Suppression Forecast Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL
000
FNUS72 KJAX 191520
FWSJAX
SPOT FORECAST FOR SILVER RIVER PARK...FLORIDA HIGHWAY PATROL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1120 AM EDT WED JUN 19 2013
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON JUNE 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT ACROSS CENTRAL GEORGIA WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTHWARD
TOWARDS THE REGION TODAY AND WILL TRIGGER SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS
MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
REMAIN LESS THAN 15 MPH THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY
VALUES WELL ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS.
FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...FOG FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED.
.REST OF TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5000-5300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 12 TO 16 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....55 INCREASING TO 96.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LVORI...............1.
TIME (EDT) NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........62 66 67
WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............90 92 92
RH..............58 51 50
20 FT WIND......SW 7 SW 8 SW 8
20 FT WIND GUST.10 15 15
MIX HGT (FT)....3500 5300 5300
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 13 SW 15 W 16
LVORI...........1 1 1
DISPERSION INDX.55 91 96
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 30 30
LAL.............2 3 3
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
EVENING...THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2200...THEN 2 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500-4300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 6 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO 1 TO 3 MPH
OVERNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....76 DECREASING TO 2.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LVORI...............1 INCREASING TO 7.
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........67 66 62 55 55 55
WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............90 83 76 75 74 73
RH..............53 66 85 89 93 95
20 FT WIND......W 8 SW 7 SW 5 W 2 W 2 W 1
20 FT WIND GUST.15 10 10 5 5 5
MIX HGT (FT)....4300 2300 1400 900 600 400
TRANSPORT WIND..W 15 W 13 W 12 W 10 W 8 W 2
LVORI...........1 3 3 5 6 7
DISPERSION INDX.76 39 22 6 4 2
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 20 20 20 20
LAL.............3 3 2 1 1 1
$$
FORECASTER...ALLEN
REQUESTED BY...CPT G S LAMONT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130619.SILVE.01/JAX