Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX

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FNUS74 KFWD 251019
FWSFWD

Spot Forecast for Tawakoni...TPWD
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
519 AM CDT Mon Sep 25 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CDT on September 25.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
North Texas will remain warm with southeasterly winds 5 to 10 mph.  A large
upper level storm system will remain well west of the area although some
scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible mainly west of I-35
by late this afternoon.  Rain chances and humidity will increase through
the middle of the week.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 90.
Min humidity........40 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......1500-2000 ft AGL increasing to 7000-8000 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 17 mph.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........12  21  33  44  48  47  44  44  45
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............75  78  82  85  88  89  90  89  88
RH..............79  74  64  52  47  42  40  40  41
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..5   6   7   8   8   8   8   8   8
20 FT wind gust.
Mix hgt (kft)...1.6 2.3 3.8 5.4 7.0 7.3 7.9 7.9 6.4
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.10  12  14  15  16  17  17  16  15
Haines index....3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 71.
Max humidity........90 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......3500-4500 ft AGL decreasing to 500-1500 ft AGL
                    early in the evening.
Transport winds.....Southeast 9 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........51  52  53  43  43  53  55  63  56  51  47  50
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............87  84  81  79  77  76  75  74  73  73  72  71
RH..............45  49  56  60  64  69  71  74  76  76  79  81
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..7   6   5   3   3   3   3   3   5   5   5   3
20 FT wind gust.            4   4   4   4   4               4
Mix hgt (kft)...4.8 3.3 2.5 1.7 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.13  12  10  9   9   9   9   9   9   10  10  9
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Max temperature.....Around 91.
Min humidity........44 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 6 mph late
                    in the morning. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......900-2200 ft AGL increasing to 7800-8100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 7 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

$$
Forecaster...Dunn
Requested by...Toni Aguilar
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1716200.0/FWD
.EMAIL Toni.aguilar@tpwd.texas.gov


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