Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

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000
FNUS74 KEWX 140953
FWSEWX

Spot Forecast for LBJWC Rx...Lady Bird Johnson Wildflower Center
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
453 AM CDT Thu Sep 14 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0500 CDT on September 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Relative humidities near 90 percent this morning will fall to near
39 percent this afternoon as southerly winds increase to near 9
mph. Fuels dryness and fire danger are moderate. Moisture will
increase allowing humidities to recover over the next few days. No
rains are expected.


.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 95.
Min humidity........39 percent.
Eye level winds.....South winds around 5 mph early in the morning
                    becoming light, then becoming south 5 to 9 mph
                    early in the morning.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph early in the morning
                    becoming light, then becoming south 5 to 9 mph
                    early in the morning.
Mixing height.......700-2500 ft AGL increasing to 3100-4400 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 18 mph increasing to around 20 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or moderate potential
                    for large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........36  68  59  51  42  30  19  7   8   9   10  9
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............70  69  69  75  82  86  88  91  93  94  94  95
RH..............90  96  100 84  66  57  51  46  42  40  40  39
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..5   4   5   5   6   6   7   8   9   9   9   9
20 FT wind gust.    5               10  10  15  15  15  15  15
Eye lvl wnd dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Eye lvl wnd spd.3   2   3   3   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5
Eye lvl wnd gst.    5               10  10  15  15  15  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.5 2.5 3.1 3.4 4.1 4.4 4.2
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.10  12  13  14  14  15  15  16  17  17  18  20
Haines index....4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 71.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Eye level winds.....South winds 6 to 9 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 6 to 9 mph.
Mixing height.......2000-3700 ft AGL decreasing to 1400-1500 ft AGL
                    in the late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....South 16 to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........7   6   8   9   11  20  28  37  48  59  70  74
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............94  92  88  84  82  80  79  78  78  76  76  72
RH..............42  44  50  58  62  66  70  73  73  78  79  91
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..9   9   8   7   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.15  15  15  10  10  10  10  10  10
Eye lvl wnd dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Eye lvl wnd spd.5   5   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Eye lvl wnd gst.15  15  15  10  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...3.7 3.5 3.0 2.0 1.5 1.5 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.5
Transp wind dir.S   SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.20  20  20  18  18  17  16  16  16  16  16  16
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 93.
Min humidity........44 percent.
Eye level winds.....Southeast winds 5 to 8 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......1500-2500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 16 to 18 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........77  81  76  70  65  54  44  33  30  26  23  19
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............71  71  71  76  82  86  88  89  91  92  93  93
RH..............92  93  93  81  66  60  54  51  48  45  45  44
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   6   6   6   7   7   7   8   8   8
20 FT wind gust.                10  10  10  10  10  15  15  15
Eye lvl wnd dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE
Eye lvl wnd spd.3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5
Eye lvl wnd gst.                10  10  10  10  10  15  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.7 1.9 2.0 2.1 2.4 2.5 2.5
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE
Transp wind spd.16  16  16  16  16  16  16  16  16  17  17  18
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

$$
Forecaster...04
Requested by...Matt O'Toole
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1715847.0/EWX
.EMAIL motoole@wildflower.org


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