Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMEG 241917
FWFMEG

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE MIDSOUTH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
217 PM CDT SAT SEP 24 2016

.DISCUSSION...

HOT TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST ACROSS THE MID SOUTH THROUGH
SUNDAY AS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS THE
REGION. THIS WILL RESULT IN AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE
90S AND LOWS IN THE 60S AND 70S.

AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH
THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY...BRINGING A
RETURN OF SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES THEN COOLER AND DRIER AIR.
HIGHS WILL BE IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S WITH LOWS MAINLY IN THE 50S TO
AROUND 60 DEGREES BEHIND THIS FRONT.

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-251115-
CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-GREENE-LAWRENCE-MISSISSIPPI-PEMISCOT-
POINSETT-RANDOLPH-
INCLUDING...MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTHEAST ARKANSAS
217 PM CDT SAT SEP 24 2016

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     0            0            30           20
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.00         0.00         0.05         0.03
PRECIP DUR (HRS)                                2            1
PRECIP BEGINS                                   7 PM         CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS                                     CONTINUING   6 PM
TEMP (24H TREND)      68 (0)       92 (-1)      66           77
RH % (24H TREND)      97 (+4)      43 (+4)      91           46
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)                LGT/VAR                   N 6-10
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N 6-10
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)                 2432                      1030
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                7978                      3378
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)                 2518                      1116
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)                8260                      3661
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)                W  2                      N  6
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  3                      N 13
VENT INDEX (M2/S)                  5036                      6696
CATEGORY DAY                       3                         3
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F)              88                        70
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)               SW  2                     N  7
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)               SW  5                     N 15
DISPERSION INDEX      4            13           40           40
LAL                   1            2            3            3
LASI                  4            3            3            2
STABILITY             F            B            E            C
STAGNATION INDEX      3            3            3            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 34 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
36 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

ARZ035-036-048-049-058-251115-
CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS-
INCLUDING...EAST-CENTRAL ARKANSAS...ST. FRANCIS NATIONAL FOREST
217 PM CDT SAT SEP 24 2016

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     0            0            20           20
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.00         0.00         0.02         0.04
PRECIP DUR (HRS)                                1            1
PRECIP BEGINS                                   7 PM         CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS                                     CONTINUING   6 PM
TEMP (24H TREND)      71 (+3)      93 (-1)      68           78
RH % (24H TREND)      87 (-7)      40 (+3)      92           49
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)                LGT/VAR                   N 7-11
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N 7-11
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)                 2970                      904
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                9743                      2965
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)                 3032                      966
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)                9946                      3169
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)                W  1                      N  7
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  2                      N 16
VENT INDEX (M2/S)                  3032                      6762
CATEGORY DAY                       2                         3
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F)              90                        74
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)               SW  3                     N  8
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)               SW  6                     N 18
DISPERSION INDEX      2            11           21           41
LAL                   1            1            3            3
LASI                  4            4            3            2
STABILITY             F            B            F            C
STAGNATION INDEX      3            3            3            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 33 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 33 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

TNZ001>004-019>022-251115-
BENTON TN-CARROLL-DYER-GIBSON-HENRY-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-
INCLUDING...WEST TENNESSEE DISTRICT NORTH
217 PM CDT SAT SEP 24 2016

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     0            0            20           30
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.00         0.00         0.02         0.04
PRECIP DUR (HRS)                                1            2
PRECIP BEGINS                                   7 PM         CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS                                     CONTINUING   6 PM
TEMP (24H TREND)      65 (0)       92 (-1)      65           77
RH % (24H TREND)      100 (0)      44 (+4)      98           50
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)                LGT/VAR                   N 4-8
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N 5-9
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)                 1911                      824
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                6268                      2702
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)                 2034                      946
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)                6672                      3102
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)                N  2                      N  6
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  3                      N 13
VENT INDEX (M2/S)                  4068                      5676
CATEGORY DAY                       3                         3
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F)              85                        71
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)               NE  2                     N  6
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)               NE  4                     N 14
DISPERSION INDEX      3            14           13           36
LAL                   1            1            3            3
LASI                  4            3            3            2
STABILITY             F            B            F            C
STAGNATION INDEX      3            3            3            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. NORTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 34 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON BECOMING LIGHT AND
VARIABLE.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
38 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. EAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

TNZ048>055-088>091-251115-
CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-
LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON-
INCLUDING...WEST TENNESSEE DISTRICT SOUTH
217 PM CDT SAT SEP 24 2016

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     0            0            10           20
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.00         0.00         0.00         0.04
PRECIP DUR (HRS)                                             1
PRECIP BEGINS                                                6 AM
PRECIP ENDS                                                  6 PM
TEMP (24H TREND)      68 (+1)      93 (-1)      66           79
RH % (24H TREND)      92 (-4)      39 (+2)      95           51
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)                LGT/VAR                   N 4-8
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N 6-10
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)                 2363                      780
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                7752                      2559
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)                 2486                      901
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)                8156                      2957
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)                N  2                      N  6
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  3                      N 14
VENT INDEX (M2/S)                  4972                      5406
CATEGORY DAY                       3                         3
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F)              87                        75
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)               NE  2                     N  6
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)               NE  5                     N 14
DISPERSION INDEX      4            17           9            34
LAL                   1            1            2            3
LASI                  4            4            4            2
STABILITY             F            B            F            C
STAGNATION INDEX      3            3            3            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 33 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON BECOMING LIGHT AND
VARIABLE.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
35 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. EAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-251115-
COAHOMA-DESOTO-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA-YALOBUSHA-
INCLUDING...NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...
SOUTH UNIT HOLLY SPRINGS NATIONAL FOREST
217 PM CDT SAT SEP 24 2016

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     0            0            0            20
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.00         0.00         0.00         0.03
PRECIP DUR (HRS)                                             1
PRECIP BEGINS                                                7 AM
PRECIP ENDS                                                  6 PM
TEMP (24H TREND)      71 (+5)      94 (0)       68           81
RH % (24H TREND)      84 (-8)      37 (+3)      93           52
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)                LGT/VAR                   N 4-8
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N 7-11
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)                 3135                      1218
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                10286                     3996
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)                 3207                      1290
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)                10521                     4232
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)                NE  1                     N  6
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  1                     N 14
VENT INDEX (M2/S)                  3207                      7740
CATEGORY DAY                       2                         3
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F)              90                        81
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)               E  3                      N  7
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)               E  6                      N 15
DISPERSION INDEX      5            13           7            37
LAL                   1            1            2            2
LASI                  4            4            4            3
STABILITY             F            B            F            C
STAGNATION INDEX      3            3            3            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 30 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. NORTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
30 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-251115-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-
MARSHALL-MONROE-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-
INCLUDING...NORTH MISSISSIPPI PORTION NATCHEZ TRACE PARKWAY...
NORTH UNIT HOLLY SPRINGS NATIONAL FOREST...
NORTH UNIT TOMBIGBEE NATIONAL FOREST...NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI
217 PM CDT SAT SEP 24 2016

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     0            0            0            20
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.00         0.00         0.00         0.03
PRECIP DUR (HRS)                                             1
PRECIP BEGINS                                                7 AM
PRECIP ENDS                                                  CONTINUING
TEMP (24H TREND)      69 (+2)      94 (-1)      68           84
RH % (24H TREND)      86 (-5)      35 (+5)      91           49
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)                LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N 5-9
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)                 2656                      1850
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                8715                      6070
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)                 2781                      1974
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)                9123                      6476
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)                NE  3                     NW  4
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  6                     NW  8
VENT INDEX (M2/S)                  8343                      7896
CATEGORY DAY                       4                         3
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F)              88                        85
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)               NE  3                     NW  4
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)               NE  6                     NW  9
DISPERSION INDEX      3            26           3            25
LAL                   1            1            1            3
LASI                  4            4            5            3
STABILITY             F            B            F            C
STAGNATION INDEX      3            3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 30 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. NORTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
29 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 39 PERCENT.
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$



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