Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Aberdeen, SD

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258
FNUS73 KABR 211447
FWSABR

Spot Forecast for FOX RIDGE RX...State of South Dakota
National Weather Service Aberdeen SD
847 AM CST Tue Nov 21 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 MST on November 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service in Aberdeen SD.

.DISCUSSION...

A broad area of high pressure is moving into the region but a
gradient will still be in place so we will continue to see gusty
north winds through most of the morning. As this high pressure
system continues to move into the region, winds will begin to
diminishing somewhat around mid day into the early afternoon.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent cloud).
Max temperature.....25-30.
Min humidity........36-41 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 12 to 21 mph with gusts up to
                    30 mph, diminishing to 5 to 9 mph early.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......1300-2300 ft agl, decreasing to 300 ft agl
                    early.
Transport winds.....Northwest 31 to 39 mph, becoming west around 6
                    mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1200-48800).
Haines Index........3 (very low).

TIME (MST)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........7   11  14  18  18  17  17
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............21  23  25  27  26  24  21
RH..............47  45  42  38  40  43  49
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..18  16  14  12  9   7   5
20 FT wind gust.25  25  20  15  15  10

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent cloud), then
                    becoming mostly cloudy (60-70 percent cloud).
Min temperature.....15-20.
Max humidity........65-70 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 5 mph early in the evening,
                    becoming light and variable, then, becoming
                    south 6 to 10 mph early in the evening.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......100-600 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West 4 to 9 mph, becoming south 7 to 15 mph
                    early in the evening, then, increasing to 16 to
                    21 mph after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1200-4300).
Haines Index........3 to 4 (very low) to (low).

TIME (MST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........18  18  19  20  21  22  32  41  51  60  70  79
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............19  18  17  17  17  17  17  18  18  19  20  21
RH..............54  56  61  61  61  64  67  64  67  67  64  68
20 FT wind dir..W   SW  S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  S   S
20 FT wind spd..5   3   5   5   6   7   8   8   9   9   10  10
20 FT wind gust.    5           10  10  10  10  15  15  15  15

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent cloud), then
                    becoming sunny (15-25 percent cloud).
Max temperature.....54-59.
Min humidity........42-47 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 10 to 12 mph, becoming northwest 14
                    to 17 mph with gusts up to 25 mph in the late
                    morning.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......100-600 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 18 to 23 mph, becoming northwest 25
                    to 31 mph late in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4100-6100).
Haines Index........4 (low).

TIME (MST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........79  79  79  71  62  54  46  31  23  21  18  17
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............21  23  27  34  41  48  53  56  56  54  50  47
RH..............69  70  68  59  52  46  44  45  51  54  63  71
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   SW  W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..10  10  10  12  14  15  16  17  17  17  16  15
20 FT wind gust.15  15  15  15  20  20  25  25  25  25  25  20

$$
Forecaster...Connelly
Requested by...FUELS SPECIALIST
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1719068.0/ABR
.EMAIL LELAND.BLACK@BIA.GOV



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