Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
779
FNUS74 KEPZ 221811
FWSEPZ

Spot Forecast for Wilderness Admin Pile...GILA NATIONAL FOREST
National Weather Service Santa Teresa NM/El Paso TX
1111 AM MST Thu Feb 22 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1200 MST on February 22.

If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the El Paso
National Weather Service Forecast Office.

.DISCUSSION...
Winds will be on the increase this afternoon as low level inversion
mixes out.  Similar conditions expected for tomorrow as southwest
flow increases across the region.  Temperatures will be warming
with this flow in place through Friday with relative humidities
on the decrease into the lower to mid 20s today and down to near
20 percent tomorrow. Cooler air will return for the weekend as
an upper trough moves across the region with breezy conditions
continuing.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 46.
Min humidity........24 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 8 to 15 mph with gusts to around 25
                    mph.
Mixing height.......4100-4400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 26 to 27 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good to very good (96200-111400 knot-ft).
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MST)      NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........20     20     20
Weather cov.....NONE   NONE   NONE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........NONE   NONE   NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1
Temp............44     46     44
RH..............33     24     27
20 ft wind......W 10   W 15   W 14
20 ft wind gust.25     30     25
Mix hgt (ft)....4400   4400   4400
Transport wind..W 30   W 29   W 24
Haines index....2      2      3
Vent Rate.......VYGD   VYGD   VYGD

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 22.
Max humidity........71 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 6 to 11 mph becoming light.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or low potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (MST)      5 PM   7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM
Sky (%).........16     16     16     16     16     16
Weather cov.....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............42     34     30     29     26     24
RH..............33     45     53     55     62     65
20 ft wind......W 13   W 7    W 5    W 5    W 4    W 5
20 ft wind gust.20     15     10            5
Haines index....3      4      4      3      4      4

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (5-15 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 53.
Min humidity........21 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 12 to 20 mph
                    with gusts to around 35 mph.
Mixing height.......2500 ft AGL increasing to 4800 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 33 to 34 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (43500 knot-ft) increasing to very good
                    (138300 knot-ft) in the afternoon.
Haines Index........2 to 4 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or low potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (MST)      5 AM      8 AM      11 AM     2 PM
Sky (%).........10        10        10        10
Weather cov.....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0         0         0         0
LAL.............1         1         1         1
Temp............23        27        47        52
RH..............68        57        26        23
20 FT wind......SW 4G5    SW 6G10   SW 14G25  SW 18G30
Mix hgt (ft)....2500      2500      4800      4800
Transport wind..W 6       SW 10     SW 23     SW 32
Haines index....4         4         3         2
Vent Rate.......FAIR      FAIR      VYGD      VYGD

$$
Forecaster...GRZYWACZ
Requested by...Juan Ortiz
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1802385.0/EPZ
.EMAIL NMSDC@fs.fed.us



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.