Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 290928
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
528 AM EDT Sat Jul 29 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Scattered showers and thunderstorms will occur today and come
to an end once the unseasonably strong cold front pushes through
late this afternoon thru early this evening. Drier and cooler air
will follow and infiltrate the area tonight thru Monday and
likely persist into the mid-week period with some moderation.
Temperatures and humidity will return to more typical levels
by the late week period.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight...None.

NCZ105>110-300130-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
528 AM EDT Sat Jul 29 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud amount          MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        60           40           20
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Showers
LAL                   4            3            2
Min/Max Temp          86           67           81
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W  8         N  7         N  9
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NW  8        N  8         N  9
Precip amount         0.14         0.04         0.01
Precip duration       4            1            1
Inversion             78/0900      2300         71/0900
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        63           84           54
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            2            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3490                      4310
Transport wnd (mph)   W 13                      NE 16
Ventilation rate      45370                     68960
ADI early             39 Fair      30 Fair      42 Gen good
ADI late              40 Fair      16 Gen poor  47 Gen good
Max LVORI early       5            3            4
Max LVORI late        3            4            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
86 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
North winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
84 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
52 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
90 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
89 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Chance of
precipitation 30 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Chance
of precipitation 50 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 73 percent. Chance of precipitation
50 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ096-099-300130-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
528 AM EDT Sat Jul 29 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud amount          MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        50           30           20
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Showers
LAL                   3            3            2
Min/Max Temp          86           66           81
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W  7         N  6         N  8
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NW  8        N  6         N  9
Precip amount         0.12         0.02         0.01
Precip duration       2            1            1
Inversion             78/0900      2300         70/0900
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        58           85           50
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            2            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3690                      4170
Transport wnd (mph)   NW  9                     NE 15
Ventilation rate      33210                     62550
ADI early             31 Fair      28 Fair      54 Gen good
ADI late              31 Fair      17 Gen poor  60 Gen good
Max LVORI early       6            4            4
Max LVORI late        3            4            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 43 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
46 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
90 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Chance of
precipitation 20 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 93 percent. Chance
of precipitation 50 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Chance of precipitation
50 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-300130-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
528 AM EDT Sat Jul 29 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud amount          MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        40           0            20
Precip type           Tstms        None         Showers
LAL                   3            1            1
Min/Max Temp          88           66           82
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W  7         NE  8        N  9
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     N  9         NE  6        N  9
Precip amount         0.08         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       2                         0
Inversion             78/0900      2300         71/0900
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        54           85           45
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            2            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3850                      4340
Transport wnd (mph)   NW  9                     NE 15
Ventilation rate      34650                     65100
ADI early             29 Fair      31 Fair      36 Fair
ADI late              29 Fair      16 Gen poor  59 Gen good
Max LVORI early       6            3            4
Max LVORI late        3            4            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
87 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
42 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
89 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Highs around 90. Minimum RH 44 percent. Chance of precipitation
20 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 93 percent. Chance
of precipitation 40 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Chance of
precipitation 50 percent. South winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-300130-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
528 AM EDT Sat Jul 29 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud amount          MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        60           40           0
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        None
LAL                   4            3            1
Min/Max Temp          88           66           82
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W  9         NE  9        N  8
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NW  9        NE  9        NE  9
Precip amount         0.14         0.05         0.00
Precip duration       2            1
Inversion             79/0900      2300         72/0900
Dispersion                         Good
Max/Min RH (%)        60           83           51
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3540                      4150
Transport wnd (mph)   W 12                      NE 16
Ventilation rate      42480                     66400
ADI early             35 Fair      26 Fair      51 Gen good
ADI late              36 Fair      14 Gen poor  58 Gen good
Max LVORI early       5            3            4
Max LVORI late        3            4            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
85 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
91 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
52 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with isolated showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 89 percent. Chance
of precipitation 20 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Chance of
precipitation 40 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 91 percent. Chance
of precipitation 50 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 75 percent. Chance of precipitation
50 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-300130-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
528 AM EDT Sat Jul 29 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud amount          MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        50           30           0
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        None
LAL                   3            3            1
Min/Max Temp          88           66           83
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W  8         NE  8        N  8
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     NW  8        NE  7        NE  9
Precip amount         0.12         0.03         0.00
Precip duration       2            1
Inversion             79/0900      2300         71/0900
Dispersion                         Good
Max/Min RH (%)        57           84           48
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3720                      4330
Transport wnd (mph)   NW 10                     NE 15
Ventilation rate      37200                     64950
ADI early             31 Fair      25 Fair      51 Gen good
ADI late              32 Fair      14 Gen poor  60 Gen good
Max LVORI early       5            3            4
Max LVORI late        3            4            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
87 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
45 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
47 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
91 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Chance of
precipitation 40 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 93 percent. Chance
of precipitation 40 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Chance of
precipitation 50 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-300130-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
528 AM EDT Sat Jul 29 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud amount          PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        40           0            0
Precip type           Tstms        None         None
LAL                   3            1            1
Min/Max Temp          88           66           83
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    W  7         NE  7        N  8
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     N  9         NE  6        NE  9
Precip amount         0.09         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       2
Inversion             78/0900      2300         71/0900
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        52           84           43
DSI                   2                         3
Haines Index          4            2            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   3920                      4480
Transport wnd (mph)   NW  9                     NE 14
Ventilation rate      35280                     62720
ADI early             27 Fair      35 Fair      34 Fair
ADI late              30 Fair      16 Gen poor  55 Gen good
Max LVORI early       6            3            4
Max LVORI late        3            4            1

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
86 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
42 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
89 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Highs around 90. Minimum RH 44 percent. Chance of precipitation
20 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 93 percent. Chance
of precipitation 40 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Chance of
precipitation 50 percent. South winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

dch



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