  8        LGT/VAR      E  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.02
Precip duration                    1                         1
Inversion             1900         65/1000      1900         64/0900
Max/Min RH (%)        100          53           100          50
DSI                                2                         2
Haines Index          3            4            5            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                5750                      6890
Transport wnd (mph)                SE 16                     SE 13
Ventilation rate                   92000                     89570
ADI early             11 poor      29 Fair      5 Very poor  37 Fair
ADI late              2 Very poor  50 Gen good  1 Very poor  42 Gen good
Max LVORI early       7            9            7            10
Max LVORI late        10           2            10           1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 49 percent. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
42 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Colder. Lows in the lower 40s.
Maximum RH 61 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny, cooler. Highs in the lower 60s. Minimum RH
25 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Maximum RH
79 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Minimum RH
29 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
88 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
43 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

5



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