Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Binghamton, NY

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FNUS71 KBGM 151352
FWSBGM

Spot Forecast for COWGILL RX...PA DCNR FORESTRY
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
852 AM EST Wed Nov 15 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EST on November 15.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Today will feature more sunshine, and slightly milder
air than recent days. A cold front will approach later
tonight, then cross the region Thursday morning. Rain showers
will precede and accompany this system. Colder air, along
with mixed rain and snow showers, are expected later in
the day, into Thursday night.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 43.
Min humidity........57 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Light winds, becoming southeast 5 to 6 mph late
                    in the morning.
Mixing height.......1200-3000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 6 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 to 4 OR or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or low potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.
SUNSET.............. 442 PM
442
TIME (EST)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........39  34  30  25  20  21  21  22  41
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............33  36  38  40  42  42  43  42  41
RH..............82  75  67  62  57  60  57  60  62
20 FT wind dir..E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..2   3   4   4   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.4   5   6   6   7   7   7   7   7
Mix hgt (kft)...1.6 2.2 2.6 2.9 3.0 2.8 2.4 1.8 1.2
Transp wind dir.E   E   SE  SE  S   S   S   SE  SE
Transp wind spd.6   7   8   9   10  10  9   8   7
Haines index....3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). A slight chance
                    of rain showers late in the evening. A chance
                    of rain showers late in the evening, then rain
                    showers likely late.
CWR.................0 percent, increasing to 60 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 38.
Max humidity........96 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......South winds 6 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......300-1100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 6 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........2 to 4 OR or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or low potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.
SUNRISE............. 656 AM

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........60  79  84  89  94  95  96  97  96  95  94  91
Weather cov.....            SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....            RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   30  30  60  60  60
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............40  39  38  38  39  38  38  39  39  39  39  39
RH..............64  70  76  79  79  85  89  85  85  92  92  92
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   5   5   5   6   6   6   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.7   7   7   8   8   10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.7
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.6   6   7   8   9   12  13  14  14  13  13  12
Haines index....4   4   4   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   3

$$
Forecaster...Morford
Requested by...SHAWN TURNER
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1718611.2/BGM
.EMAIL shturner@pa.gov



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