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Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
000
FNUS54 KMEG 201057
FWFMEG
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE MIDSOUTH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
557 AM CDT MON MAY 20 2013
.DISCUSSION...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST UNITED STATES
WILL BRING RAIN FREE WEATHER TO THE MID SOUTH TODAY. WARM AND HUMID
AIR WILL REMAIN IN PLACE WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS RISING INTO THE UPPER
80S TO AROUND 90 DEGREES AT MANY LOCATIONS. LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT
WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S.
THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BEGIN TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN TONIGHT ACROSS
THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
POSSIBLE MAINLY WEST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER LATE TONIGHT INTO
TUESDAY MORNING. A WARM...MOIST...AND VERY UNSTABLE AIRMASS WILL
COMBINE WITH AN APPROACHING STRONG COLD FRONT TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MUCH OF THE MID SOUTH LATE TUESDAY
AFTERNOON INTO WEDNESDAY. CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
GRADUALLY DIMINISH BY THURSDAY NIGHT AS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS INTO THE MID SOUTH FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.
HIGH TEMPERATURES THIS WEEK WEEK WILL BE PREDOMINANTLY IN THE 80S
WITH LOWS IN THE 60S.
ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-202315-
CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-GREENE-LAWRENCE-MISSISSIPPI-PEMISCOT-
POINSETT-RANDOLPH-
INCLUDING...MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTHEAST ARKANSAS
557 AM CDT MON MAY 20 2013
TODAY TONIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 0 50 60
PRECIP TYPE NONE TSTMS TSTMS
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.00 0.12 0.28
PRECIP DUR (HRS) 2 5
PRECIP BEGINS 7 PM CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS CONTINUING CONTINUING
TEMP (24H TREND) 88 (0) 70 (-2) 85
RH % (24H TREND) 52 (+5) 99 (+11) 59
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH) S 10-14 G21 S 8-12
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH) S 12-16 G22 S 8-12 S 9-13
MIXING HGT (M-AGL) 1811 1035
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 5942 3396
MIXING HGT (M-MSL) 1897 1121
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL) 6223 3678
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 12 SW 9
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 28 SW 21
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 22764 10089
CATEGORY DAY 5 4
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 81 76
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 12 SW 9
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 27 SW 19
DISPERSION INDEX 92 47 66
LAL 1 4 4
LASI 3 3 3
STABILITY C D C
STAGNATION INDEX 0 0 0
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN
THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY
CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
51 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS AROUND 80.
MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-202315-
CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS-
INCLUDING...EAST-CENTRAL ARKANSAS...ST. FRANCIS NATIONAL FOREST
557 AM CDT MON MAY 20 2013
TODAY TONIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 0 20 40
PRECIP TYPE NONE TSTMS TSTMS
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.00 0.01 0.13
PRECIP DUR (HRS) 1 2
PRECIP BEGINS 1 AM CONTINUING
PRECIP ENDS CONTINUING CONTINUING
TEMP (24H TREND) 89 (+3) 71 (-1) 87
RH % (24H TREND) 52 (-4) 96 (+6) 57
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH) S 10-14 G21 S 8-12
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH) S 11-15 G22 S 7-11 S 9-13
MIXING HGT (M-AGL) 1685 1258
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 5529 4128
MIXING HGT (M-MSL) 1747 1320
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL) 5733 4332
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) S 13 SW 8
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 29 SW 18
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 22711 10560
CATEGORY DAY 5 4
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 82 78
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) S 12 SW 8
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) S 26 SW 18
DISPERSION INDEX 87 50 61
LAL 1 3 3
LASI 3 3 3
STABILITY C D C
STAGNATION INDEX 0 0 0
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN
THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY
CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH
51 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
80S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
TNZ001>004-019>022-202315-
BENTON TN-CARROLL-DYER-GIBSON-HENRY-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-
INCLUDING...WEST TENNESSEE DISTRICT NORTH
557 AM CDT MON MAY 20 2013
TODAY TONIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 0 10 30
PRECIP TYPE NONE TSTMS TSTMS
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.00 0.00 0.05
PRECIP DUR (HRS) 2
PRECIP BEGINS 6 AM
PRECIP ENDS CONTINUING
TEMP (24H TREND) 88 (+1) 71 (+2) 87
RH % (24H TREND) 52 (+1) 90 (-7) 54
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH) S 7-11 S 7-11
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH) S 10-14 G20 S 6-10 S 9-13
MIXING HGT (M-AGL) 1657 1689
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 5435 5542
MIXING HGT (M-MSL) 1778 1811
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL) 5832 5942
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) S 11 SW 11
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 24 SW 24
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 19558 19921
CATEGORY DAY 5 5
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 81 78
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 11 SW 9
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 25 SW 21
DISPERSION INDEX 89 42 77
LAL 1 3 3
LASI 3 4 3
STABILITY C E C
STAGNATION INDEX 0 0 0
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER
60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY
CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
51 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
TNZ048>055-088>091-202315-
CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-
LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON-
INCLUDING...WEST TENNESSEE DISTRICT SOUTH
557 AM CDT MON MAY 20 2013
TODAY TONIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 0 0 30
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE TSTMS
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.00 0.00 0.04
PRECIP DUR (HRS) 2
PRECIP BEGINS 7 AM
PRECIP ENDS CONTINUING
TEMP (24H TREND) 88 (+1) 72 (+1) 88
RH % (24H TREND) 52 (+1) 89 (-6) 53
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH) S 8-12 S 6-10
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH) S 9-13 S 6-10 S 8-12
MIXING HGT (M-AGL) 1658 1837
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 5439 6028
MIXING HGT (M-MSL) 1779 1959
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL) 5836 6428
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) S 11 SW 8
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 25 SW 18
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 19569 15672
CATEGORY DAY 5 4
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 81 79
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 11 SW 8
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 24 SW 18
DISPERSION INDEX 85 45 68
LAL 1 3 3
LASI 3 3 3
STABILITY C E C
STAGNATION INDEX 1 0 0
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER
60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY
CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH
51 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-202315-
COAHOMA-DESOTO-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA-YALOBUSHA-
INCLUDING...NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...
SOUTH UNIT HOLLY SPRINGS NATIONAL FOREST
557 AM CDT MON MAY 20 2013
TODAY TONIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 0 0 30
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE TSTMS
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.00 0.00 0.04
PRECIP DUR (HRS) 2
PRECIP BEGINS 7 AM
PRECIP ENDS CONTINUING
TEMP (24H TREND) 89 (+4) 72 (+1) 88
RH % (24H TREND) 52 (-6) 91 (-3) 55
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH) S 8-12 S 7-11
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH) S 10-14 S 7-11 S 9-13
MIXING HGT (M-AGL) 1703 1882
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 5588 6174
MIXING HGT (M-MSL) 1775 1953
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL) 5824 6409
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) S 12 SW 6
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 28 SW 14
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 21300 11718
CATEGORY DAY 5 4
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 82 80
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) S 10 SW 7
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) S 23 SW 15
DISPERSION INDEX 83 50 57
LAL 1 1 3
LASI 4 3 3
STABILITY C E C
STAGNATION INDEX 0 0 0
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY...THEN A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY
CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH
52 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
80S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-202315-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-
MARSHALL-MONROE-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-
INCLUDING...NORTH MISSISSIPPI PORTION NATCHEZ TRACE PARKWAY...
NORTH UNIT HOLLY SPRINGS NATIONAL FOREST...
NORTH UNIT TOMBIGBEE NATIONAL FOREST...NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI
557 AM CDT MON MAY 20 2013
TODAY TONIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 0 0 20
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE TSTMS
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN) 0.00 0.00 0.01
PRECIP DUR (HRS) 1
PRECIP BEGINS 7 AM
PRECIP ENDS CONTINUING
TEMP (24H TREND) 89 (+3) 72 (+2) 89
RH % (24H TREND) 51 (-6) 85 (-11) 50
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH) S 6-10 S 6-10
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH) S 8-12 S 6-10 S 7-11
MIXING HGT (M-AGL) 1677 2124
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL) 5502 6968
MIXING HGT (M-MSL) 1801 2248
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL) 5908 7374
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) S 10 SW 8
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 22 SW 17
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 18010 17984
CATEGORY DAY 5 5
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 82 81
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 8 S 7
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 19 S 16
DISPERSION INDEX 67 31 59
LAL 1 1 3
LASI 4 4 4
STABILITY C F C
STAGNATION INDEX 1 0 0
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...THEN SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN
THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY
CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH
52 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
JLH
- National Weather Service
- Grand Rapids, MI Weather Forecast Office
- 4899 South Complex Drive SE
- Grand Rapids, MI 49512-4034
- 616-949-0643
- Page Author: GRR Webmaster
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- Page last modified: May 1st, 2013 15:32 UTC