Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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000
FNUS73 KGRR 171145
FWSGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR FLETCHER   BERRIDGE...MI DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
745 AM EDT THU APR 17 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 EDT ON APRIL 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL BRING A FEW LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS
LATE TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING THAT MAY MIX WITH A FEW WET
SNOW FLAKES ACROSS CENTRAL MICHIGAN LATE TONIGHT. THE NEXT BETTER
CHANCE FOR RAIN WILL NOT COME UNTIL SUNDAY NIGHT OR MONDAY BUT
RAINFALL AMOUNTS WITH THAT SYSTEM WILL BE QUITE LIGHT ALSO.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........51 AT IGNITION...MAX 57.
RH..................48 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 17 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    WEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 18 TO 25 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 6200-6700
                    FT AGL DECREASING TO 3500 FT AGL IN THE
                    EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....100-300 (POOR TO GOOD) INCREASING TO 600-900
                    (EXCELLENT) FROM LATE MORNING THROUGH EARLY
                    AFTERNOON...THEN INCREASING TO 1200-1500
                    (EXCELLENT) THROUGH MID AFTERNOON INCREASING TO
                    1300-1700 (EXCELLENT) LATE IN THE DAY
                    DECREASING TO 800-900 (EXCELLENT).

TIME (EDT)      1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY (%).........68     69     69     79
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............51     55     57     54
RH..............48     47     45     52
20 FT WIND......S 17   SW 16  SW 15  W 12
20 FT GUST......20     20            15
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    OVERNIGHT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 40.
RH..................MAX 88 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 12 TO 21 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST 8 TO 14 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-1900 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....100-500 (POOR TO GOOD) DECREASING TO 0-100
                    (POOR TO POOR) AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL MIDDAY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 51.
RH..................MIN 45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 10 TO 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 20
                    TO 21 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000-4500 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....200-600 (FAIR TO EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO
                    700-900 (EXCELLENT) IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...OSTUNO
REQUESTED BY...DAN LAUX
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140417.FLETC.01/GRR






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