Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

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FNUS72 KJAX 191520
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR SILVER RIVER PARK...FLORIDA HIGHWAY PATROL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1120 AM EDT WED JUN 19 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON JUNE 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT ACROSS CENTRAL GEORGIA WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTHWARD
TOWARDS THE REGION TODAY AND WILL TRIGGER SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS
MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
REMAIN LESS THAN 15 MPH THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY
VALUES WELL ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...FOG FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5000-5300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 12 TO 16 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....55 INCREASING TO 96.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LVORI...............1.

TIME (EDT)      NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........62     66     67
WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............90     92     92
RH..............58     51     50
20 FT WIND......SW 7   SW 8   SW 8
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....3500   5300   5300
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 13  SW 15  W 16
LVORI...........1      1      1
DISPERSION INDX.55     91     96
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     30     30
LAL.............2      3      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2200...THEN 2 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500-4300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 6 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO 1 TO 3 MPH
                    OVERNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....76 DECREASING TO 2.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LVORI...............1 INCREASING TO 7.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........67     66     62     55     55     55
WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............90     83     76     75     74     73
RH..............53     66     85     89     93     95
20 FT WIND......W 8    SW 7   SW 5   W 2    W 2    W 1
20 FT WIND GUST.15     10     10     5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....4300   2300   1400   900    600    400
TRANSPORT WIND..W 15   W 13   W 12   W 10   W 8    W 2
LVORI...........1      3      3      5      6      7
DISPERSION INDX.76     39     22     6      4      2
CHC OF PCPN (%).30     30     20     20     20     20
LAL.............3      3      2      1      1      1

$$
FORECASTER...ALLEN
REQUESTED BY...CPT  G  S  LAMONT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130619.SILVE.01/JAX






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