Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Medford, OR

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000
FNUS76 KMFR 022258
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR FROG...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
358 PM PDT SUN AUG 2 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1539 PDT ON AUGUST 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM PDT MONDAY FOR INCREASED
   THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY...

.DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP BEHIND THE EXITING CLOUD
SHIELD LATER THIS AFTERNOON AS A SHORT WAVE MOVES NORTH THROUGH
THE REGION BEHIND IT. WITH ELEVATED INSTABILITY REMAINING PAST LATE
EVENING AND A WEAK SHORT WAVE MOVING THROUGH...THERE WILL BE A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT. THE CLOUD DECK FROM THE
EXITING THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD MOVE OUT OF THE REGION EARLY
MORNING...ALLOWING BETTER HEATING THAN TODAY. THE SOUTHERLY FLOW
FEEDING MOISTURE INTO THE AREA WILL BECOME SOUTHWESTERLY
TUESDAY...DECREASING THE MOISTURE FLOW INTO THE BURN WITH SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN A SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT. SMOKE THROUGH THE NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
MAX HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 1 TO 3 MPH BECOMING EAST WINDS TO 2 MPH
                    WINDS LATE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.


.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SMOKE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.
MIN HUMIDITY........19 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....BECOMING SOUTHWEST WINDS 1 TO 3 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.


$$
FORECASTER...NELAIMISCHKIES
REQUESTED BY...EMILY GERIES
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20150802.FROG_.02/MFR



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