Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ

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000
FNUS55 KPSR 041132
FWFPSR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL
ARIZONA AND SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
432 AM MST WED MAY 4 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT THURSDAY FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MST ACROSS
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ARIZONA DUE TO STRONG WINDS...LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND HIGH FIRE DANGER...

.DISCUSSION...
THE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE REGION WILL WEAKEN TODAY AS A NEW
PACIFIC COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA COAST THIS
AFTERNOON...THEN MOVES ACROSS ARIZONA THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THE
APPROACHING COLD FRONT TODAY WILL RESULT IN GUSTY AFTERNOON SOUTH
WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH AREA-WIDE. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES TODAY WILL
RANGE FROM 6 TO 10 PERCENT. GUSTY WINDS WILL DIMINISH OVERNIGHT...
HOWEVER THE INLAND MOVING COLD FRONT THURSDAY WILL RESULT IN STRONGER
SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS...MAINLY ACROSS SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL
ARIZONA. DUE TO LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND HIGH FIRE DANGER THURSDAY
AFTERNOON...A RED FLAG WARNING IS POSTED.


...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY WINDS...

NOTE...ADDITIONAL FIRE WEATHER FORECAST INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND
IN THE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION. SEE PRODUCT PHXAFDPSR.

AZZ132-042345-
WEST CENTRAL DESERTS/NORTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY/GREATER PHOENIX
AREA/SOUTHWEST DESERTS/SOUTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY/
NORTHWEST AND NORTH-CENTRAL PINAL COUNTY-
PHOENIX BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ-
432 AM MST WED MAY 4 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MST THURSDAY...

.TODAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................94-101.
*    24 HR TREND..................6 DEGREES WARMER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................6-11 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................4 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..INCREASING AFTERNOON SOUTH WIND 15
  T0 25 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 20 TO 30 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR PHOENIX.......13500 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR PHOENIX......SOUTH 16 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR PHOENIX..........EXCELLENT.

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................65-75.
*    24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES WARMER.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................23-38 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 25 TO 35 MPH IN THE
  EVENING...BECOMING 35 TO 45 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.

.THURSDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY. PATCHY BLOWING DUST
  IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................85-96.
*    24 HR TREND..................7 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................9-14 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................3 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..INCREASING SOUTH WIND 20 TO 35
  MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 30 TO 40 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR PHOENIX.......11300 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR PHOENIX......SOUTH 20 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR PHOENIX..........EXCELLENT.


.EXTENDED...
.FRIDAY...NOT AS WARM. PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 53-63. HIGHS 72-79. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 53-63. HIGHS 71-77. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
54-64. HIGHS 73-79. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 56-66. HIGHS 81-86.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 58-68. HIGHS 86-91.

$$

AZZ133-042345-
SOUTHERN GILA COUNTY/TONTO NATIONAL FOREST FOOTHILLS-
SOUTHERN TONTO NF/WEST SAN CARLOS BIA/SOUTH PORTION FT APACHE BIA/
CAZ-
432 AM MST WED MAY 4 2016

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MST THURSDAY...

.TODAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................82-98.
*    24 HR TREND..................6 DEGREES WARMER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................7-14 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................4 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..INCREASING AFTERNOON SOUTHEAST WIND
  15 TO 25 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 15 TO 25 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................53-68.
*    24 HR TREND..................4 DEGREES WARMER.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................25-34 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................9 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 15 TO 25 MPH IN THE
  EVENING...BECOMING 25 TO 35 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.

.THURSDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................82-94.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................7-12 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE
  MORNING...BECOMING SOUTH 25 TO 35 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 25 TO 35 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.


.EXTENDED...
.FRIDAY...NOT AS WARM. BREEZY. PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 40-63. HIGHS 68-78. SOUTH
WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 39-54. HIGHS 61-73. SOUTHWEST WINDS
10 TO 20 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
39-56. HIGHS 61-74. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 41-59. HIGHS 67-81.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 44-61. HIGHS 75-87.

$$

AZZ131-CAZ231-042345-
YUMA/MARTINEZ LAKE AND VICINITY/LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY AZ-
LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY CA-
432 AM MST WED MAY 4 2016 /432 AM PDT WED MAY 4 2016/

.TODAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................93-101.
*    24 HR TREND..................4 DEGREES WARMER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................7-12 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................3 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 25 TO 35 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR YUMA..........8600 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR YUMA.........SOUTH 17 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR YUMA.............EXCELLENT.

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................66-73.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................31-39 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................5 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 35 TO 45 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.

.THURSDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY. PATCHY BLOWING DUST
  IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................85-92.
*    24 HR TREND..................9 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................10-16 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................5 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 25 TO 35 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR YUMA..........6700 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR YUMA.........SOUTH 16 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR YUMA.............EXCELLENT.


.EXTENDED...
.FRIDAY...NOT AS WARM. PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 54-61. HIGHS 72-79. WEST WINDS
15 TO 25 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
54-59. HIGHS 74-79. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 57-61. HIGHS 77-82. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 59-64. HIGHS 84-88.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 61-66. HIGHS 88-93.

$$

CAZ230-042345-
JOSHUA TREE NATIONAL PARK-
432 AM PDT WED MAY 4 2016

.TODAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................77-93.
*    24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES WARMER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................10-17 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 25 TO 35 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................54-67.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................26-40 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 25 TO 35 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.

.THURSDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY. PATCHY BLOWING DUST
  IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................67-83.
*    24 HR TREND..................10 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................14-27 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................8 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
  MORNING...BECOMING 10 TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 25 TO 35 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.


.EXTENDED...
.FRIDAY...COOLER. PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 43-57. HIGHS 55-71. WEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 43-56. HIGHS 58-73. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
45-59. HIGHS 63-76. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 49-61. HIGHS 71-84.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 52-63. HIGHS 74-87.

$$

CAZ232-042345-
IMPERIAL COUNTY AND EASTERN RIVERSIDE COUNTY-
432 AM PDT WED MAY 4 2016

.TODAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................90-98.
*    24 HR TREND..................4 DEGREES WARMER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................8-13 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
  MORNING...BECOMING 15 TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 25 TO 35 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................67-72.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................30-45 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................3 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 30 TO 40 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.

.THURSDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY. PATCHY BLOWING DUST
  IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................80-88.
*    24 HR TREND..................10 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................12-19 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................6 PCT WETTER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 25 TO 35 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.


.EXTENDED...
.FRIDAY...NOT AS WARM. PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 52-61. HIGHS 68-77. WEST WINDS
15 TO 25 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 52-60. HIGHS 71-79. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 55-62. HIGHS 74-82. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 58-65. HIGHS 81-88.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 60-67. HIGHS 85-92.

$$

.8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...WEDNESDAY MAY 11TH THROUGH FRIDAY MAY 13TH
...ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND NEAR MEDIAN PRECIPITATION.


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