Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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FNUS74 KMOB 041159
FWSMOB

SPOT FORECAST FOR DESOTO 15515...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
659 AM CDT WED MAY 4 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON MAY 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...HIGH DISPERSIONS OF 85 TO 90 EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE BURN
   AREA...

.DISCUSSION...STRONG NORTHERLY FLOW WILL BRINGING IN COOLER...DRIER AIR
   OVER THE AREA TODAY.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...FOG NOT EXPECTED.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH-NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST 9 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6700 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 5200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 6 TO 8 MPH INCREASING TO 22 TO 23
                    MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 106.
LVORI...............9 DECREASING TO 1.
STABILITY CLASS.....B BECOMING C IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)...........29     11     5      6
WEATHER COV.......
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP..............63     69     74     76
RH................56     42     35     36
20 FT WIND DIR....NNW    NNW    NNW    NW
20 FT WIND SPD....7      9      9      9
20 FT WIND GUST...14     17     17     17
MIX HGT (FT)......3000   5000   6500   6500
MIX HGT (M).......910    1520   1980   1980
TRANSP WIND DIR...N      NNW    NNW    NW
TRANSP WIND SPD...16     18     20     20
TRANS SPD (M/S)...7      8      9      9
DISPERSION........53     77     92     97
LVORI.............1      1      1      1
STABILITY CLASS...C      C      C      C
CWR...............0      0      10     10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 22 TO 24 MPH BECOMING WEST-NORTHWEST 5
                    TO 8 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....80 DECREASING TO 6.
LVORI...............1 INCREASING TO 6.
STABILITY CLASS.....B BECOMING F.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%)...........8      15     32     50     49     26
WEATHER COV.......
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP..............75     70     62     59     56     54
RH................40     49     65     72     80     90
20 FT WIND DIR....NW     WNW    W      W      W      W
20 FT WIND SPD....6      3      2      2      2      1
20 FT WIND GUST...13
MIX HGT (FT)......5200   2800   500    500    400    400
MIX HGT (M).......1580   850    150    150    120    120
TRANSP WIND DIR...NW     NW     W      W      W      W
TRANSP WIND SPD...20     16     6      6      6      5
TRANS SPD (M/S)...9      7      3      3      3      2
DISPERSION........80     7      3      3      3      2
LVORI.............1      2      3      3      5      6
STABILITY CLASS...B      F      F      F      F      F
CWR...............10     10     10     10     10     10

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MIN HUMIDITY........28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 9 TO
                    12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6100-6200 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 5200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 6 TO 8 MPH INCREASING TO
                    NORTH-NORTHWEST 21 TO 24 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....4 INCREASING TO 86 IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN
                    DECREASING TO 60.
LVORI...............8 DECREASING TO 1.
STABILITY CLASS.....B BECOMING C IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)...........14     9      5      1      2      1
WEATHER COV.......
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP..............52     55     65     72     74     76
RH................96     80     48     35     32     28
20 FT WIND DIR....WNW    NW     N      NNW    NNW    NW
20 FT WIND SPD....2      3      7      8      10     10
20 FT WIND GUST...              14     16     20     20
MIX HGT (FT)......400    1300   3100   4900   6000   6000
MIX HGT (M).......120    400    940    1490   1830   1830
TRANSP WIND DIR...WNW    NW     N      NNW    NNW    NNW
TRANSP WIND SPD...6      8      18     21     21     21
TRANS SPD (M/S)...3      4      8      9      9      9
DISPERSION........3      14     61     85     86     86
LVORI.............8      4      1      1      1      1
STABILITY CLASS...B      B      C      C      C      C
CWR...............10     10     10     10     10     10

$$
FORECASTER...16
REQUESTED BY...JAY BOYKIN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160504.DESOT.01/MOB



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