Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mt. Holly, NJ

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000
FNUS71 KPHI 300901
FWSPHI

SPOT FORECAST FOR CRESCO COMPLEX FIRE...EA IMT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
501 AM EDT SAT APR 30 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0457 EDT ON APRIL 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE ACROSS THE REGION TODAY AND EARLY
TONIGHT. THE HIGH WILL THEN MOVE OFFSHORE AS LOW PRESSURE ADVANCES
UP THE OHIO VALLEY. THIS LOW WILL AFFECT OUR WEATHER FOR SUNDAY AND
INTO MONDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXTEND ACROSS THE AREA LATER MONDAY
INTO TUESDAY. MORE LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE TOWARDS THE AREA FOR THE
MIDDLE OF THE UPCOMING WEEK.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
WIND SHIFT..........NO SIGNIFICANT WIND SHIFTS EXPECTED.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............88  77  65  64  62  61  61  62  63  66  69  72
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................41  42  44  47  50  52  54  55  57  57  57  58
RH..................88  86  85  76  68  62  58  54  51  50  50  50
20 FT WIND DIR......NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   SE  S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD......1   1   2   2   3   3   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.....            5   5   5
CWR.................10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
CHC OF PCPN (%).....10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN...MAINLY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.
MAX HUMIDITY........77 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING EAST
                    AROUND 5 MPH LATE.
CWR.................10 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 90 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
WIND SHIFT..........NO SIGNIFICANT WIND SHIFTS EXPECTED.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............75     81     86     92     99     100
WEATHER COV.........              S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE DEFNTE
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RAIN   RAIN   RAIN
TSTM COV............
TEMP................56     53     49     47     45     44
RH..................53     59     67     71     73     76
20 FT WIND..........S 5    SE 3   SE 3   SE 3   SE 3   SE 3
20 FT WIND GUST.....       5      5      5      5      5
CWR.................10     10     20     30     50     80
CHC OF PCPN (%).....10     10     20     30     50     80
LAL.................1      1      1      1      1      1

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
MIN HUMIDITY........73 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
CWR.................90 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 100 PERCENT IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO 80 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......100 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
WIND SHIFT..........

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............100    100    100    100    100    99
WEATHER COV.........DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE
WEATHER TYPE........RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN
TSTM COV............
TEMP................44     44     47     49     50     51
RH..................80     84     78     76     76     73
20 FT WIND..........E 5    E 6    E 7    SE 7   SE 7   E 7
20 FT WIND GUST.....       10     10     10     10     10
CWR.................90     100    100    100    80     80
CHC OF PCPN (%).....90     100    100    100    80     80
LAL.................1      1      1      1      1      1

$$
FORECASTER...OHARA
REQUESTED BY...JOHN HINTZ
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160430.CRESC.01/PHI



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