Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Louisville, KY

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FNUS73 KLMK 291317
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SPOT FORECAST FOR ROLAND OPENINGS...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
917 AM EDT SUN MAR 29 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EDT ON MARCH 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THIN HIGH CLOUDS WILL START TO INCREASE AROUND NOON.
HOWEVER...THEY WILL NOT BE THICK ENOUGH TO SUFFICIENTLY IMPEDE INSOLATION.
WINDS WILL BE INCREASING READILY AROUND NOON AND BECOME SOUTHERLY AT
AROUND 10 MPH WITH SOME GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH BY MID AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL
PEAK AROUND MID TO LATE AFTERNOON AND THEN DIMINISH THIS EVENING...EVEN
BEFORE A WEAK FRONT PUSHES THROUGH. RAIN THIS EVENING WILL BE LIGHT...AND
WILL BEGIN NEAR OR SHORTLY AFTER DARK. TOTAL PRECIPITATION FROM TONIGHT`S
LIGHT RAINS WILL NOT EXCEED ONE TENTH TO AT MOST ONE QUARTER OF AN INCH.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE LATE AFTERNOON.
                    CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....41 AT IGNITION...MAX 52.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 32 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTH AT 10 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 12 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-2500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2900 FT AGL AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2500-3600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 21 MPH INCREASING TO 22 TO 28 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD /46500 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD
                    /55400 KNOT-FT/ INCREASING TO EXCELLENT TO
                    EXCELLENT (62100-70100 KNOT-FT) IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM
SKY (%).........21  26  35  48  58  69  79  90
WEATHER COV.....            SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....            RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TEMP............41  45  47  49  49  50  50  51
RH..............40  35  33  33  37  41  42  42
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..9   10  11  11  12  12  11  11
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  20  25  25  25  20  20
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.9 3.3 3.6 3.5 3.3 3.2 2.9 2.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.18  20  21  22  24  25  26  28

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. RAIN
                    SHOWERS LIKELY...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 36.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 92 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH.

TIME (EDT)      8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM
SKY (%).........95  91  82  74  65  57  52  48  40  31  23  14
WEATHER COV.....CHC LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TEMP............49  49  49  49  49  49  48  46  43  41  38  37
RH..............48  52  58  66  71  77  83  83  86  85  92  89
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD..10  10  10  9   9   8   7   7   6   6   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.2 1.7 1.2 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.28  24  20  16  15  15  15  14  14  13  12  12

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 57.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 43 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-2900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5100-5700 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
                    AROUND 16 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (7200-56400 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT (70900-75100 KNOT-FT)
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM
SKY (%).........10  11  13  15  17  19  20  20  20  21  21  21
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............36  37  40  43  47  51  54  56  56  56  56  54
RH..............89  85  76  67  58  52  46  43  43  43  45  48
20 FT WIND DIR..NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT WIND SPD..5   5   5   5   5   5   5   6   7   7   6   5
20 FT WIND GUST.10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  15  15  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.3 1.3 1.4 1.4 2.2 2.9 3.6 4.3 5.0 5.7 5.4 5.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W
TRANSP WIND SPD.10  8   7   6   6   7   8   10  13  15  16  16

$$
FORECASTER...DENMAN
REQUESTED BY...STEVE HARRISS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150329.ROLAN.01/LMK






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