Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 250717
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
317 AM EDT Thu May 25 2017

.DISCUSSION...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS TODAY PRODUCING SHOWERS MAINLY
ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 40. THIS SYSTEM WILL MOVE EAST OF THE
REGION TONIGHT WITH DRIER AND WARMER CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR FRIDAY.
INCREASING MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY THIS WEEKEND WITH PRODUCE
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BOTH SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. SOME
OF THESE STORMS MAY BE SEVERE DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING
HOURS.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-260830-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
317 AM EDT Thu May 25 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      57-62 (-10)  49-54 (0)    75-80
RH % (24h trend)      69-74 (+1)   95-100 (+2)  36-41
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     SW 13 G34                 W  9 G22
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW 16 G36    W 12 G31     SW  9 G21
Precip type           showers      showers      NONE
Chance precip (%)     90           40           0
Precip duration       5            1
Precip begin          8 AM         Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   8 AM
Precip amount         0.34         0.07         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4200                      6900
Transport wnd (mph)   W 28                      W 18
Dispersion            52 Gen good               76 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SW 17 G34                 W 11 G22
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW 19 G36    W 15 G31     SW 11 G21

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 50s to lower 60s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Southwest winds less
than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper
60s to lower 80s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 60s to upper
70s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 60s to upper
70s. West winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-260830-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
317 AM EDT Thu May 25 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MClear
Temp (24h trend)      56-61 (-10)  49-54 (+2)   72-77
RH % (24h trend)      60-65 (-5)   91-96 (+1)   35-40
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     W 13 G33                  W 12 G28
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     W 18 G44     W 16 G40     W  8 G22
Precip type           showers      showers      NONE
Chance precip (%)     90           40           0
Precip duration       4            1
Precip begin          8 AM         Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   8 AM
Precip amount         0.30         0.06         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5200                      6600
Transport wnd (mph)   W 30                      W 21
Dispersion            63 Good                   68 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     W 17 G33                  W 15 G28
33ft wind-PM(mph)     W 23 G44     W 20 G40     W 11 G22

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 50s to lower 60s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 70s to 80s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper
60s to lower 80s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 80s. West
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 60s to lower
80s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the 60s to 70s. West winds up to
10 mph.

$$

TNZ072-074-260830-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
317 AM EDT Thu May 25 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud cover           MCldy        PCldy        MClear
Temp (24h trend)      58-63 (-7)   49-54 (+3)   73-78
RH % (24h trend)      53-58 (-7)   85-90 (-4)   33-38
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     W 15 G40                  W  8 G22
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     W 19 G44     W 14 G39     W  8 G21
Precip type           showers      NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     60           0            0
Precip duration       3
Precip begin          8 AM
Precip end            Continuing
Precip amount         0.17         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5700                      6700
Transport wnd (mph)   W 28                      W 17
Dispersion            62 Good                   53 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     W 19 G40                  W 11 G22
33ft wind-PM(mph)     W 24 G44     W 18 G39     W 10 G21

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s to mid 60s.
Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 50s to upper 60s. Southwest winds up
to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper
60s to lower 80s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 60s to upper 70s. West
winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the 60s to lower
80s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the 60s to lower 80s. Northwest
winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ087-102-260830-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
317 AM EDT Thu May 25 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud cover           MCldy        MClear       MClear
Temp (24h trend)      64-69 (-2)   48-53 (+1)   77-82
RH % (24h trend)      46-51 (-16)  91-96 (-3)   43-48
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     W 12 G32                  W  6 G16
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     W 15 G34     W  8 G25     SW  8 G16
Precip type           showers      NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     30           0            0
Precip duration       1
Precip begin          8 AM
Precip end            8 PM
Precip amount         0.07         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5300                      6400
Transport wnd (mph)   W 23                      W 14
Dispersion            65 Good                   54 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     W 16 G32                  W  7 G16
33ft wind-PM(mph)     W 19 G34     W 11 G25     SW  9

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 50s to mid 60s. South
winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s to upper 80s. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the 70s to
lower 80s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. West
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 60s to
lower 80s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 60s to
lower 80s. North winds less than 10 mph.

$$

NCZ060-061-260830-
Nantahala National Forest-
317 AM EDT Thu May 25 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

CLOUD COVER           MCldy        MClear       MClear
TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (-2)   46-51 (0)    76-81
RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (-17)  95-100 (0)   43-48
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 11 G30                  NW  7 G19
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 13 G31     W  9 G26     W  7 G18
PRECIP TYPE           showers      NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0
PRECIP DURATION       1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM
PRECIP END            8 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  4                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      6700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 24                      W 16
DISPERSION            65 Good                   62 Good
MAX LVORI             4                         4
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W 14 G30                  NW  9 G19
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 17 G31     W 11 G26     W  9 G18

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s.
Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the 70s to mid 80s. Southwest winds up to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 60s. Southwest winds less
than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the 70s to
lower 80s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows around 60. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. West winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 60s to
lower 80s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 60s to
lower 80s. North winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-260830-
East Tennessee District East-
317 AM EDT Thu May 25 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud cover           MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      60-65 (-10)  51-56 (+1)   76-81
RH % (24h trend)      59-64 (-2)   87-92 (-3)   38-43
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     SW 14 G36                 W  9 G22
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW 18 G42    W 12 G32     SW  8 G20
Precip type           showers      showers      NONE
Chance precip (%)     80           20           0
Precip duration       4            1
Precip begin          8 AM         Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   2 AM
Precip amount         0.28         0.02         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4200                      6100
Transport wnd (mph)   W 30                      W 16
Dispersion            70 Good                   63 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SW 18 G36                 W 11 G22
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW 23 G42    W 15 G32     SW 10 G20

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 50s to lower 60s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 70s to upper 80s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the 70s to
lower 80s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows around 60. Highs in the 70s to lower 80s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 60s to
lower 80s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 60s to
lower 80s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-260830-
East Tennessee District West-
317 AM EDT Thu May 25 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud cover           MCldy        PCldy        MClear
Temp (24h trend)      64-69 (-4)   51-56 (+2)   79-84
RH % (24h trend)      49-54 (-12)  86-91 (-4)   39-44
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     SW 13 G35                 SW  6 G17
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     W 17 G37     W  9 G30     SW  8 G17
Precip type           showers      NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     50           0            0
Precip duration       1
Precip begin          8 AM
Precip end            8 PM
Precip amount         0.18         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4600                      6200
Transport wnd (mph)   W 28                      W 14
Dispersion            79 Good                   60 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SW 17 G35                 SW  8 G17
33ft wind-PM(mph)     W 22 G37     W 11 G30     SW  9 G17

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the lower to mid 60s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 70s to upper 80s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Southwest winds less
than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the 70s to
mid 80s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the 70s to lower 80s. West winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the 70s to lower
80s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 60s to
lower 80s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-260830-
Cumberland District South-
317 AM EDT Thu May 25 2017 /217 AM CDT Thu May 25 2017/

                      Today        Tonight      Fri

Cloud cover           PCldy        MClear       MClear
Temp (24h trend)      68-73 (+1)   50-55 (+2)   80-85
RH % (24h trend)      42-47 (-16)  91-96 (-2)   40-45
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     W 12 G34                  SW  5 G15
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     W 15 G34     SW  6 G20    SW  8 G19
Precip type           showers      NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     30           0            0
Precip duration       1
Precip begin          8 AM
Precip end            5 PM
Precip amount         0.03         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5100                      6000
Transport wnd (mph)   W 23                      W 14
Dispersion            76 Good                   55 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     W 16 G34                  SW  6 G15
33ft wind-PM(mph)     W 18 G34     SW  8 G20    SW 10 G19

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds
up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the 80s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper
70s to mid 80s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 70s to lower 80s. West
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 70s to
lower 80s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs in the mid 70s to lower 80s.
North winds less than 10 mph.

$$



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