Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

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000
FNUS74 KEWX 262112
FWSEWX

Spot Forecast for DONLEE FIRE...Bastrop OEM
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
412 PM CDT Wed Jul 26 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 1700 CDT on July 26.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
We have reached our high temperature and minimum relative humidity
for today. Temperatures will be dropping and relative humidity
rising through the evening and overnight. Winds will be 8-10 mph
from the south until around sunset and then will become light
overnight. Some elevated fire weather conditions are possible through
Saturday as minimum afternoon humidities drop to near 35% along and east
of the I-35 corridor. The area will remain dry through the
remainder of this week. Otherwise, expect hot temperatures to
persist.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the evening.
CWR.................2 percent.
LAL.................1-8 strikes until 1900, then No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 75.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Eye level winds.....South winds 5 to 9 mph becoming light.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 9 mph becoming light. Gusty
                    and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    early in the evening.
Mixing height.......7200-8800 ft AGL decreasing to 800-2200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or low potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........51  51  44  36  29  26  22  19  28  38  47  48
Weather cov.....SCH
Weather type....RW
Tstm cov........SCH
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............96  94  91  88  86  83  82  81  80  79  77  76
RH..............45  46  52  57  63  72  77  82  85  88  94  94
20 FT wind dir..S   SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..9   8   8   7   6   6   6   6   5   5   5   4
20 FT wind gust.15  15  15  10  10  10                      5
Eye lvl wnd dir.S   SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Eye lvl wnd spd.5   5   5   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   2
Eye lvl wnd gst.15  15  15  10  10  10                      5
Mix hgt (kft)...8.8 8.7 7.2 4.2 2.7 2.2 1.4 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.16  16  16  16  15  15  15  14  13  13  12  10
Haines index....4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
CWR.................1 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 100.
Min humidity........34 percent.
Eye level winds.....Light winds becoming south 5 to 6 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 6 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......1000-1800 ft AGL increasing to 9800-10400 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or moderate potential
                    for large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........50  51  47  43  39  33  27  21  23  26  28  27
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............75  75  78  81  85  89  92  95  98  99  100 100
RH..............97  97  88  82  72  61  52  45  39  37  34  34
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..4   4   4   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.5   5   5
Eye lvl wnd dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Eye lvl wnd spd.2   2   2   3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Eye lvl wnd gst.5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 1.1 1.8 3.1 3.7 4.7 6.8 7.8 8.4 9.8 10  9.8
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.9   9   9   9   8   9   9   9   9   10  10  12
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
CWR.................1 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 75.
Max humidity........94 percent.
Eye level winds.....South winds 5 to 8 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......8000-8600 ft AGL decreasing to 300-1200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or moderate potential
                    for large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........25  24  19  14  9   8   7   6   12  18  24  29
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............98  96  94  91  88  86  83  81  80  79  77  76
RH..............37  39  43  50  57  63  70  74  79  82  87  90
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..6   6   7   7   7   6   6   6   6   6   6   5
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Eye lvl wnd dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Eye lvl wnd spd.4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3
Eye lvl wnd gst.10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...8.6 8.0 6.6 3.7 2.3 1.9 1.2 0.9 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.13  13  14  14  14  14  14  14  13  12  9   8
Haines index....5   5   5   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 101.
Min humidity........30 percent.
Eye level winds.....South winds 5 to 8 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......300-2100 ft AGL increasing to 9900-10600 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....South 3 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or moderate potential
                    for large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........33  38  32  26  20  19  18  17  17  17  17  17
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............75  75  78  82  86  90  93  96  99  100 101 101
RH..............94  90  85  74  65  56  47  40  36  32  30  30
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..5   5   6   6   7   6   6   6   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.            10  10  10
Eye lvl wnd dir.S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S
Eye lvl wnd spd.3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3
Eye lvl wnd gst.            10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.3 0.9 2.1 2.7 4.0 6.7 8.0 8.6 9.9 11  10
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.6   5   5   3   3   3   5   5   5   5   5   5
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   5   5

$$
Forecaster...05
Requested by...Steven Long
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1713429.0/EWX
.EMAIL steven.long@co.bastrop.tx.us


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