Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

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000
FNUS73 KOAX 281307
FWSOAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR SANTEE CRP RX...BIA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VALLEY NE
807 AM CDT THU JUL 28 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CDT ON JULY 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP WINDS FAIRLY LIGHT THROUGH THE DAY.
TEMPERATURES CLOSE TO 70 AND HUMIDITY NEAR 70 PERCENT AT IGNITION WILL
CLIMB TO 80 AT NOON WITH HUMIDITY ABOUT 55 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS WILL
AVERAGE 5 TO 10 MPH FOR THE MOST PART...WITH MIXING HEIGHTS GRADUALLY
INCREASING FROM NEAR 1000 FT AT IGNITION TO 3000 FT BY NOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........67 AT IGNITION...MAX 80.
RH..................81 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 47 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO 3000 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 4500 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 8 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5.

TIME (CDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY (%).........37     41     49     60     66     71
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............67     74     77     79     80     78
RH..............81     59     52     48     49     54
20 FT WIND......N 6    N 8    N 9    N 9    N 8    N 9
20 FT WIND GUST.       10     10     10     10     10
HAINES INDEX....4      4      5      5      5      5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 61.
RH..................MAX 93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 7 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 78.
RH..................MIN 50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5200-5800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 8 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND
6 MPH.
.SUNDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND
12 MPH.
.MONDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...DERGAN
REQUESTED BY...DUWAYNE TRAVERSIE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1600113.0/OAX
.EMAIL DUWAYNE.TRAVERSIE@BIA.GOV


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