Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 261856
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
256 PM EDT Wed Jul 26 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Chances for precipitation will increase Thursday
afternoon through Friday night as a cold front moves towards the
region. Some thunderstorms may be strong to severe with damaging
winds. Much cooler and drier air is expected this weekend behind the
cold front.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-272000-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
256 PM EDT Wed Jul 26 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        MCldy        Cloudy
Temp (24h trend)      64-69 (+3)   80-85 (-4)   64-69        75-80
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+6)  56-61 (+14)  95-100       73-78
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  SW  5                     SW  8 G20
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5 G16     W  8 G21
Precip type           NONE         tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            60           70           70
Precip duration                    2            3            8
Precip begin                       8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.36         0.28         0.76
LAL                   1            4            4            4
LASI                               4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 6300                      3200
Transport wnd (mph)                W 10                      W 21
Dispersion                         39 Fair                   20 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SW  6                     SW 10 G20
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      W  5         S  7 G16     W 10 G21

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s. North winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s to upper 70s.
North winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid to upper 50s.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. East
winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower
70s to mid 80s. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the 70s to 80s.
Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 70s to
upper 80s. Light winds.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-272000-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
256 PM EDT Wed Jul 26 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        MCldy        Cloudy
Temp (24h trend)      62-67 (+1)   78-83 (-6)   64-69        73-78
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+4)  56-61 (+11)  92-97        71-76
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  9 G25
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      W  5         LGT/VAR      W 10 G27
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     20           60           60           70
Precip duration       1            2            2            3
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.01         0.32         0.17         0.60
LAL                   2            4            4            4
LASI                               4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 7500                      3100
Transport wnd (mph)                W  9                      W 26
Dispersion                         39 Fair                   6 Very poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SW  5                     SW 11 G25
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      W  6         W  5 G17     W 13 G27

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the 50s
to mid 60s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 80s.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the 50s to lower 60s.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the upper 60s to mid 80s. East
winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs in the upper 60s to mid 80s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
upper 60s to mid 80s. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the 70s to 80s.
Light winds.

$$

TNZ072-074-272000-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
256 PM EDT Wed Jul 26 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        MCldy        Cloudy
Temp (24h trend)      63-68 (0)    78-83 (-6)   64-69        73-78
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+7)  57-62 (+15)  90-95        71-76
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   SW 11 G30
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      W  5         SW  6 G23    W 10 G28
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     20           50           50           70
Precip duration       1            1            1            8
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.02         0.27         0.11         0.56
LAL                   2            4            3            4
LASI                               4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 7000                      3700
Transport wnd (mph)                W 12                      W 24
Dispersion                         36 Fair                   13 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SW  5                     SW 14 G30
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      W  6         SW  8 G23    W 13 G28

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the 50s
to mid 60s. North winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 80s. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the 50s to lower 60s.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the 60s to mid 80s. East winds
less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the 60s
to mid 80s. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the 60s to mid
80s. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the 60s to upper
80s. Light winds.

$$

TNZ087-102-272000-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
256 PM EDT Wed Jul 26 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        MCldy        Cloudy
Temp (24h trend)      65-70 (+1)   82-87 (-7)   67-72        77-82
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+5)  55-60 (+14)  92-97        70-75
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   S  5 G17
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  8 G22
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     10           40           40           80
Precip duration       1            1            1            8
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.01         0.11         0.08         0.49
LAL                   1            3            3            4
LASI                               4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 6300                      2700
Transport wnd (mph)                W  8                      SW 20
Dispersion                         29 Fair                   11 Poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SW  5                     S  6 G17
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      W  5         S  5 G15     SW 11 G22

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 50s to upper 60s. North winds up to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s to mid 80s. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. East
winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to
mid 80s. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the 70s to 80s.
Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the 70s to 80s.
Light winds.

$$

NCZ060-061-272000-
Nantahala National Forest-
256 PM EDT Wed Jul 26 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

CLOUD COVER           PCldy        PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (+2)   81-86 (-5)   67-72        77-82
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  59-64 (+13)  90-95        72-77
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  5 G18
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  7 G20
PRECIP TYPE           tstms        tstms        tstms        tstms
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           30           70
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            8
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP END            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.15         0.05         0.44
LAL                   3            3            3            4
LASI                               4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7400                      2800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  8                      W 22
DISPERSION                         35 Fair                   10 Poor
MAX LVORI                          4                         6
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  6 G18
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  5         LGT/VAR      SW  9 G20

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 70s to lower 80s. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s.
North winds less than 10 mph early in the evening becoming light.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. East
winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 70s to
mid 80s. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 70s to
mid 80s. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the 70s to 80s.
Light winds.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-272000-
East Tennessee District East-
256 PM EDT Wed Jul 26 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        MCldy        Cloudy
Temp (24h trend)      66-71 (+3)   84-89 (-5)   67-72        77-82
RH % (24h trend)      94-99 (+2)   53-58 (+13)  95-100       71-76
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  9 G24
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      W  5         LGT/VAR      W  9 G23
Precip type           NONE         tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            60           60           70
Precip duration                    2            2            3
Precip begin                       8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.29         0.19         0.65
LAL                   1            4            4            4
LASI                               4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 6600                      2300
Transport wnd (mph)                W 12                      W 23
Dispersion                         50 Gen good               15 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SW  5                     SW 12 G24
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      W  6         SE  6        W 11 G23

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 50s to upper 60s. North winds up to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s.
North winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. Light
winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the 70s
to mid 80s. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid
70s to upper 80s. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid
70s to upper 80s. Light winds.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-272000-
East Tennessee District West-
256 PM EDT Wed Jul 26 2017

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        MCldy        Cloudy
Temp (24h trend)      68-73 (+2)   85-90 (-4)   68-73        78-83
RH % (24h trend)      93-98 (+4)   52-57 (+9)   92-97        69-74
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  7 G22
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        S  5         W  8 G20
Precip type           NONE         tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            40           50           70
Precip duration                    1            1            8
Precip begin                       8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.13         0.19         0.66
LAL                   1            4            4            4
LASI                               4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 6000                      2300
Transport wnd (mph)                W 12                      W 16
Dispersion                         47 Gen good               14 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SW  6                     SW 10 G22
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  7        S  6         W 10 G20

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s. North winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows near 60. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the 70s to mid 80s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid
70s to upper 80s. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the 70s to upper
80s. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the upper 70s to
lower 90s. Light winds.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-272000-
Cumberland District South-
256 PM EDT Wed Jul 26 2017 /156 PM CDT Wed Jul 26 2017/

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      69-74 (+1)   86-91 (-2)   69-74        80-85
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+4)  52-57 (+2)   91-96        66-71
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   S  6 G18
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        LGT/VAR      SW  8 G21
Precip type           NONE         tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            30           40           70
Precip duration                    1            1            3
Precip begin                       8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.05         0.12         0.52
LAL                   1            3            4            4
LASI                               3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5500                      2900
Transport wnd (mph)                W  8                      SW 17
Dispersion                         29 Fair                   25 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SW  5                     S  8 G18
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        S  5         SW 10 G21

Remarks...None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s to lower 70s. North winds up to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s to mid 80s. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the 70s to upper 80s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the 70s to
upper 80s. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the 80s. Light
winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the 80s to lower
90s. Light winds.

$$


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