Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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FNUS74 KLZK 161438
FWSLZK

SPOT FORECAST FOR APPLETON...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
938 AM CDT WED APR 16 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON APRIL 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

TWENTY FOOT SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 7 TO 9 MPH BY LATE THIS
MORNING AT THE SITE...WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 11 MPH. AFTERNOON
RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL DROP INTO THE 30TH PERCENTILE.

LIGHT WINDS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT. HUMIDITY RECOVERY WILL BE
GOOD...WITH OVERNIGHT VALUES CLIMBING ABOVE 90 PERCENT.

ON THURSDAY...THERE WILL BE MORE CLOUDS AND MOISTURE. SOUTHEAST WINDS
WILL REMAIN FAIRLY LIGHT...WITH AFTERNOON HUMIDITY LEVELS IN THE
40TH PERCENTILE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING.
TEMPERATURE.........53 AT IGNITION...MAX 61.
RH..................44 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 35 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH LATE IN
                    THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH AROUND 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                       SOUTHEAST 6 TO 14 MPH IN THE MORNING...THEN
                       SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 15 TO 18 MPH LATE IN
                       THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 5000 FT MSL.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 4252 FT AGL.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTH AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............53  56  57  58  59  61
RH..............44  40  39  37  36  35
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..8   9   9   9   8   7
20 FT WIND GUST.11  11  11  11  11  7
EYE LVL WND DIR.S   S   S   S   S   S
EYE LVL WND SPD.5   5   5   5   5   4
EYE LVL WND GST.6   6   6   6   6   4
TRANSP WIND DIR.S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.17  18  18  17  16  15
CHC OF PCPN (%).0   0   0   0   0   0

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 35.
RH..................MAX 94 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHEAST 5 TO 14 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 2500 FT MSL.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 1757 FT AGL.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............58  56  52  49  47  46  44  43  42  41  40  39
RH..............39  42  49  55  61  64  69  74  78  82  86  87
20 FT WIND DIR..S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..7   6   5   5   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT WIND GUST.7   7   5   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   2   2
EYE LVL WND DIR.S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
EYE LVL WND SPD.4   4   3   3   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1
EYE LVL WND GST.4   4   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   1   1
TRANSP WIND DIR.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.14  13  12  10  9   8   7   7   6   6   5   5
CHC OF PCPN (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 66.
RH..................MIN 43 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 7200 FT MSL.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 6420 FT AGL.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............39  38  42  47  51  55  58  61  62  64  65  64
RH..............91  94  82  71  61  55  50  46  45  43  43  44
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..2   2   2   2   3   3   5   5   5   5   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.2   2   2   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   4   4
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   SE  SE  SE  SE
EYE LVL WND SPD.1   1   1   1   2   2   3   3   3   3   2   2
EYE LVL WND GST.1   1   1   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   2   2
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.5   5   5   6   7   7   8   8   8   7   7   6
CHC OF PCPN (%).0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10

$$
FORECASTER...J LEWIS
REQUESTED BY...MARK MORALES
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140416.APPLE.01/LZK






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