Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
427 AM EST Mon Feb 19 2018

.DISCUSSION...
A front stalled south of the area will return slowly north as a
warm front today. Bermuda High pressure will bring temperatures
well above normal this week with possible record warmth Wednesday
and Thursday. A cold front will likely stall to our north on
Friday. The Bermuda High will expand over the region for the
weekend. A cold front will approach from the northwest Sunday
night.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight...High.

NCZ105>110-200130-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
427 AM EST Mon Feb 19 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           20           0
Precip type           Showers      Showers      None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          73           57           78
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E  4         S  4         LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  6         LGT/VAR      S  4
Precip amount         0.01         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       2            0
Inversion             Continued    Continued    70/1000
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        70           100          59
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   980                       3730
Transport wnd (mph)   S  8                      S 14
Ventilation rate      7840                      52220
ADI early             6 Very poor  4 Very poor  26 Fair
ADI late              9 poor       1 Very poor  46 Gen good
Max LVORI early       6            10           10
Max LVORI late        4            10           3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows around 60. Maximum
RH 100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Patchy fog. Highs in the upper 70s.
Minimum RH 66 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows around 60.
Maximum RH 98 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
62 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
88 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
94 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH
59 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the mid 70s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-200130-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
427 AM EST Mon Feb 19 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           0            0
Precip type           Showers      None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          71           56           79
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E  4         SE  3        LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  4         LGT/VAR      S  5
Precip amount         0.01         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       1
Inversion             Continued    Continued    70/1000
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        72           100          55
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            3            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   980                       3790
Transport wnd (mph)   S  6                      S 14
Ventilation rate      6000                      53060
ADI early             5 Very poor  4 Very poor  27 Fair
ADI late              8 poor       1 Very poor  41 Gen good
Max LVORI early       6            10           10
Max LVORI late        4            10           2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows in the lower 60s.
Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Patchy fog. Highs around 80. Minimum RH
58 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows in the lower 60s.
Maximum RH 98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
54 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
87 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
53 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 60. Maximum RH
92 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
52 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 70s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-200130-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor
427 AM EST Mon Feb 19 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           0            0
Precip type           Showers      None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          74           57           78
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E  4         SE  4        SE  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SE  6        LGT/VAR      S  5
Precip amount         0.01         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       1
Inversion             71/1400      1800         71/1000
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        68           100          61
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   1240                      3610
Transport wnd (mph)   SE  6                     S 15
Ventilation rate      7440                      54150
ADI early             6 Very poor  4 Very poor  26 Fair
ADI late              7 poor       1 Very poor  39 Fair
Max LVORI early       6            10           10
Max LVORI late        4            10           3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows around 60. Maximum
RH 100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Patchy fog. Highs in the upper 70s.
Minimum RH 65 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows in the lower 60s.
Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 59 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
91 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
56 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
53 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-200130-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
427 AM EST Mon Feb 19 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          MCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        20           0            0
Precip type           Showers      None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          75           57           79
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E  4         SE  4        LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     S  5         LGT/VAR      S  5
Precip amount         0.01         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       1
Inversion             73/1500      1800         71/1000
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        60           100          55
DSI                   2                         2
Haines Index          3            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   1320                      3770
Transport wnd (mph)   SE  5                     S 12
Ventilation rate      6600                      45240
ADI early             6 Very poor  4 Very poor  22 Fair
ADI late              7 poor       1 Very poor  34 Fair
Max LVORI early       6            10           10
Max LVORI late        4            10           2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows in the lower 60s.
Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Patchy fog. Highs in the lower 80s.
Minimum RH 57 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows in the lower 60s.
Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
53 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
90 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
52 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in
the lower 80s. Minimum RH 48 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-200130-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
427 AM EST Mon Feb 19 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud amount          MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        20           0            0
Precip type           Showers      None         None
LAL                   1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          69           55           79
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    E  4         SE  4        LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SE  4        LGT/VAR      S  4
Precip amount         0.01         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       1
Inversion             Continued    Continued    69/1000
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        69           100          55
DSI                   1                         2
Haines Index          2            4            4
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   960                       3900
Transport wnd (mph)   SE  5                     S 12
Ventilation rate      5050                      46800
ADI early             7 poor       3 Very poor  23 Fair
ADI late              6 Very poor  2 Very poor  37 Fair
Max LVORI early       5            9            10
Max LVORI late        4            10           2

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows in the lower 60s.
Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Patchy fog. Highs in the lower 80s.
Minimum RH 57 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows in the lower 60s.
Maximum RH 98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
53 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
88 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH
52 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
91 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
90 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs
around 80. Minimum RH 49 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

27



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