Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Medford, OR

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000
FNUS76 KMFR 210101
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR SKY LAKES...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
601 PM PDT WED AUG 20 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1732 PDT ON AUGUST 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS
OVER THE WILDFIRE...WITH GUSTY AFTERNOON WINDS. ANOTHER NIGHT OF GOOD
RECOVERIES IS EXPECTED AT MOST LOCATIONS AROUND THE WILDFIRE.
HOWEVER...A VERY DRY AIR MASS EXISTS JUST ABOVE THE SURFACE...SO
SOME RIDGES STAND A CHANCE OF SEEING HUMIDITIES DROP INTO THE POOR
TO MODERATE RANGE AS THE NIGHT PROGRESSES. WINDS THURSDAY SHOULD BE
SIMILAR TO WEDNESDAY...FROM THE WEST AND BREEZY. A SWITCH TOWARD
EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS WITH WARMING AND DRYING CONDITIONS IS EXPECTED
ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.
MAX HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT...WITH DECREASING HUMIDITIES OVERNIGHT ON
                    RIDGETOPS.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 3 TO 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    DECREASING TO 2 TO 4 MPH AFTER 1900L AND DOWNSLOPE
                    NORTH 1 TO 3 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH
                    DECREASING TO WEST 4 TO 6 MPH AFTER 1900L AND
                    DOWNSLOPE NORTH 1 TO 3 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE NORTH 1 TO 3 MPH IN THE EARLY MORNING
                    BECOMING WEST 3 TO 5 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 8 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...PEAKING IN SPEED AROUND 1700L.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST AROUND 13 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE NORTH WINDS 1 TO 3 MPH BECOMING WEST 6 TO 8
                    MPH WITH GUSTS TO 17 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON...WITH WIND
                    SPEEDS PEAKING AROUND 1700L.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.
MAX HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST 3 TO 5 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 8 MPH IN THE EARLY EVENING
                    BECOMING DOWNSLOPE NORTH 1 TO 3 MPH AFTER 2200L.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 8 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 6 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH IN THE EARLY EVENING
                    BECOMING DOWNSLOPE NORTH 1 TO 3 MPH AFTER 2200L.

$$
FORECASTER...KEENE
REQUESTED BY...DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140820.SKYLA.01/MFR







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