Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FNUS74 KAMA 271907
FWSAMA

Spot Forecast FOR DOWLEN ROAD...TFS MERKEL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE Amarillo TX
107 PM CST Mon Feb 27 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 1400 CST on February 27.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CST THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
Southwest winds will remain in the 15 to 20 mph range with higher
gusts through sunset and then they will decrease some. Southwest
winds will increase even more on Tuesday morning.

.TODAY...

Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (0-27500 knot-ft) increasing to
                    excellent to excellent (115000-162500 knot-ft).
Max temperature.....Around 70.
LAL.................1.
Min humidity........13 percent.
Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Transport winds.....Southwest 3 to 6 mph increasing to 25 to 29
                    mph.
Mixing height.......0 ft AGL increasing to 5000-6500 ft AGL.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 8 to 17 mph increasing to 15 to
                    18 mph with gusts to around 30 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 OR low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Chance of Pcpn......0 percent.

Time (CST)      2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR
Weather Cov.....
Weather Type....NONE   NONE
Temp............67     69
RH..............16     13
20 Ft Wind......SW 18  SW 17
20 Ft Wind Gust.25     30
Chc of Pcpn (%).0      0
Haines Index....4      4
VentR KtFt/1000.144    127

.TONIGHT...

Smoke dispersal.....Excellent to excellent (63000-110000 knot-ft)
                    decreasing to poor to fair (0-18000 knot-ft)
                    early in the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 43.
LAL.................1.
Max humidity........60 percent.
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Transport winds.....Southwest 21 to 25 mph decreasing to 9 to 14
                    mph early in the evening.
Mixing height.......3500-5000 ft AGL decreasing to 0-1500 ft AGL
                    early in the evening.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........5 OR moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Chance of Pcpn......0 percent.

Time (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  Midngt 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........MCLEAR PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
Weather Cov.....
Weather Type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Temp............64     56     52     50     47     45
RH..............15     23     31     36     43     51
20 Ft Wind......SW 14  SW 10  SW 9   SW 10  SW 12  SW 13
20 Ft Wind Gust.20     15     10     15     15     20
Chc of Pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
Haines Index....5      5      5      3      3      3
VentR KtFt/1000.110    18     0      0      0      0

.TUESDAY...

Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (0-40500 knot-ft) increasing to
                    excellent to excellent (451500-500000 knot-ft).
Max temperature.....Around 70.
LAL.................1.
Min humidity........17 percent.
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Patchy blowing
                    dust in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 22 mph increasing to 46 to 53
                    mph.
Mixing height.......0-1500 ft AGL increasing to 10500-12000 ft AGL.
20-foot winds.......Windy. Southwest winds 14 to 22 mph with gusts
                    to around 35 mph increasing to west 32 to 36
                    mph with gusts to around 60 mph.
Haines Index........3 OR very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Chance of Pcpn......10 percent.

Time (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  Noon   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
Weather Cov.....                     PATCHY PATCHY PATCHY
Weather Type....NONE   NONE   NONE   BLDUST BLDUST BLDUST
Temp............44     44     54     63     69     70
RH..............57     60     40     25     18     18
20 Ft Wind......SW 14  SW 22  SW 26  SW 31  SW 33  SW 33
20 Ft Wind Gust.25     35     45     50     60     60
Chc of Pcpn (%).0      0      0      10     10     10
Haines Index....3      3      3      3      3      3
VentR KtFt/1000.0      10     41     140    418    495

$$
Forecaster...Goehring
Requested by...MPETERS
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1703011.0/AMA



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