Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FNUS74 KAMA 221210
FWSAMA

SPOT FORECAST FOR ICE STORM RECOVERY...BORGER OEM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
610 AM CST SUN JAN 22 2017

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 0800 CST ON JANUARY 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
CURRENT CONDITIONS AT RECOVERY SITE SHOWS NNW WINDS AROUND 15 MPH WITH GUSTS
OVER 25 MPH. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SLOWLY THROUGHOUT THE DAY BELOW 20 MPH BY
1200 CST AND BELOW 10 MPH BY 1800 CST. SCATTERED HIGH CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED
THROUGHOUT THE DAY AT THE RECOVERY SITE WITH TRANQUIL WEATHER CONDITIONS
EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE DAY ON SUNDAY.

.TODAY...

SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (5000-45500 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT (72000-103200 KNOT-FT)
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO
                    FAIR TO GOOD (16200-52100 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
LAL.................1.
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000-4500 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    5500-6000 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 4000 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 2000 FT AGL.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 21 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 22
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO
                    AROUND 9 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CST)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........PCLDY  MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............34     42     50     55     56
RH..............92     65     48     37     32
20 FT WIND......NW 14  NW 14  N 17   NW 15  NW 13
20 FT WIND GUST.20     20     25     20     20
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     0      0      0
HAINES INDEX....2      2      2      2      2
VRATE KT-FT/10006      18     72     103    52

.TONIGHT...

SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO POOR (0-2000 KNOT-FT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 33.
LAL.................1.
MAX HUMIDITY........78 PERCENT.
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-500 FT AGL.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 2 TO 6 MPH.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............49     43     40     38     36     35
RH..............39     49     55     57     61     64
20 FT WIND......NW 10  NW 6   W 5    S 5    S 5    S 7
20 FT WIND GUST.15     10                          10
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      2      2      2
VRATE KT-FT/10002      1      0      0      0      0

.MONDAY...

SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (0-37000 KNOT-FT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
LAL.................1.
MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT.
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1000-2000 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 18 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30
                    MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO 13 TO 21
                    MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............33     33     46     59     67     67
RH..............72     78     51     36     26     26
20 FT WIND......SW 9   SW 10  SW 14  W 18   W 18   W 17
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     20     30     30     25
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
HAINES INDEX....3      3      3      5      5      5
VRATE KT-FT/10000      0      6      16     37     23

$$
FORECASTER...MECCARIELLO
REQUESTED BY...JASON WHISLER
TYPE OF REQUEST...OTHER
.TAG 1700453.5/AMA



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