031
FNUS71 KLWX 091223
FWSLWX

Spot Forecast for MTA Emergency Management Group...MDOT - MD Transit Administration
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
823 AM EDT Thu May 9 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1600 EDT on May 09.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

A boundary will remain nearly stationary to our southwest through
this evening. A weak disturbance will track along the boundary later this
morning. This will bring scattered to perhaps numerous showers
around late morning into this afternoon. The probability for
thunder is very low since the boundary will be well to the south of the
event location. Primary threats through this afternoon will be locally
heavy rainfall.

A stronger disturbance will track along the stalled boundary tonight, bringing
a better chance for showers and perhaps even a thunderstorm. The best chance
for a storm will be after 8 or 9 PM. Once again the main threat for severe
weather will remain south of the event location (i.e central and eastern VA).
Primary threats for any heavy shower or thunderstorm activity this evening will
be locally gusty winds and heavy rainfall.

More showers are likely for Friday as another wave of low pressure tracks
along the boundary. Friday will be unseasonably cool with temps in
the upper 50s and low 60s as well.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent shading). Scattered showers.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 70.
Min humidity........65 percent.
Surface winds (mph).Northeast winds 8 to 10 mph.

TIME (EDT)      4 PM
Sky (%).........87
Weather cov.....SCTTRD
Weather type....RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).40
Temp............66
RH..............75
Surface wind....NE 8
Surface wnd gst.13

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent shading). Rain showers likely
                    and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 55.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Surface winds (mph).East winds 6 to 9 mph.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........89     91     89     92     96     97
Weather cov.....CHANCE LIKELY CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........              S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).50     60     50     60     60     60
Temp............65     63     61     60     59     58
RH..............75     78     87     87     90     90
Surface wind....E 9    E 9    E 8    E 7    E 6    NE 6
Surface wnd gst.14     14     13     10     9      9

$$
Forecaster...Taylor
Requested by...Todd Tracey
Type of request...OTHER
.TAG 2413589.0/LWX
.DELDT 05/09/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL TTracey1@Mdot.Maryland.Gov