Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Junction, CO

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000
FNUS75 KGJT 281600
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR SILVER CREEK FIRE...ROUTT NF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1000 AM MDT SUN AUG 28 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0913 MDT ON AUGUST 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THICKER CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT OVER THE BURN
SITE FROM THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST TODAY WITH AN INCREASING CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON. IT APPEARS THAT THE BURN
SITE WILL BE WITHIN...BUT NEAR TO THE NORTHERN EDGE OF AREAL
COVERAGE OF THE BETTER SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. WINDS WILL
GENERALLY BE TERRAIN DRIVEN...EXCEPT FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF
THUNDERSTORM OUTFLOW GUSTS.

.TODAY (UNTIL SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%). ISOLATED LIGHT SHOWERS
                    POSSIBLE THIS MORNING. THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE (0-4 MPH) BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    3-8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................1...LAL 2 AFTER 1200.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 9500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...FEMO
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160828.SILVE.01/GJT



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