Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Charleston, WV

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FNUS71 KRLX 211111
FWSRLX

Spot Forecast for Lake Vesuvius Prescribed Burn...Wayne National Forest
National Weather Service Charleston WV
611 AM EST Tue Nov 21 2017

Forecast includes the ignition time of 1100 EST on November 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Sunshine, and a gusty southwest flow of warmer air, will bring about
a milder afternoon today. Gusts could reach 20 to 25 mph late this
morning and this afternoon. Relative humidity will drop to near 40
percent.

A cold front crossing the area tonight, may bring rain showers across
eastern Ohio and northern West Virginia.  There could be snow showers
behind the cold front in the northern West Virginia mountains early
Wednesday morning.

High pressure will build in behind the departing front, with a
chilly but dry Wednesday and Thanksgiving. By the weekend, a new cold
front will bring another chance for rain and snow showers.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 60.
Min humidity........40 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds, becoming southwest 6 to 9 mph with
                    gusts to around 20 mph early in the morning.
Mixing height.......100-1800 ft AGL, increasing to 2000-3100 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 2 to 10 mph, increasing to southwest 13
                    to 20 mph late in the morning.
Haines Index........2 to 5 OR or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or moderate potential
                    for large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........15  14  14  15  15  16  18  20  19  19  19  23
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............38  39  42  45  49  52  55  57  58  59  58  56
RH..............49  49  47  44  42  40  40  42  44  40  42  45
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..6   7   7   8   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   8
20 FT wind gust.            10  13  16  18  19  20  19  18  14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.2 1.8 2.2 2.7 3.1 3.0 2.0
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.7   8   8   9   10  13  15  17  18  20  18  14
Haines index....2   2   2   3   3   4   4   5   5   5   5   5

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent), then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 32.
Max humidity........82 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 7 mph early in the
                    evening, becoming light.
Mixing height.......200-1200 ft AGL, increasing to 2600-3900 ft AGL
                    in the late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....West 7 to 16 mph, becoming northwest 13 to 21
                    mph in the late evening and overnight.
Haines Index........2 to 4 OR or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or low potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........31  35  41  53  59  66  81  88  86  81  79  65
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  0   0
Temp............52  51  50  48  47  47  45  44  43  40  38  37
RH..............51  55  57  62  64  66  70  71  73  76  78  78
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..7   6   6   5   3   3   2   2   2   2   3   3
20 FT wind gust.12              4   4                   4   4
Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 0.2 1.2 2.6 3.8 3.9 3.5 3.1 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.9   7   10  16  21  20  16  13  13  13  14  14
Haines index....4   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 42.
Min humidity........48 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds around 5 mph early in the
                    morning, becoming light.
Mixing height.......2500-2900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 6 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........2 to 4 OR or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or low potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........38  24  22  19  18  17  16  16  13  6   3   4
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............35  34  33  35  36  38  39  40  41  42  41  40
RH..............79  79  82  72  69  62  59  55  52  48  50  52
20 FT wind dir..NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   3   3   3   3   3   3   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.            4   4   4   4   4   4
Mix hgt (kft)...2.9 2.8 2.7 2.6 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.8 2.8
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.14  14  13  10  8   7   6   6   6   6   6   7
Haines index....3   2   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

$$
Forecaster...TRM
Requested by...Scottie Kiser
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1719049.0/RLX



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