Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 251923
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
323 PM EDT Sat Mar 25 2017

.DISCUSSION...
THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE REGION WILL
SHIFT EAST TONIGHT, ALLOWING A COUPLE OF SUCCESSIVE SYSTEMS TO BRING
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AT TIMES THROUGH THE EARLY PART OF THE
WORK WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-262030-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
323 PM EDT Sat Mar 25 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      49-54 (+2)   64-69 (-7)   49-54        68-73
RH % (24h trend)      87-92 (+10)  53-58 (+18)  92-97        50-55
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  S  8 G25                  SW  5
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S  8 G21     S 14 G33     S  7 G20     SW  6 G16
Precip type           showers      tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     40           80           60           40
Precip duration       1            4            2            1
Precip begin          2 AM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.06         0.18         0.14         0.04
LAL                   1            2            2            3
LASI                               3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4800                      5100
Transport wnd (mph)                S 26                      W 12
Dispersion                         62 Good                   31 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  S 11 G25                  SW  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 10 G21     S 18 G33     S  9 G20     SW  8 G16

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s to mid 50s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the upper 50s to lower 70s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 40s to lower 50s. West winds less than 10 mph early in
the evening becoming light.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s.
East winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 50s to
mid 70s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid 50s to upper 60s. South
winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. South winds less than
10 mph.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-262030-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
323 PM EDT Sat Mar 25 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      47-52 (+2)   61-66 (-5)   48-53        66-71
RH % (24h trend)      88-93 (+9)   55-60 (+15)  93-98        51-56
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  S 10 G30                  SW  5
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 11 G30     S 14 G33     S  7 G20     W  5 G15
Precip type           showers      tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     50           80           60           50
Precip duration       1            4            2            1
Precip begin          11 PM        Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.08         0.18         0.15         0.03
LAL                   3            3            2            3
LASI                               3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4800                      6000
Transport wnd (mph)                S 26                      W 13
Dispersion                         45 Gen good               36 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  S 13 G30                  SW  6
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 14 G30     S 17 G33     S  9 G20     W  7 G15

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s to mid 50s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 40s to lower 50s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s.
East winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid 50s to upper
70s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the 50s to 60s. South winds up to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. Southwest winds less
than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ072-074-262030-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
323 PM EDT Sat Mar 25 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      49-54 (0)    61-66 (-3)   49-54        66-71
RH % (24h trend)      87-92 (+13)  57-62 (+13)  93-98        53-58
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  S 13 G37                  SW  5
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 14 G42     S 15 G39     S  7 G22     SW  5
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     80           80           40           40
Precip duration       3            4            1            1
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.42         0.23         0.10         0.05
LAL                   3            3            2            3
LASI                               3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4400                      6100
Transport wnd (mph)                S 30                      W 13
Dispersion                         33 Fair                   35 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  S 16 G37                  SW  6
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 17 G42     S 18 G39     S  9 G22     SW  7

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 40s to 50s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 50s to lower 70s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the 40s to lower 50s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the 50s to mid 70s. East
winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the 50s to upper
70s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the 50s to 60s. Southwest winds up
to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the 50s to lower 70s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ087-102-262030-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
323 PM EDT Sat Mar 25 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      51-56 (-3)   65-70 (-3)   52-57        70-75
RH % (24h trend)      89-94 (+16)  55-60 (+11)  95-100       53-58
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  S 12 G31                  SW  5
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SE 14 G36    S 13 G33     S  6 G19     SW  6
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     80           80           50           40
Precip duration       3            4            1            1
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.72         0.18         0.06         0.05
LAL                   3            3            2            3
LASI                               3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 3600                      6000
Transport wnd (mph)                S 29                      SW 13
Dispersion                         37 Fair                   43 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  S 15 G31                  SW  6
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SE 18 G36    S 16 G33     S  7 G19     SW  7

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows
in the 40s to upper 50s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s to lower 50s.
West winds less than 10 mph early in the evening becoming light.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the 60s to 70s. East winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the 60s to 70s.
South winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 50s to upper 60s.
Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the upper 50s to mid 70s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.

$$

NCZ060-061-262030-
Nantahala National Forest-
323 PM EDT Sat Mar 25 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

CLOUD COVER           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+3)   63-68 (-2)   50-55        68-73
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+6)   58-63 (+11)  95-100       56-61
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 10 G27                  LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 12 G33    S 11 G28     S  5 G16     SW  5
PRECIP TYPE           tstms        tstms        tstms        tstms
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           80           50           40
PRECIP DURATION       5            4            1            1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP END            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.76         0.18         0.08         0.05
LAL                   3            3            2            3
LASI                               3                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      6700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 24                      SW 12
DISPERSION                         18 Gen poor               42 Gen good
MAX LVORI                          5                         4
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 12 G27                  SW  5
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 16 G33    S 13 G28     S  7 G16     SW  7

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows
in the upper 40s to mid 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows near 50. West winds less
than 10 mph early in the evening becoming light.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the mid 60s to upper 70s.
South winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the 60s to 70s.
Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 50s to upper 60s.
Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. South winds less than
10 mph.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-262030-
East Tennessee District East-
323 PM EDT Sat Mar 25 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      51-56 (+2)   66-71 (-6)   50-55        70-75
RH % (24h trend)      87-92 (+11)  54-59 (+18)  92-97        50-55
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  SE  8 G24                 LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SE  8 G20    S 13 G32     S  5 G16     SW  5 G15
Precip type           showers      tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     50           80           50           40
Precip duration       1            4            1            1
Precip begin          11 PM        Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.10         0.20         0.10         0.04
LAL                   3            3            2            3
LASI                               3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4800                      4600
Transport wnd (mph)                S 25                      W 10
Dispersion                         70 Good                   29 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SE 10 G24                 SW  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SE 10 G20    S 17 G32     S  7 G16     SW  6 G15

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s to mid 50s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the 40s to mid 50s. West winds less than 10 mph early in the
evening becoming light.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s.
East winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows around 50. Highs in the 60s to 70s. South
winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 50s to lower 70s. South
winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-262030-
East Tennessee District West-
323 PM EDT Sat Mar 25 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      52-57 (+1)   67-72 (-4)   52-57        71-76
RH % (24h trend)      88-93 (+13)  55-60 (+14)  95-100       52-57
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  S  9 G28                  LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SE  9 G23    S 12 G31     S  5 G17     SW  6
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     80           80           40           40
Precip duration       3            4            1            1
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.41         0.25         0.04         0.05
LAL                   3            3            2            3
LASI                               4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 3900                      3800
Transport wnd (mph)                S 28                      SW 10
Dispersion                         64 Good                   22 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  S 11 G28                  SW  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SE 11 G23    S 16 G31     S  7 G17     SW  7

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows
in the 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 60s to mid 70s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 40s to mid 50s. West winds less than 10 mph early in
the evening becoming light.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the mid 60s to upper 70s.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the 60s to upper
70s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s.
Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-262030-
Cumberland District South-
323 PM EDT Sat Mar 25 2017 /223 PM CDT Sat Mar 25 2017/

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      54-59 (+1)   67-72 (-3)   53-58        71-76
RH % (24h trend)      90-95 (+14)  57-62 (+13)  95-100       55-60
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  S 11 G28                  S  5
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SE  9 G24    S 11 G29     S  5 G17     S  7
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     90           70           30           40
Precip duration       5            3            1            1
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.89         0.19         0.02         0.07
LAL                   3            3            2            3
LASI                               3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 3600                      4000
Transport wnd (mph)                S 29                      SW 13
Dispersion                         62 Good                   30 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  S 14 G28                  S  6
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SE 12 G24    S 14 G29     S  7 G17     S  9

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows
in the upper 50s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 60s to mid 70s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. West winds
less than 10 mph early in the evening becoming light.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the 70s. East winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the 70s. South winds
up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. Southwest
winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the 60s to mid 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.

$$



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