Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Quad Cities, IA IL

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240
FNUS73 KDVN 231218
FWSDVN

Spot Forecast FOR VIRGINIA GROVE PRAIRIE & DITCHES...LOUISA COUNTY CONSERVATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE Quad Cities IA/IL
718 AM CDT Thu Mar 23 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 CDT on March 23.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

A developing storm system in the southern plains will bring
cloudy skies and scattered showers and possibly an isolated
storm to the region.  Breezy southeast winds will occur today
along with seasonably cool temperatures. Afternoon humidity
values will remain generally above 50 percent.

The Grassland Fire Danger Index -GFDI- does not account for
precipitation that occurs or any snow on the ground. Please
make appropriate adjustments.


.TODAY...

20-foot winds.......Winds southeast at 13 mph at ignition,
                    otherwise Southeast winds 13 to 15 mph. Gusty
                    and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    in the late morning and early afternoon.
TEMPERATURE.........37 at ignition...Max 50.
Wind shift..........none
LAL.................1
Eye level winds.....Southeast winds 13 to 15 mph.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 percent.
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Slight chance of rain
                    in the morning. Slight chance of thunderstorms
                    through the day. Chance of rain in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast 16 to 25 mph.
GFDI................6.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 ft agl.
RH..................64 percent at ignition...Min 54 percent.
HAINES INDEX........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 percent.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY COVER.......CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....       S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN
TEMP............37     38     41     44     48     50
RH..............64     64     59     57     54     56
20 FT WIND......SE 13  SE 14  SE 14  SE 15  SE 15  SE 14
20 FT WIND GUST.15     20     20     20     20     20
EYE LEVEL WIND..SE 9   SE 10  SE 10  SE 11  SE 11  SE 10
EYE LVL WND GST.15     20     20     20     20     20
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     20     20     30     20     20
HAINES INDEX....4      2      2      3      3      4
GFDI............4      5      5      6      7      6

.TONIGHT...

20-foot winds.......South winds 12 to 14 mph.
TEMPERATURE.........Min 48.
Wind shift..........None
LAL.................0
Eye level winds.....South winds 12 to 14 mph.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 percent.
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
Transport winds.....South 16 to 25 mph decreasing to 7 to 14 mph
                    after midnight.
GFDI................5.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 ft agl.
RH..................Max 80 percent.
HAINES INDEX........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 percent.

.FRIDAY...

20-foot winds.......South winds 12 to 16 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
TEMPERATURE.........Max 73.
Wind shift..........None
LAL.................0
Eye level winds.....South winds 12 to 16 mph.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 percent.
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers in the afternoon. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 17 mph increasing to 18 to 21 mph in
                    the afternoon.
GFDI................9.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 ft agl.
RH..................Min 48 percent.
HAINES INDEX........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 percent.

$$
Forecaster...Nichols
Requested by...KATIE HAMMOND
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1705031.0/DVN



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