Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

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000
FNUS72 KMFL 272149
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR FLORIDA'S TURNPIKE EMR REPAIRS...FDOT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
549 PM EDT SAT AUG 27 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1734 EDT ON AUGUST 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A STRONG TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE FLORIDA STRAITS WILL CONTINUE TO
MOVE WEST NORTHWEST INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO BY EARLY
NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE TO WORK INTO
SOUTH FLORIDA. AT THIS TIME...RAINFALL AMOUNTS SHOULD BE BETWEEN 3 TO
4 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER MOUNTS. THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL AMOUNTS
WILL MORE LIKELY BE BETWEEN MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS. A CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS THROUGH THE NIGHT. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 13 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....13.
LVORI...............5.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   6 AM
SKY (%).........76     76     65     72     72     75
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
20 FT WIND......E 9    E 9    E 9    E 8    E 8    E 7
20 FT WIND GUST.20     20     20     15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....300    300    300    300    300    400
MIXNG WIND......E 14   E 14   E 14   E 13   E 13   E 13
DISPERSION IDX..12     13     13     13     12     12
LVORI...........4      4      4      4      4      5
CHC OF PCPN (%).40     40     40     50     50     50

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY. A
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2000-3200 FT
                    AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON...THEN
                    DECREASING TO 1200 FT AGL LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 14 TO 23 MPH...INCREASING TO 18 TO 24 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....20...INCREASING TO 37 EARLY...THEN INCREASING
                    TO 54 IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY
                    AFTERNOON...DECREASING TO 39 LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...DECREASING TO 26.
LVORI...............3.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...
SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH.
.TUESDAY...
SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 9 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 70S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH.
.THURSDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...BAXTER
REQUESTED BY...DOUGLAS PRAGER
TYPE OF REQUEST...OTHER
.TAG 1600427.0/MFL


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