Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Pueblo, CO

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FNUS75 KPUB 180254
FWSPUB

Spot Forecast for Trout Creek RX...USFS
National Weather Service PUEBLO CO
854 PM MDT Tue Oct 17 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 2300 MDT on October 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (719) 948-9429, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Dry and light westerly flow aloft is forecast to continue across
the burn area through tomorrow, with plenty of sun expected. An
upper disturbance will move into the Great Basin and Four Corners
region starting Wednesday night. This will increase the upper flow
and shift it to a more southwest direction. In addition,
ventilation will improve on Thursday and become Very Good through
the afternoon.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....40-45F.
Max humidity........17-22 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South 5-7 mph.
Mixing height.......1500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....63-68F.
Min humidity........5-10 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South-southwest 8-11 mph.
Mixing height.......2000 ft agl until 1000, then 7000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 5 mph until 1000, then south
                    around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1000, then fair.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....37-42F.
Max humidity........32-37 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South 4-6 mph.
Mixing height.......5500 ft agl until 2000, then 1500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair until 2100, then poor.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45 percent).
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....64-69F.
Min humidity........12-17 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest 8-12 mph.
Mixing height.......2000 ft agl until 1000, then 7500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 17 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0700. Very good by 1200.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Lows 40 to 45. Highs 64 to 69. Southwest winds
around 13 mph. Gusts up to 24 mph.
.SATURDAY...
Partly cloudy. Lows 35 to 40. Highs 50 to 55. West winds around
9 mph.
.SUNDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows 28 to 33. Highs 59 to 64. Light wind.
.MONDAY...
Partly cloudy. Lows 35 to 40. Highs 59 to 64.
.TUESDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows 33 to 38. Highs 58 to 63.

$$
Forecaster...MOORE
Requested by...Mike Wicks
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1717439.0/PUB



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