Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ

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000
FNUS55 KPSR 201115
FWFPSR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL
ARIZONA AND SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
415 AM MST WED AUG 20 2014

.DISCUSSION...
THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
REGION TODAY...WITH MUCH HIGHER CHANCES EXPECTED ON THURSDAY. GIVEN
THE HIGH DEWPOINTS ACROSS THE REGION...AFTERNOON HUMIDITIES WILL ONLY
DROP INTO THE 20-30 PERCENT RANGE WITH GOOD OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES
EXPECTED. WINDS SHOULD BE LIGHT AND SHOULD FOLLOW TYPICAL DIURNAL
PATTERNS.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY WINDS...

NOTE...ADDITIONAL FIRE WEATHER FORECAST INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND
IN THE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION. SEE PRODUCT PHXAFDPSR.

AZZ132-202315-
WEST CENTRAL DESERTS/NORTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY/GREATER PHOENIX
AREA/SOUTHWEST DESERTS/SOUTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY/
NORTHWEST AND NORTH-CENTRAL PINAL COUNTY-
PHOENIX BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ-
415 AM MST WED AUG 20 2014

.TODAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................92-100.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................22-31 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................7 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................20 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................2.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR PHOENIX.......12000 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR PHOENIX......SOUTHWEST 4 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR PHOENIX..........GOOD.

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................72-82.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................56-73 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................4 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................20 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................2.

.THURSDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS
  AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................89-96.
*    24 HR TREND..................4 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................30-38 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................8 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................40 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................3.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR PHOENIX.......8000 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR PHOENIX......WEST 8 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR PHOENIX..........GOOD.


.EXTENDED...
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 71-81. HIGHS 92-99. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 73-83. HIGHS 94-102. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 74-84. HIGHS 97-105. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 75-85. HIGHS 97-105.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 75-85. HIGHS 97-105.

$$

AZZ133-202315-
SOUTHERN GILA COUNTY/TONTO NATIONAL FOREST FOOTHILLS-
SOUTHERN TONTO NF/WEST SAN CARLOS BIA/SOUTH PORTION FT APACHE BIA/
CAZ-
415 AM MST WED AUG 20 2014

.TODAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...BECOMING CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................79-94.
*    24 HR TREND..................10 DEGREES WARMER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................28-44 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................27 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............WEST 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE
  MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE AFTERNOON.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................30 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................2 IN THE MORNING...BECOMING 3 IN
  THE AFTERNOON.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS
  AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...BECOMING SLIGHT CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................60-72.
*    24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES WARMER.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................59-75 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................24 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..NORTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE
  EVENING...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................30 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................3 IN THE EVENING...BECOMING 2
  AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.THURSDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...BECOMING CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................76-91.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................33-47 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................4 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..WEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................50 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................2 IN THE MORNING...BECOMING 3 IN
  THE AFTERNOON.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.


.EXTENDED...
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 59-73. HIGHS 79-94. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 60-74. HIGHS 81-96. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 61-74. HIGHS 83-98. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 62-75. HIGHS 83-99.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 62-75. HIGHS 82-98.

$$

AZZ131-CAZ231-202315-
YUMA/MARTINEZ LAKE AND VICINITY/LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY AZ-
LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY CA-
415 AM MST WED AUG 20 2014 /415 AM PDT WED AUG 20 2014/

.TODAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................95-101.
*    24 HR TREND..................4 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................21-27 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................7 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 15 TO 25 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................20 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................2.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR YUMA..........8000 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR YUMA.........SOUTHEAST 9 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR YUMA.............VERY GOOD.

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................76-80.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................52-62 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................7 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................20 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................2.

.THURSDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS
  AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................93-99.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................29-36 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................8 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................40 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................30 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................3.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR YUMA..........12000 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR YUMA.........SOUTH 11 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR YUMA.............EXCELLENT.


.EXTENDED...
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 75-80. HIGHS 94-100. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 76-80. HIGHS 97-102. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 77-81. HIGHS 99-105. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 78-82. HIGHS 99-105.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 79-83. HIGHS 99-106.

$$

CAZ230-202315-
JOSHUA TREE NATIONAL PARK-
415 AM PDT WED AUG 20 2014

.TODAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...BECOMING CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................79-95.
*    24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................19-28 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................9 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 20 TO 30 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................30 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................2 IN THE MORNING...BECOMING 3 IN
  THE AFTERNOON.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................63-74.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................44-54 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................6 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..WEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................20 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................2.

.THURSDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................79-95.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................26-35 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................6 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE
  MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE AFTERNOON.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................20 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................2.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.


.EXTENDED...
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 62-75. HIGHS 80-95. SOUTHWEST WINDS
10 TO 20 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 63-76. HIGHS 82-97. WEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 64-77. HIGHS 84-99. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 65-80. HIGHS 84-100.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 68-80. HIGHS 85-100.

$$

CAZ232-202315-
IMPERIAL COUNTY AND EASTERN RIVERSIDE COUNTY-
415 AM PDT WED AUG 20 2014

.TODAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................91-101.
*    24 HR TREND..................5 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................18-26 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................8 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 15 TO 25 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................20 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................2.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................75-80.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................44-56 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................8 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..WEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................20 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................2.

.THURSDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS
  AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...BECOMING SLIGHT CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................90-100.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................25-34 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................8 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................30 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................3 IN THE MORNING...BECOMING 2 IN
  THE AFTERNOON.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.


.EXTENDED...
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 75-81. HIGHS 90-101. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 76-81. HIGHS 93-103. WEST WINDS
10 TO 20 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 76-82. HIGHS 94-104. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 77-83. HIGHS 95-105.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 80-84. HIGHS 95-105.

$$

.8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...WEDNESDAY AUGUST 27TH THROUGH FRIDAY AUGUST
29TH...NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND NEAR MEDIAN PRECIPITATION.





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