Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Medford, OR

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000
FNUS76 KMFR 271220
FWSMFR

Spot Forecast for Dinner 16...USFS
National Weather Service Medford OR
520 AM PDT Sat May 27 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 PDT on May 27.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Warm and dry will be the rule for the next several days,
with low daytime humidities, but decent overnight recoveries.
Mixing heights will be excellent today, but mixing winds will
be weak, and overnight inversions will significantly limit mixing
overnight. Mixing heights on Sunday will be much lower due to a cap,
or inversion, just above the ridgelines. Winds at the burn will be
mostly slope/drainage driven, with upslope winds during the day and
downslope winds at night. There is a slight chance for thunderstorms
Tuesday afternoon. If a thunderstorm develops or moves overhead, winds
will be gusty and erratic, and lightning will pose a threat. Cooler
and wetter conditions are then expected mid to late next week.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
Min humidity........25-30 percent.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....Northwest upslope winds around 2 mph.
WIND (20 FT)........Northwest upslope winds around 5 mph.
Mixing height.......Around 500 ft AGL in the morning, increasing to
                    7000-7500 ft AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....South around 4 mph in the morning, becoming
                    northwest around 7 mph in the afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear.
Min temperature.....Around 51.
Max humidity........75-80 percent.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....Southeast downslope winds around 2 mph.
WIND (20 FT)........Southeast downslope winds around 5 mph.
Mixing height.......Decreasing to 200-500ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....East around 4 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 84.
Min humidity........30-35 percent.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....Northwest upslope winds 2 to 3 mph.
WIND (20 FT)........Northwest upslope winds 5 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......Around 500 ft AGL in the morning, increasing to
                    2000-2500 ft AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 6 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.

$$
Forecaster...NIEUWENHUIS
Requested by...Maija Corliss
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1710167.0/MFR



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