Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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407
FNUS74 KMOB 231038
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for TB-KK...Big Lagoon State Park
National Weather Service Mobile AL
538 AM CDT Thu Mar 23 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 CDT on March 23.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...An easterly to southeasterly flow pattern will
develop today as high pressure shifts to the east of the region.
Dry weather should generally continue through the remainder of the
week, except for a slight chance of showers over southeast
Mississippi Friday. Showers and thunderstorms will increase in
coverage Saturday ahead of an approaching storm system. Relative
humidity will remain above critical levels.

Fog Potential And Other Remarks...Fog is not expected through
early Saturday morning.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 73.
Min humidity........71 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 9 to 14 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......500-2300 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...152-701 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....East 12 to 21 mph increasing to 21 to 22 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Transport winds m/s.East 5 to 9 meters/second increasing to 9 to 10
                    meters/second late in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....19 increasing to 41.
LVORI...............4.
Stability class.....3.

TIME (CDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........36  38  41  45  49  52  54  55  58  61  64
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............58  60  62  65  68  71  73  73  72  71  70
RH..............93  90  90  84  78  73  71  71  73  76  78
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   SE
20 FT wind spd..9   10  11  12  13  14  14  14  14  13  13
20 FT wind gust.15  15  15  20  20  25  25  25  25  20  20
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.9 1.3 1.7 1.8 2.0 2.2 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.3
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.12  14  16  17  18  18  18  20  21  22  21
Trans wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Trans spd (m/s).5   6   7   8   8   8   8   9   9   10  9
Dispersion idx..17  20  27  33  36  37  38  39  40  42  44
LVORI...........4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 63.
Max humidity........90 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 12 to 15 mph.
Mixing height.......1600-2300 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...488-701 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 18 to 26 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Southeast 8 to 12 meters/second.
Dispersion index....46 decreasing to 28.
LVORI...............4.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........67  68  68  68  68  67  67  67  68  69  70  71
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............68  67  67  67  67  67  66  66  65  65  64  64
RH..............81  84  84  84  84  81  84  84  87  87  90  87
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..12  12  12  12  13  14  14  14  15  15  14  14
20 FT wind gust.20  20  20  20  20  25  25  25  25  25  25  25
Mix hgt (kft)...2.3 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.8 1.9 2.1 2.1 2.0 1.9 1.9
Mix hgt (km)....0.7 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.20  20  18  18  20  21  23  25  25  26  26  26
Trans wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE
Trans spd (m/s).9   9   8   8   9   9   10  11  11  12  12  12
Dispersion idx..46  25  24  24  25  26  29  31  32  32  32  32
LVORI...........3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 75.
Min humidity........60 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 12 to 15 mph.
Mixing height.......1900-2800 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...579-853 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 21 to 28 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Southeast 9 to 13 meters/second.
Dispersion index....31 increasing to 53.
LVORI...............3.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........72  72  72  71  70  69  67  67  66  63  60  58
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............63  63  64  66  69  71  73  75  75  74  73  70
RH..............90  90  87  81  76  71  64  60  60  62  64  68
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..14  14  14  14  14  15  15  14  14  14  13  12
20 FT wind gust.25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  20  20
Mix hgt (kft)...1.9 1.9 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.5 2.7 2.8 2.7 2.6 2.5 2.5
Mix hgt (km)....0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.26  26  26  28  28  26  26  25  24  23  22  21
Trans wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Trans spd (m/s).12  12  12  13  13  12  12  11  11  10  10  9
Dispersion idx..31  48  50  52  55  56  57  57  55  52  51  51
LVORI...........4   4   4   4   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2

$$
Forecaster...13
Requested by...Kiersten Wilson
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1704948.0/MOB
.EMAIL Kiersten.L.Wilson@dep.state.fl.us



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