Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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FNUS75 KBOU 282034
FWSBOU

Spot Forecast for Ridge Road Piles...The Nature Conservancy
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO
234 PM MDT Fri Apr 28 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1200 MDT on April 29.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Moderate to heavy snow is expected to continue overnight
and Saturday morning as a storm system moves over the region.  Storm
totals by late Saturday morning will range from 10 to 14 inches.  The
snow will taper off by midday and gradually decrease to scattered snow
showers by Saturday evening. The wind will generally be north to northwest
through Saturday evening.  Smoke dispersal is forecast to be good through
Saturday afternoon then poor Saturday night as surface based inversions
develop in the evening. Drier weather is expected to return to the area on
Sunday.

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Snow likely.
CWR.................30 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 28.
Min humidity........78%.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 7-12 mph with gusts to 20 mph.
Mixing height.......3200-4100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 20-25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good.
Haines Index........2 very low .

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy until 0400, then mostly clear. Chance of
                    snow until 2400, then slight chance of snow.
CWR.................25 percent decreasing to 5 percent after
                    midnight.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 17.
Max humidity........100%.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 6-12 mph.
Mixing height.......2300-3300 ft AGL until 0200, then 1400-1800 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....North 20-25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good until 2300, then fair until 0100, then
                    poor.
Haines Index........2 very low .

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny until 1200, then partly
                    cloudy(35-45%).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 42.
Min humidity........42%.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 6-12 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......5100-6100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 25-35 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0700. excellent after 1700.
Haines Index........4 low .


Fire Weather Table for Ridge Road Piles.

+++  Data in the following table has been sampled directly from the
     forecast database.  Values in the table may vary slightly from
     information in the narrative forecast.  Feedback welcome.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

04/28-12 79 47 23 37 35 ENE  6  6 3 1   W 12  9981  NW  5 39922 P
04/28-13 84 55 30 38 40  NE  7  7 3 1 WSW 12  9028   N  5 34930 P
04/28-14 89 63 42 38 46  NE  8 13 3 1 SSW 10  8075  NE  5 30188 P
04/28-15 94 73 57 39 48  NE  9 15 3 1   S 10  7122   E  5 25694 P
04/28-16 96 79 66 39 52  NE 10 16 3 1   S 10  6678   E  8 48908  F
04/28-17 98 92 87 38 54  NE 12 18 3 1 SSE 10  6233 ENE 13 68818   G
04/28-18100100100 36 61 NNE 13 21 3 1  SE 12  5789  NE 17 85423   G
04/28-19100100100 32 72 NNE 15 24 3 1  SE 17  4739  NE 20 79762   G
04/28-20100100100 28 85 NNE 15 24 3 1 ESE 24  3690  NE 22 69749   G
04/28-21100100100 24100 NNE 17 28 3 1   E 31  2640 NNE 24 55385  F
04/28-22100100100 23100 NNE 16 25 3 1   E 30  2893 NNE 24 61402   G
04/28-23100100100 23 96 NNE 15 24 2 1   E 30  3147 NNE 24 67544   G
04/29-00100100100 22100 NNE 13 21 2 1   E 30  3400 NNE 25 73809   G
04/29-01100100100 21100 NNE 13 21 2 1   E 28  3287 NNE 24 68055   G
04/29-02100100100 20100 NNE 13 21 2 1   E 25  3174 NNE 23 62527   G
04/29-03100100100 19100   N 12 18 2 1   E 24  3061 NNE 22 57227  F
04/29-04100100100 19100   N 12 18 2 1   E 23  3192 NNE 22 61761   G
04/29-05100100100 19100   N 12 18 2 1   E 21  3322 NNE 23 66467   G
04/29-06100 81 70 20100   N 12 18 2 1   E 20  3452 NNE 24 71344   G
04/29-07 99 81 70 21 96   N 13 21 2 1   E 22  3570 NNE 23 71950   G
04/29-08 98 81 70 23 92   N 14 22 2 1   E 23  3688 NNE 23 72433   G
04/29-09 97 81 70 24 88   N 14 22 2 1   E 25  3807 NNE 22 72795   G
04/29-10 96 81 70 25 85   N 14 22 2 1 ENE 24  3906 NNE 22 74770   G
04/29-11 95 81 70 26 81   N 13 21 2 1 ENE 23  4005 NNE 22 76749   G
04/29-12 94 56 32 27 81   N 13 21 2 1 ENE 22  4104 NNE 22 78732   G
04/29-13 94 56 32 27 81   N 12 18 2 1 ENE 21  3848   N 22 72492   G
04/29-14 94 56 32 27 81   N 12 18 2 1  NE 21  3591   N 21 66428   G
04/29-15 94 56 32 28 81   N 12 18 2 1  NE 20  3334   N 21 60540   G
04/29-16 94 56 32 28 78   N 12 18 2 1  NE 21  3272   N 22 63782   G
04/29-17 94 56 32 28 78   N 12 18 2 1 NNE 22  3210   N 24 67366   G
04/29-18 98 50 26 28 78   N 10 16 2 1   N 24  3147   N 25 70764   G
04/29-19 98 50 26 27 82   N 10 16 2 1   N 25  3222   N 25 71694   G
04/29-20 98 50 26 25 89   N  9 15 2 1   N 28  3297   N 25 72589   G
04/29-21 98 50 26 23 96   N  9 15 2 1   N 30  3372   N 25 73448   G
04/29-22 98 50 26 22 96   N  9 14 2 1   N 32  3044   N 24 62785   G
04/29-23 98 50 26 20100   N  8 14 2 1   N 35  2716   N 22 52880  F
04/30-00 78 14  3 19100 NNW  8 13 2 1   N 37  2388   N 21 43733  F
04/30-01 78 14  3 19 99 NNW  8  8 2 1 NNE 39  2106   N 21 37810 P
04/30-02 78 14  3 18100 NNW  7  7 2 1 NNE 41  1823   N 21 32089 P
04/30-03 78 14  3 18100 NNW  7  7 2 1 NNE 43  1541   N 20 26570 P
04/30-04 25 14  3 17 98 NNW  7  7 2 1 NNE 41  1495   N 21 26169 P
04/30-05 25 14  3 17 92  NW  8 14 2 1   N 40  1449   N 21 25744 P
04/30-06 25  2  0 18 84  NW  9 15 2 1   N 39  1403   N 21 25294 P
04/30-07 25  2  0 21 74 NNW  9 15 2 1   N 40  2057   N 24 43805  F
04/30-08 24  2  0 25 65 NNW 10 16 2 1   N 41  2711   N 29 66586   G
04/30-09 24  2  0 28 60 NNW 10 16 2 1   N 41  3366   N 32 93638   G
04/30-10 24  2  0 32 54 NNW 10 17 3 1   N 45  3805   N 33108874    V
04/30-11 24  2  0 34 52   N 12 18 3 1   N 47  4245   N 33124803    V
04/30-12 40  3  1 36 50   N 12 18 4 1   N 51  4685   N 35141424    V
04/30-13 40  3  1 38 47   N 12 18 3 1   N 51  5124   N 33147961    V
04/30-14 40  3  1 40 44   N 12 18 3 1   N 51  5562 NNW 32153351     E
04/30-15 40  3  1 41 43   N 12 18 2 1   N 51  6001 NNW 30157592     E
04/30-16 40  3  1 42 42 NNW 12 18 2 1 NNW 48  6137 NNW 30161979     E
04/30-17 40  3  1 42 42 NNW 10 17 2 1 NNW 46  6273 NNW 31166401     E
04/30-18 63  6  1 41 44 NNW 10 16 2 1 NNW 43  6409 NNW 31170860     E
04/30-19 63  6  1 39 49 NNW  9 15 2 1 NNW 44  5166 NNW 31137924    V
04/30-20 63  6  1 36 56  NW  8 14 2 1 NNW 45  3922 NNW 31104883    V
04/30-21 63  6  1 33 64  NW  8 13 2 1 NNW 46  2678  NW 31 71737   G
04/30-22 63  6  1 31 69  NW  8 13 2 1 NNW 45  2655  NW 32 73209   G
04/30-23 63  6  1 30 72 WNW  9 14 2 1 NNW 45  2632  NW 32 74645   G
05/01-00 61  6  1 30 72 WNW  9 15 2 1 NNW 44  2609  NW 33 76044   G
05/01-01 61  6  1 31 69 WNW  9 15 2 1 NNW 39  2270  NW 33 64914   G
05/01-02 61  6  1 32 66 WNW  9 15 2 1 NNW 33  1932  NW 32 54164  F
05/01-03 61  6  1 32 66 WNW  9 15 2 1 NNW 28  1594  NW 31 43792  F
05/01-04 61  6  1 32 66 WNW  9 15 2 1 NNW 24  1660  NW 32 46822  F
05/01-05 61  6  1 32 66 WNW 10 16 2 1 NNW 21  1726 WNW 33 49948  F
05/01-06 34  6  1 32 66   W 10 16 2 1 NNW 17  1792 WNW 35 53172  F
05/01-07 34  6  1 35 61 WNW 10 16 3 1 NNW 18  2200 WNW 33 62782   G
05/01-08 34  6  1 39 55 WNW  9 16 3 1 NNW 20  2608 WNW 31 71470   G
05/01-09 34  6  1 43 49 WNW  9 15 4 1 NNW 20  3016 WNW 30 79235   G
05/01-10 34  6  1 46 44  NW  9 14 3 1 NNW 24  4112 WNW 28 97352   G
05/01-11 34  6  1 48 42  NW  8 14 3 1  NW 29  5207 WNW 24109778    V
05/01-12 57 15  3 50 39  NW  8 13 2 1  NW 35  6303  NW 21116513    V
05/01-13 57 15  3 51 38  NW  8  8 2 1  NW 35  6970 WNW 20119681    V
05/01-14 57 15  3 51 39 NNW  7  7 2 1 WNW 36  7636 WNW 18121101    V
05/01-15 57 15  3 52 38 NNW  7  7 2 1   W 36  8302 WNW 17120773    V
05/01-16 57 15  3 52 38 NNW  7  7 2 1   W 36  7791 WNW 15 99325   G
05/01-17 57 15  3 51 39 NNW  7  7 2 1   W 36  7281 WNW 13 79715   G
05/01-18 59 12  2 49 42 NNW  7  7 2 1   W 35  6770 WNW 10 61943   G

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...ENTREKIN
REQUESTED BY...Jeff Crandall
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1707976.0/BOU



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