Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE
942
FNUS73 KOAX 101147
FWSOAX
Spot Forecast for Pioneers Park Nature Center...Lincoln Parks and Recreation
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
647 AM CDT Fri May 10 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 CDT on May 10.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
Mostly sunny skies with increasing northwesterly winds today, with
minimum humidity dropping into the mid 30s percent. Wind speeds
early this morning around 5 mph, but increasing to 12 to 15 mph
with gusts up to 25 mph from Noon through 7 pm.
Strongest Possible Wind Speeds on Day of Burn: northwest at
22-25 mph.
Lowest Possible Relative Humidity on Day of Burn: 35 percent.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 76.
Min humidity........36 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northwest winds up to 9 mph.
Surface winds (mph).Northwest winds 6 to 15 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 13 mph.
Mixing height.......8900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10 to 18 mph increasing to 20 to 22
mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2400 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to excellent (61300 knot-ft) in the
afternoon increasing to excellent (107100
knot-ft) in the afternoon.
GFDI................0.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........12 11 7 9 30 44 44 45 53 45 67
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............50 54 59 66 70 73 73 75 75 75 75
RH..............86 80 76 58 49 42 39 38 38 39 38
20 FT wind dir..W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT wind spd..5 6 7 8 9 11 12 12 11 12 12
20 FT wind gust.6 8 10 12 13 16 17 17 16 17 17
Eye lvl wnd dir.W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
Eye lvl wnd spd.4 4 5 6 7 8 9 9 8 9 9
Eye lvl wnd gst. 6 8 9 10 12 13 13 12 13 13
Surface wnd dir.W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
Surface wnd spd.6 8 9 10 11 14 15 15 14 15 15
Surface wnd gst.7 10 13 15 16 20 21 21 20 21 21
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.5 1.2 1.7 4.3 7.5 8.0 8.5 8.9 8.2 6.7
Transp wind dir.W W NW NW NW NW N NW NW NW NW
Transp wind spd.10 12 13 15 18 22 21 21 21 21 20
GFDI............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Haines index....4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5
SDspl kt-ft/10004 2 7 23 61 107 144 161 163 147 110
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent) then becoming
clear (0-10 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 48.
Max humidity........77 percent.
Eye level winds.....West winds up to 9 mph.
Surface winds (mph).West winds 6 to 15 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 13 mph.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 12 to 21 mph decreasing to 7 to 12
mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (61800 knot-ft) early in the evening
decreasing to poor (2100 knot-ft) late in the
night.
GFDI................0.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
Sky (%).........34 17 2 3 2 4
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............76 70 61 57 54 50
RH..............36 44 56 62 66 74
20 ft wind......NW 12 NW 8 NW 6 NW 6 W 5 W 5
20 ft wind gust.17 11 7 7 6 6
Eye level wind..NW 9 NW 6 NW 4 NW 4 W 4 W 4
Eye lvl wnd gst.13 8 5 5 5 5
Surface wind....NW 15 NW 10 NW 8 NW 8 W 6 W 6
Surface wnd gst.21 14 9 9 8 8
Mix hgt (ft)....7100 500 400 400 400 400
Transport wind..NW 21 NW 14 NW 12 NW 10 NW 9 NW 8
GFDI............0 0 0 0 0 0
Haines index....5 5 5 5 5 5
SDspl kt-ft/100062 6 5 3 4 3
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........28 percent.
Eye level winds.....West winds around 4 mph early in the morning
becoming light, then becoming west up to 5 mph
in the late morning and afternoon.
Surface winds (mph).West winds around 6 mph early in the morning
becoming light, then becoming west 6 to 9 mph
in the late morning and afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 8 mph early in the morning
becoming light, then becoming west 5 to 8 mph
in the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......8700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 7 to 12 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1600 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to excellent (79000 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
GFDI................0.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
Sky (%).........4 1 2 23 34 28
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............49 54 67 76 78 80
RH..............73 67 46 32 28 28
20 ft wind......W 5 W 5 W 5 W 6 NW 7 NW 6
20 ft wind gust.6 6 6 8 10 7
Eye level wind..W 4 W 4 W 4 W 4 NW 5 NW 4
Eye lvl wnd gst.5 6 8 5
Surface wind....W 6 W 6 W 6 W 8 NW 9 NW 8
Surface wnd gst.8 7 7 10 13 9
Mix hgt (ft)....400 500 1800 6900 8200 8600
Transport wind..NW 8 NW 7 W 8 NW 12 NW 9 NW 8
GFDI............0 0 0 0 0 0
Haines index....5 5 5 5 5 5
SDspl kt-ft/10002 2 12 59 79 60
$$
Forecaster...NWS Omaha/Valley
Requested by...Aaron Druery
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2413683.0/OAX
.DELDT 05/10/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Adruery@lincoln.ne.gov