Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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905
FNUS74 KMOB 221840
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for Jackson Guard...Jackson Guard
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1240 PM CST Wed Nov 22 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 1300 CST on November 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Dry conditions prevail through the end of the week
with afternoon relative humidities remaining above critical levels.
This afternoon, expect moderate to strong northerly low level and
transport winds with occasional stronger gusts (up to 20 to 25 mph).
Transport flow remain moderate northerly overnight and into Thursday,
but a bit less gusty. Generally good disperison for the remainder of
this afternoo, then fair to generally good disperion tonight and
Thursday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 67.
Min humidity........49 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 12 to 13 mph.
Mixing height.......3200-3400 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...975-1036 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....North 15 to 16 mph.
Transport winds m/s.North around 7 meters/second.
Dispersion index....45.
LVORI...............1.
Stability class.....3.
Mixing height.......3200-3400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 15 to 16 mph.

TIME (CST)      1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........67  72  75  75  77
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1
Temp............66  67  66  64  61
RH..............49  49  49  54  60
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..12  13  12  12  11
20 FT wind gust.20  20  20  20  20
Mix hgt (kft)...3.2 3.3 3.4 3.4 3.4
Mix hgt (km)....1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.15  16  16  16  16
Trans wind dir..N   N   N   N   N
Trans spd (m/s).7   7   7   7   7
Dispersion idx..41  43  45  46  48
LVORI...........1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 46.
Max humidity........83 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 10 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......900-1700 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...274-518 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....North 14 to 17 mph.
Transport winds m/s.North 6 to 8 meters/second.
Dispersion index....18.
LVORI...............3.
Stability class.....3.
Mixing height.......900-1700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 14 to 17 mph.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........78  78  77  76  75  72  71  68  62  59  56  50
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).20  20  20  20  20  20  10  10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............58  56  55  54  53  52  51  50  49  48  47  46
RH..............62  67  69  71  71  74  74  74  77  83  83  82
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..11  11  11  12  12  11  11  11  11  11  11  10
20 FT wind gust.15  15  20  20  20  20  15  15  15  15  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...1.7 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.1 1.0 1.0 0.9
Mix hgt (km)....0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.16  16  17  17  17  16  16  16  15  15  15  14
Trans wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Trans spd (m/s).7   7   8   8   8   7   7   7   7   7   7   6
Dispersion idx..22  21  22  22  22  21  20  18  17  16  15  14
LVORI...........2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4

.THANKSGIVING DAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 67.
Min humidity........47 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 10 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......800-2700 ft AGL increasing to 3000 ft AGL late
                    in the afternoon.
Mixing height (m)...244-823 meters AGL increasing to 914 meters AGL
                    late in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....North 12 to 14 mph.
Transport winds m/s.North 5 to 6 meters/second.
Dispersion index....23 increasing to 40.
LVORI...............2.
Stability class.....3.
Mixing height.......800-2700 ft AGL increasing to 3000 ft AGL late
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....North 12 to 14 mph.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........48  47  46  44  42  41  40  40  40  41  41  41
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............46  47  49  52  56  60  63  66  67  67  65  62
RH..............82  79  74  69  62  55  52  47  47  47  54  60
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..10  10  11  11  11  11  11  11  11  11  10  10
20 FT wind gust.15  15  15  15  20  15  15  20  20  15  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.5 1.8 2.2 2.5 2.7 3.0 3.0 3.0
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.14  13  13  12  12  12  12  13  14  14  13  13
Trans wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Trans spd (m/s).6   6   6   5   5   5   5   6   6   6   6   6
Dispersion idx..19  19  19  20  22  26  29  32  35  38  39  40
LVORI...........3   3   3   3   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1

$$
Forecaster...12
Requested by...Christina Mahmood
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1719088.0/MOB
.EMAIL christina.mahmood@us.af.mil



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