Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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000
FNUS75 KBOU 061136
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR SAND SPRINGS...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
436 AM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 MST ON FEBRUARY 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...AN UPPER RIDGE PASSING OVERHEAD WILL BRING MOSTLY
CLEAR SKIES AND WARMER TEMPERATURES...ABOUT 10 DEGREES WARMER
COMPARED TO YESTERDAY. LIGHT WINDS THIS MORNING WILL INCREASE OUT OF
THE WEST THIS AFTERNOON AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER DEEPENS. THE UPPER
RIDGE AND WARMING TEMPERATURES ALOFT WILL LIMIT DISPERSION...HOWEVER
THE STRONGER SURFACE WINDS AS WELL AS ALOFT IN THE AFTERNOON SHOULD
HELP IT PUSH INTO THE FAIR TO GOOD CATEGORY FOR A FEW HOURS. AFTER A
COOLER BUT DRY DAY SUNDAY...NEXT WEEK WILL BECOME WARMER UNDER DRY
CONDITIONS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1100...THEN PARTLY
                    CLOUDY(35-45%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/SOUTH 3-6 MPH UNTIL 0700, THEN UPSLOPE/
                    NORTH 4-6 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN WEST 8-9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 1900-2900
                    FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10-15 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN NORTHWEST
                    15-25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1300...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1400...THEN
                    GOOD UNTIL 1500...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1600...THEN
                    POOR.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 21.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8-9 MPH UNTIL 0200...THEN
                    DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1500 FT AGL UNTIL 2200...THEN BELOW 1000
                    FT AGL UNTIL 0300...THEN 1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15-20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6-12 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN
                    UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1100 FT AGL UNTIL 0800...THEN BELOW 1000
                    FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 2100-3100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10-20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1500...THEN
                    POOR.


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR SAND SPRINGS.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

02/06-04  4  0  0 13 47   S  7  7 3 1 NNW 24   776   W  8  5120 P
02/06-05 12  0  0 14 51   S  7  7 3 1  NW 21   766   W  7  4509 P
02/06-06 14  0  0 14 57   S  7  7 3 1  NW 20   780   W  8  5624 P
02/06-07 16  0  0 13 67  SW  4  7 3 1 WNW 18   794   W 10  6775 P
02/06-08 18  0  0 13 76   W  4  7 3 1 WNW 18   808 WNW 12  7964 P
02/06-09 23  0  0 21 63  NW  7  7 3 1 WNW 18  1038 WNW 13 11878 P
02/06-10 28  0  0 28 54  NW  7  7 4 1 WNW 18  1268 WNW 15 16521 P
02/06-11 34  0  0 35 45  NW  7  7 4 1 WNW 18  1498 WNW 17 21894 P
02/06-12 36  0  0 42 37   W  7  7 4 1  NW 20  2086 WNW 20 35704 P
02/06-13 39  0  0 44 36   W  8 14 3 1 NNW 22  2674  NW 23 52455  F
02/06-14 42  1  0 44 36   W  9 15 3 1 NNW 24  3261  NW 25 72147   G
02/06-15 43  1  0 42 39   W  9 16 3 1 NNW 24  2670  NW 23 53745  F
02/06-16 45  1  0 38 43   W 10 16 4 1   N 24  2079 WNW 21 37701 P
02/06-17 47  1  0 35 45 WSW 10 16 4 1   N 24  1488 WNW 18 24015 P
02/06-18 43  1  0 33 46 WSW 10 17 4 1 NNW 18  1323 WNW 20 22119 P
02/06-19 39  1  0 32 45   W 10 17 4 1  NW 14  1159 WNW 20 20035 P
02/06-20 36  1  0 30 47   W 10 16 4 1  NW  9   994 WNW 21 17761 P
02/06-21 39  1  0 29 47   W 10 16 5 1 WNW 13   954 WNW 20 16470 P
02/06-22 43  1  0 29 46   W  9 16 5 1 WNW 17   914 WNW 20 15227 P
02/06-23 47  0  0 28 46   W  9 15 6 1 WNW 21   874 WNW 18 14033 P
02/07-00 43  0  0 27 46   W  8 14 5 1 WNW 23   898 WNW 18 14142 P
02/07-01 40  0  0 26 47   W  7  7 4 1  NW 25   923 WNW 17 14235 P
02/07-02 36  0  0 26 46   W  7  7 3 1  NW 28   948 WNW 17 14313 P
02/07-03 38  0  0 25 48   W  7  7 3 1  NW 25   989 WNW 16 13944 P
02/07-04 38  0  0 25 49   W  7  7 3 1 NNW 23  1030 WNW 15 13595 P
02/07-05 31  1  0 24 52   W  8  8 3 1 NNW 22  1070 WNW 14 13173 P
02/07-06 31  1  0 22 55   W  9  9 3 1 NNW 22  1012 WNW 14 12180 P
02/07-07 31  1  0 21 56   W  9  9 4 1 NNW 22   953 WNW 14 11202 P
02/07-08 31  1  0 21 57   W  9  9 4 1 NNW 23   895 WNW 14 10290 P
02/07-09 31  1  0 24 54 WNW  8 13 4 1 NNW 23  1588 WNW 15 20654 P
02/07-10 31  1  0 29 48 WNW  7  7 3 1 NNW 24  2281  NW 17 33107 P
02/07-11 31  1  0 34 41  NW  6  6 3 1  NW 26  2974  NW 18 47651  F
02/07-12 35  1  0 37 39  NW  6  6 3 1 NNW 32  3019  NW 17 44590  F
02/07-13 35  1  0 38 38  NW  6  6 3 1 NNW 39  3065  NW 16 41414  F
02/07-14 35  1  0 37 40  NW  6  6 3 1 NNW 46  3111  NW 14 38123 P
02/07-15 35  1  0 34 45  NW  6  6 3 1 NNW 49  2592  NW 13 29193 P
02/07-16 35  1  0 29 55  NW  6  6 2 1 NNW 51  2073  NW 12 21292 P
02/07-17 29  0  0 26 60 WNW  6  6 2 1 NNW 52  1553  NW 10 14420 P
02/07-18 29  0  0 23 65 WNW  6  6 3 1 NNW 54  1310  NW 12 12497 P
02/07-19 29  0  0 22 65   W  7  7 3 1 NNW 55  1066 WNW 12 10448 P
02/07-20 29  0  0 21 65   W  7  7 4 1 NNW 56   823   W 12  8273 P
02/07-21 29  0  0 20 65   W  7  7 4 1 NNW 54   782   W 12  8116 P
02/07-22 29  0  0 19 66   W  7  7 4 1 NNW 52   742   W 13  7933 P
02/07-23 24  0  0 19 65   W  7  7 4 1 NNW 48   701   W 13  7725 P
02/08-00 24  0  0 19 63   W  7  7 4 1 NNW 45   695   W 13  7846 P
02/08-01 24  0  0 20 60   W  7  7 3 1 NNW 41   689   W 14  7964 P
02/08-02 24  0  0 20 59   W  7  7 3 1 NNW 39   683   W 14  8078 P
02/08-03 24  0  0 20 59   W  7  7 3 1 NNW 39   671   W 14  8056 P
02/08-04 24  0  0 20 58   W  7  7 3 1 NNW 40   659   W 14  8029 P
02/08-05 21  0  0 20 59   W  7  7 3 1 NNW 41   647   W 14  7998 P
02/08-06 21  0  0 21 59   W  7  7 3 1 NNW 40   652   W 15  8262 P
02/08-07 21  0  0 22 60   W  8 13 3 1 NNW 38   656   W 15  8281 P
02/08-08 21  0  0 24 60 WNW  8 13 3 1 NNW 36   660   W 15  8424 P
02/08-09 21  0  0 28 56 WNW  7  7 3 1 NNW 35   981   W 16 13263 P
02/08-10 21  0  0 33 50 WNW  6  6 3 1 NNW 32  1303  NW 16 18587 P
02/08-11 26  0  0 37 46 WNW  5  5 3 1 NNW 31  1624  NW 17 24394 P
02/08-12 26  0  0 40 42  NW  5  5 3 1 NNW 30  2173  NW 17 31719 P
02/08-13 26  0  0 42 39  NW  6  6 2 1 NNW 29  2722  NW 16 38578 P
02/08-14 26  0  0 42 39  NW  6  6 2 1 NNW 29  3271  NW 16 44971  F
02/08-15 26  0  0 40 43  NW  6  6 2 1 NNW 30  2519  NW 14 29507 P
02/08-16 26  0  0 38 48 WNW  6  6 2 1 NNW 32  1767 WNW 12 17103 P
02/08-17 17  1  0 35 54 WNW  6  6 2 1 NNW 32  1015   W  9  7759 P
02/08-18 17  1  0 32 59 WNW  7  7 2 1 NNW 31   934   W  9  7305 P
02/08-19 17  1  0 29 64   W  7  7 3 1 NNW 30   853   W  9  6823 P
02/08-20 17  1  0 27 66   W  8 13 3 1 NNW 30   772   W  9  6313 P
02/08-21 17  1  0 26 65   W  8 14 3 1 NNW 33   747   W  9  6222 P
02/08-22 17  1  0 25 65   W  8 13 3 1 NNW 38   722   W  9  6123 P
02/08-23 18  1  0 24 65   W  8 13 3 1 NNW 40   697   W 10  6017 P
02/09-00 18  1  0 24 63   W  8 13 3 1 NNW 36   692   W  9  5873 P
02/09-01 18  1  0 24 61   W  8  8 3 1 NNW 28   686   W  9  5730 P
02/09-02 18  1  0 24 60   W  7  7 3 1 NNW 22   680   W  9  5589 P
02/09-03 18  1  0 24 59   W  7  7 3 1 NNW 22   718   W  9  6079 P
02/09-04 18  1  0 24 59   W  6  6 3 1  NW 23   755   W 10  6588 P
02/09-05  9  1  0 24 60   W  6  6 3 1  NW 26   793   W 10  7117 P

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...KRIEDERMAN
REQUESTED BY...KRIS HEINY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160206.SANDS.02/BOU


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