Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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000
FNUS75 KFGZ 080317
FWSFGZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR CARRIZO MTN...NAVAJO REGION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
817 PM MST MON JUL 7 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2002 MST ON JULY 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

+++ THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS +++

.DISCUSSION...A VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS WILL REMAIN OVER
THE AREA FOR SEVERAL DAYS. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP IN NORTHEAST ARIZONA EACH DAY AT THIS SITE. STORMS IN
NORTHWESTERN NEW MEXICO EARLIER TODAY COULD BRING AN EAST WIND 10 TO
15 MPH TO THE FIRE BY 2200 MST THIS EVENING.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....60 TO 63.
MAX HUMIDITY........49 TO 52 PCT.
WINDS (20 FT).......LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MIN VENT RATE.......POOR (100 KNOT-FT).
CLEARING INDEX......1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6400 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING...DECREASING
                    TO 100 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 KNOTS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80 TO 83.
MIN HUMIDITY........20 TO 23 PCT.
WINDS (20 FT).......LIGHT WINDS.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
MAX VENT RATE.......GOOD (44100 KNOT-FT).
CLEARING INDEX......441.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 9900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 KNOTS...BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING SOUTH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...STUBBLEFIELD
REQUESTED BY...WACEY PHILLIPS
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140707.CARRI.02/FGZ





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