Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Junction, CO

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000
FNUS75 KGJT 220637
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR LAKE BENCH...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1237 AM MDT TUE JUL 22 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1805 MDT ON JULY 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
ANOTHER HOT AND DRY DAY AHEAD...BUT WINDS WILL BE LIGHTER THAN MONDAY.
CONDITIONS WILL BE CHANGING OVERNIGHT TONIGHT AS A MONSOONAL PLUME OF
MOISTURE CROSSES INTO SOUTHERN COLORADO OVERNIGHT AND MAKES ITS WAY
TO THE FIRE SITE BY LATE AFTERNOON WEDNESDAY. THOUGH THE HEAVIEST
SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL BE IN SOUTHWEST COLORADO ON WEDNESDAY...ISOLATED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR THE FIRE SITE BEGINNING
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....86-91 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........6-11%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (25000 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (167200 KNOT-FT).
CLEARING INDEX......50 INCREASING TO 1050.
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 16400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20%) IN THE EVENING. HIGH CLOUDS
                    DEVELOPING OVERNIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....57-62 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........27-32%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD (120700 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR
                    (4700 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING.
CLEARING INDEX......950 DECREASING TO 50.
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......14200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JULIE MALINGOWSKI
REQUESTED BY...CHRISTY BECKERMAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140721.LAKEB.03/GJT


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