Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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000
FNUS73 KSGF 231901
FWSSGF

Spot Forecast for Fairview Fire...USDA - Forest Service
National Weather Service Springfield MO
101 PM CST Thu Nov 23 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 1300 CST on November 23.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at 1-800-762-4363, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Light southwest surface winds are expected near the Fairview Wildfire
location of eastern Taney County.  A dry airmass was in place, with
relative humidity values expected to fall to around 25% this afternoon.

Surface winds will remain light through the rest of the afternoon and
evening.  As a matter of fact, winds could become light and variable or
even calm at times, causing poor smoke dispersal.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 percent.
TEMPERATURE.........56 at request...Max 59.
RH..................29 percent at request...Min 27 percent.
DEWPOINT............25.
APPARENT TEMP.......59.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....West winds around 5 mph during early and mid
                    afternoon becoming light.
WIND SHIFT..........
WIND (20 FT)........Winds west at 3 mph at request...otherwise West
                    winds around 5 mph during early and mid
                    afternoon becoming light.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 ft AGL at request...otherwise 900-2200 ft
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....West 6 to 10 mph.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....Fair /16700 knot-ft/ at request. Max...fair
                    /19500 knot-ft/.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth at request...max 5.

TIME (CST)      1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........1   1   1   1   1
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0   0   0   0   0
TEMP............56  58  59  58  56
DEWPOINT........24  25  27  27  27
RH..............29  28  29  30  32
APARNT TMP (F)..56  58  59  58  56
20 FT WIND DIR..W   W   W   W   W
20 FT WIND SPD..2   2   3   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5   5   5   5
EYE LVL WND DIR.W   W   W   W   W
EYE LVL WND SPD.2   2   2   2   2
EYE LVL WND GST.5   5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.1 2.2 2.0 1.5 0.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.W   W   W   W   W
TRANSP WIND SPD.9   10  10  8   6
HAINES INDEX....5   4   4   4   5
VRATE KT-FT/100017  20  18  11  4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 percent.
TEMPERATURE.........Min 41.
RH..................Max 73 percent.
DEWPOINT............31 increasing to 33 in the late evening and
                    overnight.
APPARENT TEMP.......52.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....Light winds.
WIND SHIFT..........
WIND (20 FT)........Light winds.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 ft AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....Southwest around 3 mph.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....Poor to poor (400-1000 knot-ft).
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or moderate potential
                    for large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........1   1   1   1   1   2   3   3   3   3   7   10
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
TEMP............52  50  48  47  46  45  44  44  43  43  42  42
DEWPOINT........29  29  33  34  34  33  33  32  32  32  32  32
RH..............41  44  56  60  63  62  65  62  65  65  67  67
APARNT TMP (F)..52  49  47  46  45  45  44  44  43  42  42  41
20 FT WIND DIR..W   W   W   W   SW  W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  S
20 FT WIND SPD..2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
EYE LVL WND DIR.W   W   W   W   SW  W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  S
EYE LVL WND SPD.2   2   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
EYE LVL WND GST.5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
HAINES INDEX....4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   4
VRATE KT-FT/10001   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   0   0

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 percent.
TEMPERATURE.........Max 70.
RH..................Min 32 percent.
DEWPOINT............34 increasing to 38 in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
APPARENT TEMP.......38.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....Light winds becoming south 5 to 10 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
WIND SHIFT..........
WIND (20 FT)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 10 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-2100 ft AGL increasing to 2000-2500 ft AGL
                    during mid and late afternoon.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....Southwest 3 to 12 mph increasing to 15 to 20
                    mph in the afternoon, then decreasing to around
                    10 mph late in the afternoon.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....Poor to good (500-43200 knot-ft).
Haines Index........4 to 6 or low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or high potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........14  13  11  10  13  19  22  22  24  25  32  46
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
TEMP............41  41  43  49  55  60  64  67  69  70  69  66
DEWPOINT........32  33  34  35  36  37  38  39  39  39  39  39
RH..............70  73  70  58  49  42  38  36  33  32  33  37
APARNT TMP (F)..38  40  43  47  54  59  63  66  69  69  67  64
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  S
20 FT WIND SPD..3   3   4   5   5   6   7   7   8   8   7   6
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5   5       10  10  15  15  20  15  15  15
EYE LVL WND DIR.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  S
EYE LVL WND SPD.2   2   3   4   4   4   5   5   6   6   5   5
EYE LVL WND GST.5   5   5       10  10  15  15  20  15  15  15
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.3 1.7 2.1 2.4 2.5 2.3 2.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW  S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.3   3   5   6   8   12  15  18  20  20  16  10
HAINES INDEX....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   5   6
VRATE KT-FT/10001   1   1   2   6   13  22  33  42  43  32  18

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...
Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower 60s. Light
winds.
.SUNDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the lower 60s. Light
winds.
.MONDAY...
Clear. Lows around 40. Highs in the upper 60s. South winds around
6 mph.

$$
Forecaster...CRAMER
Requested by...Shasta Elliott
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1719095.0/SGF
.EMAIL momocdispatch@fs.fed.us



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