Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL

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000
FNUS74 KBMX 171206
FWSBMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR IVORY MTN WEST D AND E...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
706 AM CDT THU APR 17 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0715 CDT ON APRIL 17.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

EASTERLY FLOW WILL BRING AN INCREASE IN MOISTURE TODAY WITH
HUMIDITY VALUES ONLY FALLING INTO THE 40-45 PERCENT RANGE FOR MANY
AREAS. WINDS WILL INCREASE TONIGHT AND ELIMINATE ANY CHANCE OF
FOG. RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE SUBSTANTIALLY INTO TONIGHT AND
FRIDAY...POSSIBLY REACHING THE SPOT LOCATION BY DAYBREAK FRIDAY.
CONDITIONS WILL DRY OUT INTO SATURDAY. THERE ARE NO FIRE WEATHER
CONCERNS AT THIS TIME.


.TODAY...
TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY.............MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............44     51     59     63     64     64
RH..............68     65     51     44     42     42
20 FT WIND......E 7    E 9    E 10   E 8    E 6    E 6
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     15     15     10     10
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
MIX HGT (FT)....500    2500   3800   4300   4400   4500
DISPERSION......12     14     67     70     72     73
TRANSPORT WIND..110/17 120/21 130/21 130/16 130/14 130/14

.TONIGHT...
TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY.............PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  CLOUDY CLOUDY
WEATHER COV.....                                   S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RAIN
TEMP............62     53     50     50     50     50
RH..............46     64     75     75     75     77
20 FT WIND......E 3    E 3    E 6    E 6    E 6    NE 7
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      10     10     10     10
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      20     20     20     20     20
MIX HGT (FT)....4500   3500   1700   800    600    800
DISPERSION......73     10     12     9      8      11
TRANSPORT WIND..130/14 120/15 120/17 100/14 100/13 110/13

.FRIDAY...
TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY.............CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN
TEMP............50     51     54     55     55     55
RH..............78     79     75     76     79     79
20 FT WIND......NE 5   NE 6   NE 8   NE 7   NE 7   N 7
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     15     15     10     15
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     60     60     60     60     60
MIX HGT (FT)....1100   1200   1300   1800   2500   2900
DISPERSION......15     20     26     27     25     27
TRANSPORT WIND..100/12 100/14 100/17 090/15 090/12 090/12

$$
FORECASTER...GRANTHAM
REQUESTED BY...JOE SMITH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140417.IVORY.01/BMX






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