Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA

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000
FNUS76 KLOX 180319 AAA
FWSLOX

Spot Forecast for Wilson...UPDATED
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
819 PM PDT Tue Oct 17 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 2000 PDT on October 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Elevated fire danger is expected to continue overnight
as there will be poor overnight relative humidity recoveries until
Wednesday morning. Expect partly cloudy skies this evening through
the overnight hours then skies will be mostly clear through
Thursday.  Relative humidities will remain relatively low through
Thursday, then there will be a brief but significant recovery of
relative humidities into Friday. As the upper trough axis moves
through the region, relative humidities will crash once again to
single digits. Stronger northerly flow can be expected Friday night
turning northeasterly in the traditional Santa Ana wind direction.

A moderate Santa Ana wind event is expected Saturday morning through
the early part of next week. On top of the dry and windy conditions,
high temperatures are expected to soar by Sunday into Tuesday with
strong high pressure aloft building in.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Min temperature.....59-63 degrees.
Max humidity........25-30 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northwest winds 3 to 6 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Northwest winds 6 to 12 mph.
 Ridgetop...........Northwest winds 8 to 14 mph with gusts to 20 mph
                    through midnight. Winds lowering to 6 to 12 mph
                    after midnight
Mixing height.......Lowering to AOB 1000 ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....west 8 mph.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....78-81 degrees.
Min humidity........20 percent.
Eye level winds.....North winds 2 to 5 mph through late morning, then
                    becoming southwest 3 to 6 mph through the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......North winds 5 to 10 mph through late morning, then
                    becoming southwest 6 to 12 mph through the afternoon.
 Ridgetop...........Northwest winds 8 to 14 mph, becoming west
                    6 to 12 mph by mid afternoon.
Mixing height.......AOB 1000 ft AGL early, increasing to 6500-7500 ft
                    AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....Around 55-59 degrees.
Max humidity........30-35 percent.
Eye level winds.....Southwest winds 2 to 5 mph shifting to the
                    northwest 4 to 7 mph with gusts to 10 mph
                    after midnight.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph shifting to the
                    northwest 7 to 14 mph with gusts to 20 mph
                    after midnight.
 Ridgetop...........Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph shifting to the
                    northwest 7 to 14 mph with gusts to 20 mph
                    after midnight.
Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL early in the evening, lowering
                    to AOB 1000 ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....West around 8 mph becoming Northwest 12 mph
                    after midnight.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....67-73 degrees.
Min humidity........15-20 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northwest winds 4 to 7 mph with gusts to 10 mph
                    in the morning. Then becoming west 3 to 6 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Northwest winds 7 to 14 mph with gusts to 20 mph
                    in the morning. Then becoming west 6 to 12 mph in
                    the afternoon.
 Ridgetop...........Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts to 22 mph.
                    in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......AOB 1000 ft AGL, increasing to 2500 to 3500 ft
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest 12 mph.


$$
Forecaster...KAPLAN
Requested by...Kristen Allison
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1717378.2/LOX
.EMAIL kristenallison@fs.fed.us



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