Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL

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FNUS74 KBMX 271344
FWSBMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR RABBIT TOWN WF...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
844 AM CDT WED JUL 27 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0826 CDT ON JULY 27.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED OVER
THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS WITH HIGHS AROUND 90 DEGREES AND DEW POINTS IN
THE LOW 70S (F). SURFACE WINDS ARE PROJECTED TO AVERAGE ALONG AND ON
EITHER SIDE OF SOUTHWESTERLY AT AROUND 5 KNOTS TODAY...BECOMING LIGHT
TONIGHT. THE SAME IS EXPECTED FOR 20 FOOT WINDS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1300...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-2800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5600-6800 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....5 INCREASING TO 47.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....                     S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............75     79     82     86     87     86
RH..............90     80     72     65     62     63
20 FT WIND......S 2    SW 2   SW 3   S 5    SW 5   SW 3
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5      10     10     5
MIX HGT (FT)....1600   2800   4600   6400   6800   6500
TRANSPORT WIND..210/12 230/12 230/12 220/12 210/12 210/14
DISPERSION......5      5      34     39     40     47
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     10     20     20     30
LAL.............1      1      1      3      3      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................30 PERCENT DECREASING TO 20 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 1900...THEN 2 UNTIL 2200...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200-6100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1300-2900 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 16 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....50 INCREASING TO 66 EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    DECREASING TO 47 LATE IN THE EVENING DECREASING
                    TO 27 LATE IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 7.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............84     81     77     75     74     73
RH..............66     73     85     90     90     93
20 FT WIND......SW 3   SW 2   SW 2   SW 2   SW 2   SW 2
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5      5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....6100   4200   1800   1300   1600   2100
TRANSPORT WIND..210/15 210/16 210/14 230/13 230/14 240/15
DISPERSION......50     62     31     6      6      7
CHC OF PCPN (%).30     30     20     10     10     10
LAL.............3      2      2      2      1      1

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.
MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1300...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-3000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6400-7200 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 21 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....11 INCREASING TO 62 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 79 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 54 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....       S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............73     76     80     83     85     86
RH..............92     85     76     67     63     61
20 FT WIND......SW 2   SW 3   W 6    SW 8   SW 8   SW 8
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      10     15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....1400   2000   4100   5800   7000   7100
TRANSPORT WIND..230/15 240/17 260/21 260/18 260/16 250/15
DISPERSION......7      8      14     60     56     52
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     20     20     20     30     30
LAL.............1      2      2      2      3      3

$$
FORECASTER...SATTERWHITE
REQUESTED BY...JEREMY N BRAND
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160727.RABBI.01/BMX


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