Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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FNUS54 KMRX 182011
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
311 PM EST Sun Feb 18 2018

.DISCUSSION...
After a chance of rain tonight, we will have a string of dry days
to start the work week. Temperatures will be well above normal for
the next several days.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-192100-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
311 PM EST Sun Feb 18 2018

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        PCldy        MClear
Temp (24h trend)      43-48 (+9)   64-69 (+12)  48-53        71-76
RH % (24h trend)      88-93 (-6)   51-56 (+8)   95-100       44-49
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  S  7 G20                  S  6 G17
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SE  9 G24    S  7 G18     S  5 G15     S  8 G18
Precip type           showers      showers      NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     60           30           0            0
Precip duration       2            1
Precip begin          10 PM        Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   1 PM
Precip amount         0.11         0.03         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4000                      4100
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                1900                      2100
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 15                     S 16
Dispersion                         25 Fair                   27 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  S  9 G20                  S  9 G17
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SE 12 G24    S  9 G18     S  7 G15     S 11 G18

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 50s. South winds up
to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Highs in the 60s to mid 70s. Southwest winds up
to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the 60s. Southeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 50s. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. South winds up to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows around 50.
Highs in the 50s to upper 60s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the 50s
to mid 60s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-192100-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
311 PM EST Sun Feb 18 2018

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      43-48 (+7)   61-66 (+10)  48-53        66-71
RH % (24h trend)      85-90 (-6)   49-54 (+9)   95-100       47-52
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  S 10 G25                  S  8 G19
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SE 13 G31    S  8 G21     S  6 G19     S  8 G19
Precip type           showers      showers      NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     60           30           0            0
Precip duration       2            1
Precip begin          7 PM         Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   1 PM
Precip amount         0.10         0.03         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4100                      5000
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                1400                      2300
Transport wnd (mph)                S 15                      S 14
Dispersion                         16 Gen poor               26 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  S 12 G25                  S 10 G19
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SE 16 G31    S 10 G21     S  8 G19     S 10 G19

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the 50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s. South winds
up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 50s. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows around 50.
Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. Southwest winds up to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the 50s
to mid 60s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ072-074-192100-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
311 PM EST Sun Feb 18 2018

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      46-51 (+10)  60-65 (+6)   49-54        66-71
RH % (24h trend)      87-92 (-6)   54-59 (+10)  95-100       47-52
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  S 13 G36                  S 11 G28
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 13 G40     S 11 G34     S 11 G32     S 10 G26
Precip type           showers      showers      NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     70           20           0            0
Precip duration       2            1
Precip begin          7 PM         Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   10 AM
Precip amount         0.11         0.02         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4300                      4900
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                1300                      1800
Transport wnd (mph)                S 20                      S 18
Dispersion                         21 Fair                   26 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  S 17 G36                  S 14 G28
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 17 G40     S 14 G34     S 13 G32     S 13 G26

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
40s to upper 50s. South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s to lower 60s. South winds up
to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper 50s to
lower 70s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the mid 50s to lower 70s. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
lower 50s to mid 60s. West winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ087-102-192100-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
311 PM EST Sun Feb 18 2018

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      47-52 (+9)   64-69 (+5)   52-57        68-73
RH % (24h trend)      94-99 (0)    57-62 (+17)  95-100       54-59
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  SE 11 G28                 S 10 G25
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SE 12 G32    S 10 G27     S  9 G24     S 10 G23
Precip type           showers      NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     70           0            0            0
Precip duration       2
Precip begin          7 PM
Precip end            7 AM
Precip amount         0.09         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        2                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 3700                      4600
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                1600                      2500
Transport wnd (mph)                S 18                      S 17
Dispersion                         25 Fair                   36 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SE 14 G28                 S 12 G25
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SE 15 G32    S 12 G27     S 11 G24     S 12 G23

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
50s to lower 60s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Highs in the 60s to mid 70s. South winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the 60s to lower
70s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid
50s. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. Southwest winds up to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid
50s to upper 60s. West winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

NCZ060-061-192100-
Nantahala National Forest-
311 PM EST Sun Feb 18 2018

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

CLOUD COVER           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+8)   62-67 (+2)   49-54        65-70
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  61-66 (+23)  95-100       60-65
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  8 G22                 SE  7 G18
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 10 G25    S  7 G20     S  6 G16     SE  7 G17
PRECIP TYPE           showers      NONE         showers      NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           0            20           0
PRECIP DURATION       2                         1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                      7 PM
PRECIP END            Continuing                7 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.00         0.01         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        2                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      5100
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)*                1700                      2900
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 16                      S 12
DISPERSION                         23 Fair                   26 Fair
MAX LVORI                          5                         5
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE 10 G22                 SE  8 G18
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 13 G25    S  9 G20     S  8 G16     SE  9 G17

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
50s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. South winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the 60s to lower
70s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the upper
50s to mid 60s. West winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-192100-
East Tennessee District East-
311 PM EST Sun Feb 18 2018

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      44-49 (+7)   66-71 (+11)  48-53        73-78
RH % (24h trend)      90-95 (-4)   48-53 (+7)   95-100       44-49
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  SE  6 G16                 S  5 G17
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SE  8 G24    SW  7 G18    LGT/VAR      S  8 G18
Precip type           showers      showers      NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     60           20           0            0
Precip duration       1            1
Precip begin          10 PM        Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   1 PM
Precip amount         0.09         0.02         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 3800                      3400
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                2300                      1900
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 14                     S 13
Dispersion                         28 Fair                   20 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SE  8 G16                 S  7 G17
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SE 11 G24    SW  8 G18    S  5         S 10 G18

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 50s. Southeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 60s to mid 70s. Southwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 70s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 50s. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. South winds less than
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely. Lows in the lower 50s.
Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the upper
50s to mid 60s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-192100-
East Tennessee District West-
311 PM EST Sun Feb 18 2018

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      48-53 (+13)  65-70 (+8)   52-57        72-77
RH % (24h trend)      89-94 (-4)   55-60 (+12)  95-100       49-54
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  S  7 G22                  S  7 G21
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S  7 G23     S  7 G22     S  6 G19     S 10 G24
Precip type           showers      showers      NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     60           20           0            0
Precip duration       2            1
Precip begin          7 PM         Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   10 AM
Precip amount         0.07         0.01         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        2                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 3700                      3800
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                2500                      2500
Transport wnd (mph)                S 20                      S 17
Dispersion                         42 Gen good               36 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  S  9 G22                  S  8 G21
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S  8 G23     S  9 G22     S  8 G19     S 13 G24

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s.
Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 60s to mid 70s. Southwest
winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 60s to lower
70s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
60s to lower 70s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s.
Highs in the 50s to upper 60s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-192100-
Cumberland District South-
311 PM EST Sun Feb 18 2018 /211 PM CST Sun Feb 18 2018/

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           Cloudy       MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      51-56 (+14)  67-72 (+8)   53-58        71-76
RH % (24h trend)      93-98 (+1)   53-58 (+13)  91-96        53-58
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  S  8 G20                  S  8 G23
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 10 G23     S  7 G19     S  8 G18     S 10 G23
Precip type           showers      NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     60           0            0            0
Precip duration       2
Precip begin          7 PM
Precip end            7 AM
Precip amount         0.07         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        2                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 3400                      4000
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                2200                      2800
Transport wnd (mph)                S 20                      S 18
Dispersion                         38 Fair                   45 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  S 11 G20                  S 10 G23
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 12 G23     S  9 G19     S  9 G18     S 13 G23

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 60s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 60s to mid 70s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Southeast winds less than
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 60s to lower
70s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid
60s to lower 70s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the 60s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$



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