Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Aberdeen, SD

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000
FNUS73 KABR 251645
FWSABR

SPOT FORECAST FOR WAR CREEK FIRE...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ABERDEEN SD
1145 AM CDT MON JUL 25 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1200 MDT ON JULY 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN ABERDEEN SD.

.DISCUSSION...

SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON, WITH GUSTS UP
TO 30 MPH POSSIBLE. RELATIVELY HUMIDITY WILL ALSO FALL INTO THE
20S. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY TODAY REMAINS UNCERTAIN...BEST
GUESS IS THAT SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL HOLD OFF
UNTIL LATE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT CLOUD).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....93-98.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-27 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 18 TO 21
                    MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH IN THE LATE
                    MORNING.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........6 (HIGH).
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 18 TO 21
                    MPH IN THE LATE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 24 MPH.

TIME (MDT)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........12  15  18  21  24  26
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............92  93  95  95  95  95
RH..............30  28  25  24  24  24
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..18  18  20  21  20  18
20 FT WIND GUST.25  25  30  30  30  25
EYE LVL WND DIR.S   S   S   S   S   S
EYE LVL WND SPD.11  11  12  13  12  11
EYE LVL WND GST.25  25  30  30  30  25

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT CLOUD) THEN
                    BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT CLOUD)
                    THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT
                    CLOUD). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....67-72.
MAX HUMIDITY........77-82 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 16 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN
                    THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................28 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 0100...THEN 3.
HAINES INDEX........6 (HIGH).
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 16 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 18 TO 26 MPH.

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........29  34  38  43  48  52  57  55  53  50  48  46
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
TEMP............91  88  84  81  78  76  75  73  72  71  70  69
RH..............28  33  39  44  49  54  57  63  67  72  77  82
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..16  15  15  14  14  14  13  12  10  9   9   10
20 FT WIND GUST.25  20  20  20  20  20  15  15  15  15  15  15
EYE LVL WND DIR.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
EYE LVL WND SPD.10  9   9   8   8   8   8   7   6   5   5   6
EYE LVL WND GST.25  20  20  20  20  20  15  15  15  15  15  15

$$
FORECASTER...SERR
REQUESTED BY...RYAN CUMBOW
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1600080.0/ABR
.EMAIL RCUMBOW@FS.FED.US,22@S



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