Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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000
FNUS53 KJKL 291020
FWFJKL

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST KENTUCKY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
620 AM EDT MON JUN 29 2015

.DISCUSSION...A SERIES OF DISTURBANCES WILL BRING ROUNDS OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS INTO THE REGION BEGINNING TODAY. SOME
STORMS MAY BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE THIS AFTERNOON...WHERE
DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL ARE THE PRIMARY THREATS.
THE THREAT OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE EACH DAY
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WILL
REMAIN SLIGHTLY BELOW SEASONABLE NORMS...WITH HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S TO LOW 80S. NIGHT TIME TEMPS WILL BE FAIRLY MODERATE
ONLY DROPPING TO THE MID 60S.

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-292030-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-
JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-
ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-
OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...CAMARGO...
JEFFERSONVILLE...MOUNT STERLING...OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...
IRVINE...RAVENNA...CLAY CITY...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...BRODHEAD...
MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...ANNVILLE...BURNSIDE...SOMERSET...LONDON...
MONTICELLO...STEARNS...WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...
BARBOURVILLE...MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...CUMBERLAND...HARLAN...
SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...PAINTSVILLE...CAMPTON...
SALYERSVILLE...PRESTONSBURG...WHEELWRIGHT...BEATTYVILLE...
JACKSON...HINDMAN...PIPPA PASSES...BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...
MANCHESTER...HYDEN...JENKINS...WHITESBURG...INEZ...COAL RUN...
ELKHORN CITY...PIKEVILLE...SOUTH WILLIAMSON
620 AM EDT MON JUN 29 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78 TO 83.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-56 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. GUSTS TO 20 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 15
                    MPH FROM THE SOUTHWEST BY AFTERNOON. THEN
                    INCREASING TO AROUND 25 MPH IN THE LATE
                    AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....113.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (113500 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......30 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.01 - 0.30 INCHES.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE EVENING. THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH
                    A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......40 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.10 - 0.21 INCHES.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE MORNING. THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........52-62 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................4.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
                    AROUND 20 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....108.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (107900 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......50 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.16 INCHES.


$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY
IN THE EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE
AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 80. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

RAY



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