Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ

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000
FNUS55 KPSR 202146
FWFPSR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL
ARIZONA AND SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
246 PM MST SAT SEP 20 2014

.DISCUSSION...
EXPECT ISOLATED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES TO EXPAND ACROSS THE
LOWER DESERT ELEVATIONS OF SOUTH-CENTRAL ARIZONA THIS AFTERNOON...
WHILE PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA REMAIN SOMEWHAT DRIER THROUGH
THE WEEKEND. MOISTURE AND STORM CHANCES BEGIN TO TREND DOWNWARD INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK AS DRIER AIR WORKS ITS WAY INTO THE REGION. OVERALL...
WINDS WILL BE LIGHT...WITH A STRONGER SOUTHERLY FLOW ALONG THE LOWER
COLORADO RIVER VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WEAKENING SUNDAY.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...

NOTE...ADDITIONAL FIRE WEATHER FORECAST INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND
IN THE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION. SEE PRODUCT PHXAFDPSR.

AZZ132-211000-
WEST CENTRAL DESERTS/NORTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY/GREATER PHOENIX
AREA/SOUTHWEST DESERTS/SOUTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY/
NORTHWEST AND NORTH-CENTRAL PINAL COUNTY-
PHOENIX BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ-
246 PM MST SAT SEP 20 2014

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................72-82.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................54-66 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................20 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................2.

.SUNDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................92-101.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................19-27 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................9 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR PHOENIX.......10000 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR PHOENIX......SOUTH 5 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR PHOENIX..........GOOD.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................71-81.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................37-55 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................14 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.

.MONDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................94-102.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................14-22 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................4 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..EAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
  MORNING...BECOMING SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR PHOENIX.......9000 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR PHOENIX......WEST 4 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR PHOENIX..........FAIR.


.EXTENDED...
.TUESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS 71-81. HIGHS 95-104. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS 71-81. HIGHS 96-105. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 72-82. HIGHS 95-103. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 65-77. HIGHS 89-99.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 63-73. HIGHS 83-94.

$$

AZZ133-211000-
SOUTHERN GILA COUNTY/TONTO NATIONAL FOREST FOOTHILLS-
SOUTHERN TONTO NF/WEST SAN CARLOS BIA/SOUTH PORTION FT APACHE BIA/
CAZ-
246 PM MST SAT SEP 20 2014

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS
  AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...BECOMING SLIGHT CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................62-73.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................64-75 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................9 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
  EVENING...BECOMING MOSTLY DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHEAST 15 TO 25 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................30 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................3 IN THE EVENING...BECOMING 2
  AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.SUNDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................79-94.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................29-45 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................4 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
  MORNING...BECOMING SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................20 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................2.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................61-72.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................55-81 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
  EVENING...BECOMING EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................20 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................2.

.MONDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................79-96.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................22-45 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................3 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
  MORNING...BECOMING SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE
  MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE AFTERNOON.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................20 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................2.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.


.EXTENDED...
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 60-71. HIGHS 80-96. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 60-73. HIGHS 81-97. SOUTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 60-73. HIGHS 79-96. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 58-72. HIGHS 75-91.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 54-68. HIGHS 71-87.

$$

AZZ131-CAZ231-211000-
YUMA/MARTINEZ LAKE AND VICINITY/LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY AZ-
LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY CA-
246 PM MST SAT SEP 20 2014 /246 PM PDT SAT SEP 20 2014/

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................73-77.
*    24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES COOLER.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................46-60 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 15 TO 25 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................10 PERCENT IN THE
  EVENING...BECOMING 0 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................2 IN THE EVENING...BECOMING 1
  AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.SUNDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................95-100.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................15-20 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................8 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR YUMA..........7500 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR YUMA.........SOUTH 5 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR YUMA.............FAIR.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................72-76.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................32-46 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................15 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
  EVENING...BECOMING NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.

.MONDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................97-102.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................12-17 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................3 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE
  MORNING...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR YUMA..........7500 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR YUMA.........SOUTH 6 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR YUMA.............GOOD.


.EXTENDED...
.TUESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS 72-79. HIGHS 99-104. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS 74-79. HIGHS 100-105. SOUTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN
15 PERCENT.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 75-79. HIGHS 99-104. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 66-78. HIGHS 94-100.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 65-70. HIGHS 88-94.

$$

CAZ230-211000-
JOSHUA TREE NATIONAL PARK-
246 PM PDT SAT SEP 20 2014

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................64-73.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................37-45 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................8 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE
  EVENING...BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................10 PERCENT IN THE
  EVENING...BECOMING 0 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................2 IN THE EVENING...BECOMING 1
  AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.SUNDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................80-95.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................15-21 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................6 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
  MORNING...BECOMING SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................64-73.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................33-39 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................5 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
  EVENING...BECOMING NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.

.MONDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................83-97.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................14-19 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
  MORNING...BECOMING SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.


.EXTENDED...
.TUESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS 65-75. HIGHS 84-99. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS 66-75. HIGHS 85-100. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 63-75. HIGHS 83-99. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 54-73. HIGHS 78-94.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 54-68. HIGHS 72-88.

$$

CAZ232-211000-
IMPERIAL COUNTY AND EASTERN RIVERSIDE COUNTY-
246 PM PDT SAT SEP 20 2014

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................73-77.
*    24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES COOLER.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................38-50 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................5 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
  EVENING...BECOMING NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 15 TO 25 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................2 IN THE EVENING...BECOMING 1
  AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.SUNDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................90-100.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................16-22 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................5 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..WEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
  MORNING...BECOMING SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................73-77.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................30-43 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................9 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
  EVENING...BECOMING NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.

.MONDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................93-102.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................14-19 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
  MORNING...BECOMING SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE
  MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE AFTERNOON.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.


.EXTENDED...
.TUESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS 74-80. HIGHS 95-104. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS 75-80. HIGHS 96-105. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 73-80. HIGHS 95-104. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 67-78. HIGHS 90-100.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 67-73. HIGHS 84-95.

$$

.8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...SUNDAY SEPTEMBER 28TH THROUGH TUESDAY SEPTEMBER
30TH...ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND ABOVE MEDIAN PRECIPITATION.





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