Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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986
FNUS54 KMRX 120828
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
328 AM EST FRI FEB 12 2016

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM AND COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE AREA TODAY. ARCTIC AIR WILL MOVE BACK INTO THE SOUTHERN
APPALACHIANS THIS WEEKEND...PROVIDING WELL BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-130930-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
328 AM EST FRI FEB 12 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (+3)   11-16 (-7)   16-21
RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (+20)  91-96 (+6)   35-40
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  8 G16
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G16     W 10 G20     NW  7
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           60           20
PRECIP DURATION       4            3            1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   11 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.05         0.01
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      6100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      NW 18
DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               65 GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW 10 G20
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G20     W 12 G25     NW  8 G16

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 3 TO 11. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
LOWER 30S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. NOT AS COLD. LOWS
18 TO 27. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID
40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-130930-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
328 AM EST FRI FEB 12 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (0)    11-16 (-7)   16-21
RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (+10)  87-92 (-2)   35-40
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW 10 G19
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G17     NW 12 G26    NW  7
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           60           10
PRECIP DURATION       4            3            1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   11 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.06         0.01
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      6300
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 18                      NW 21
DISPERSION            42 GEN GOOD               63 GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW 13 G24
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G22     NW 16 G33    NW  9 G18

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 3 TO 12. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. LIGHT WINDS
BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 17 TO 27.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ072-074-130930-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
328 AM EST FRI FEB 12 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      34-39 (-3)   14-19 (-6)   18-23
RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (+7)   81-86 (-12)  32-37
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  6
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         NW  9 G21    N  5
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           40           0
PRECIP DURATION       2            1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.05         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5700                      5600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 17                      N 14
DISPERSION            39 FAIR                   29 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  8 G16
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G17     NW 12 G26    N  6

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 5 TO 15. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. LIGHT WINDS
BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 18 TO 29.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...SNOW SHOWERS WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ087-102-130930-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
328 AM EST FRI FEB 12 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (+1)   18-23 (-5)   26-31
RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (+4)   75-80 (-16)  23-28
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  7
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         NW  8 G15    N  6
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           10           0
PRECIP DURATION       1            1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.01         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      5100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 13                      N 15
DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   38 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  9 G17
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G15     NW 10 G19    N  7

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 11 TO 17. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. NOT AS COLD. LOWS
IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...SHOWERS WITH SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S
TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ060-061-130930-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
328 AM EST FRI FEB 12 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+2)   19-24 (-3)   24-29
RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (+3)   67-72 (-26)  22-27
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  7
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        NW  8 G16    N  6
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW SHOWERS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0
PRECIP DURATION       1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM
PRECIP END            7 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      5500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 13                      N 16
DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   44 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI             4                         1
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  9 G17
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7        NW 10 G20    N  8

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 11 TO 17. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S
TO LOWER 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...SHOWERS WITH SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 30S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-130930-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
328 AM EST FRI FEB 12 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (+2)   16-21 (-5)   22-27
RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (+12)  76-81 (-10)  32-37
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  7 G15
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         W  8 G16     NW  6
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         SNOW SHOWERS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           20           0
PRECIP DURATION       3            1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.02         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      5700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 16                      NW 15
DISPERSION            32 FAIR                   55 GEN GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  9 G18
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G17     W 10 G20     NW  7 G15

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 5 TO 14. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. NOT AS COLD. LOWS
IN THE 20S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...SNOW SHOWERS WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-130930-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
328 AM EST FRI FEB 12 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-1)   16-21 (-7)   24-29
RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (+10)  74-79 (-11)  28-33
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  6
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         NW  8 G16    N  5
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW/RAIN    SNOW SHOWERS NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           10           0
PRECIP DURATION       3            1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.01         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      4800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 15                      N 12
DISPERSION            36 FAIR                   35 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  8
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G16     NW 10 G20    N  6

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 8 TO 17. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
UPPER 30S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. NOT AS COLD. LOWS
IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-130930-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
328 AM EST FRI FEB 12 2016 /228 AM CST FRI FEB 12 2016/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (0)    17-22 (-7)   28-33
RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (+2)   71-76 (-18)  22-27
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  8
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7 G15    NW 10 G17    N  6
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0
PRECIP DURATION       1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM
PRECIP END            1 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      4400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 15                     N 14
DISPERSION            41 GEN GOOD               37 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N 10 G19
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  9 G19    NW 12 G22    N  7

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 13 TO 20. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. NOT AS COLD. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$



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